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Thursday, September 9, 2004
Poll: Public wants referendum on disengagement 60%:17% would vote for it 63%:14%

Poll: Public wants referendum on disengagement 60%:17% would vote for it
63%:14%

Dr. Aaron Lerner Date: 9 September 2004

Telephone poll carried out by "Brain Base" ["Maagar Mochot"] of a
representative sample of 521 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs)
under the direction of Prof. Y.Katz for Israel Radio's "Another Matter"
program on 8 September 2004:

The NRP Central Committee will meet next Monday to decide if it will remain
in the government and act within it against the disengagement plan or leave
the government. Do you think the NRP should stay and work against the
disengagement from within or leave?

Total: Stay 41% Leave 31% Other 28%
NRP voters: Stay 37% Leave 31% Other 32%

Who do you think should lead the Labor Party in the coming Knesset
elections: Peres, Barak, Ben Eliezer or Vilnai?
Total: Peres 27% Barak 14% Vilnai 12% Ben Eliezer 8% Other 39%
Labor voters: Peres 42% Barak 28% Vilnai 12% Ben Eliezer 5% Other 13%

Do you think that the Knesset elections will be advanced and take place in
the coming year?
Total: Yes 34% No 54% Other 12%
Vote Likud:Yes 43% No 54% Other 3%
Vote Labor:Yes 28% No 60% Other 12%
Vote Shinui:Yes 22% No 67% Other 11%
Vote NRP/Nat'l Union:Yes 43% No 48% Other 9%

Do you think that the disengagement plan for the Gaza Strip will be carried
out in the course of the coming year?
Total: Yes 49% No 34% Other 17%
Vote Likud:Yes 46% No 43% Other 11%
Vote Labor:Yes 71% No 23% Other 6%
Vote Shinui:Yes 33% No 44% Other 23%
Vote NRP/Nat'l Union:Yes 4% No 75% Other 21%

According to recent reports, Prime Minister Ariel Sharon is considering
having a national referendum on the matter of the disengagement from the
Gaza Strip. Are you for having such a referendum?
Total: Yes 60% No 17% Other 23%
Vote Likud:Yes 53% No 17% Other 30%
Vote Labor:Yes 69% No 19% Other 12%
Vote Shinui:Yes 68% No 12% Other 20%
Vote NRP/Nat'l Union:Yes 33% No 51% Other 16%

If a national referendum is held on the matter of the dissengagement form
the Gaza Strip, would you vote in favor or vote against disengagement?
Total: For 63% Against 14% Other 23%
Vote Likud: For 43% Against 17% Other 40%
Vote Labor: For 85% Against 5% Other 10%
Vote Shinui: For 87% Against 7% Other 6%
Vote NRP/Nat'l Union: For 2% Against 80% Other 18%

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(Mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il

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