PCPO Poll no.115 of Palestinians 32% Support Geneva Initiative

PCPO Poll no.115 Date: 26 October, 2003

In the recent poll prepared by PCPO-president Dr.Nabil Kukali and conducted
by the PCPO,
36.1% Are satisfied to various degrees with the emergency government new
formed.
43.7% Support to various degrees the appointment of Mr. Ahmed Qre' (Abu
El-A'la) as prime -minister.
32% Support to various degrees the draft statement of understanding, which
is known as "Switzerland paper".
30.9% Support to various degrees the holding of political elections in
the Palestinian territories.
26.3% Are of the opinion that AL-JAZEERA is the most watched TV satellite
channel.
38.2% Are of the opinion that Al-QUDS daily newspaper is read more than
the other newspapers.
53.4% Trust to various degrees the polls conducted in the Palestinian
territories.

Majd kokaly- information department:

A poll recently conducted by the PCPO and prepared Dr. Nabil Kukali, and
included a random sample of ( 619 ) Palestinian adults,( 18 ) years and
older, from Gaza strip and the West Bank including east Jerusalem.

The poll reveals that ( 43.7% )of the Palestinians are satisfied to various
degrees with the emergency government recently formed. ( 32% ) support to
various degrees the draft statement of understanding known under the name of
"the Switzerland paper".

President of the PCPO, Dr. Nabil Kukali, stated that the poll took place
15-20 October 2003 and the average age of the respondents was ( 31.49)
years, and the margin of error was( 3.94 +/-)percent points.

Kukali also stated that the percentage of female respondents was (49.8%)
while that of the male ones was (50.2%) He also explained that the
respondent's location of residence was as follows:( 51.9%) city,(
31.4% )village, and (16.7%) refugee camp. He pointed out to the average size
of respondents' families that was 7.92 persons, and the average number of
schooling years was 12.43 years.

Dr.Kukali said the results of the poll were as follows:

Are you satisfied with the Palestinian emergency government recently formed
under the chairmanship of Mr.Ahmad Qre' (Abu Al-A'la) or not?
26Oct, 2003
Highly satisfied 8.3% Somewhat satisfied 27.8%
Somewhat unsatisfied 19.6% Absoulotly unsatisfied 23.9%
No opinion 20.4%

2. The news agencies mentioned that the Palestinian Prime Minister "Abu Al-A
'la" would present to the legislative council after 30 days two options. One
is the renewal of the office of the emergency government, and the other is
the presentation of an ordinary government, which requires the approval of
the legislative council. What is your opinion?
Renewal of the office of the emergency government 15.9%
Presentation of a new ordinary government to the legislative council for
approval 43.1%
No opinion 41.0%

3.Please express the degree of your support or your disagree to the
appointment of Mr.Ahmed Qre' (Abu El-A'la) as prime- minister of the
emergency government.
Strongly support 8.6% Somewhat support 35.1%
Somewhat oppose17.3% Strongly oppose 17.9%
I don't know 21.1%

4.Mention your favorite candidate to the office of the Palestinian prime
minister after the elapse of the 30 days, which is the office period of the
present emergency government, presided by Mr.Abu El'A'la (open question).
Do not know 44.3% no one 36.8%
Abu Mazen 3.1% Saeb Ireikat 3%
Mohammad Dahlan 2.8% Ahmad Qrei' 1.8%
Mustafa Barghouti 1.6% Ahmad Yassen 1.5%
Yasser Abded Rabbo1.5% Marwan Barghouti 1.1%
Yasser Abded Rabbo1% Nabil Abu Rdeineh 0.8%
Jibreel Rjoub 0.8% Naser Yosef 0.5%
Farouq Qaddoumi 0.5% Ahmad Abedl Rahman 0.3%
Nabil Amro 0.3% Salam Fayad 0.3% Ghassan Al-Shaka 0.2%

5. Unofficial Israeli and Palestinian personalities signed on 12/10/2003
draft statements of understanding, which are called "the Switzerland paper"
.the summary of these statements of understanding are as follows:
a. The end of the agreement: the agreement, which will be achieved, will be
a permanent settlement. Neither party will claim any further demands
thereafter.
b. Mutual recognition: a Palestinian state will arise beside the state of
Israel in conformity with the border lines in 1967, but under certain
amendments to the borders.
c. Right to return: will not appear in the statements of understanding and
no return will be allowed to Israel with the exception of a very small
figure estimated at some ten thousands only. Whoever is recognized as a
refugee will have the right to settle in the Palestinian state or in any
other country excluding Israel.
d. Jerusalem: the formulation (concept) of the former US-president Bill
Clinton will be adopted; namely the Arab quarters will be put under the
Palestinian dominance, and the Jewish quarters under the Israeli dominance.
The concept states also that the "holy Basin" should be administered by a
joint corporation of the three religions.
e. The settlements: Israel will collect the settlements into bulky masses in
the area of Gosh Etzion and the settlements around Jerusalem. Ma'ale Adumim
could be one of them .the Israelis agreed, due to security considerations,
not to merge ariel town into Israel's territory.
f. Terrorism: the Palestinians undertake to dismantle the terror
organizations and to combat instigation and terror.

Do you support the draft statements or not?
Strongly support 9.9% Somewhat support 22.1%
Somewhat oppose18.2% Strongly oppose 33.0% Don't know 16.8%

6. To what degree do you see that the political- security situation is
worrying?
Highly worrying 53.5% Worrying 27.2%
Not worrying to this extent 5.2% Not worrying at all 7.9%
Don't know 6.2%

7. Some people in the west bank and in Gaza strip support postponement to a
later stage. Which is next to your opinion?
Holding political elections at present? 30.9%
Postpone political elections to a later stage? 38.6%
No opinion 30.5%

8. In case the Palestinian emergency government and the Palestinian National
Security Council issue an order to Fateh organization and to other
organizations not directly belonging to the security organs of the
Palestinian authority, as to hand over their arms for confiscation or
destruction purposes. What do you think how Fateh and the other
organizations should react?
They should hand over their arms to be confiscated and destroyed 11.6%
Hide their arms 56.2% Not to do anything 32.2%

9.Do you believe or not believe that your constituency representatives in
the Palestinian legislative council represent you?
Highly represent 6.2% Represent 20.2% Moderately represent 20.3%
Do not represent14.4% Absolutely do not represent 29.3%
No opinion 9.6%

10.in general, which satellite channel do you watch the most?
Al-Jazeera 26.3% Al-Arabiya 7.5% MBC 7.0% Al-Manar 6.2%
Abu-Thabi 4.4% Eqra 3.2% Future 2.9%
Dream 2.9% Rotana 2.8% Palestine TV 2.8% LBC2.6%
Israel TV 2.3% Other 9.5% None 19.6%

11. What is the local daily, weekly, or monthly newspapers do you usually
read the most?
Jerusalem 38.2% Al-Ayam19.8%
Al-Hayat12.7% Al-Resaleh1.3% Other 0.2% None 26.1%

12.have you ever seen, heard, or read about public opinion surveys that were
published or broadcasted in mass media like TV, radio, newspapers or
magazines?
Yes 61.0% No 24.8% I don't know 14.2%

13.in general, to what degree do you trust what you see or hear about public
opinion surveys.very much.to some degree.not so much.never.no opinion?
Very much14.8% To some degree38.6%
Not so much 23.1% Never 5.5% No opinion18.0%

Contact Person:
Dr. Nabil Kukali
Tel: 02 2774846, Fax: 02 277 4892
Mobile: 067 216643
Email: kukali@p-ol.com