PCPO Poll of Palestinians - 11-15 October 2004
Poll no.124
Date: 18 October 2004

A poll carried out by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) and
Prepared by President
Dr.Nabil Kukali.

(57.2) Support to varying degree president Arafat.
(74.4) Evaluate the general economic conditions in the
Palestinian territories as bad.
(72.7) Worried to varying degrees about their means of
subsistence.
(74.1 %) Believe that the PA is incapable of creating job
opportunities for the Palestinians, who were working in
Israel.
(50 %) are pessimistic about the future.
(49.6 %) support the continuation of Al-Aqsa Intifada, while
(42.0 %) call for its halt.

From Majd Kokaly - Information Section

A poll recently conducted by the PCPO and prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali
included a random sample of (570) Palestinian adults, 18 years and older,
from the Palestinian territories.

The poll reveals that ( 61.7 % ) of Palestinians evaluate the general
economic conditions in the Palestinian territories as bad. (57.2 %) support
to varying degree president Arafat. President of the PCPO, Dr. Nabil Kukali,
stated that the poll took place from 11th to15th of October 2004 and the
average age of the respondents was (31.5) years. The margin of error was
(4.1+/-) percent points.

Dr. Kukali also stated that the percentage of female respondents was (47.9
%), while that of the male ones (52.1 %). He pointed out that the average
size of the respondents' families was (7.2) persons.

Dr. Kukali said the results of the poll were as follows:

1. Do you believe or not believe that violence will alleviate in the
Palestinian territories if the Israeli government would take serious and
sincere measures to lift the siege and security belt from the Palestinian
territories ?

20 Nov 2002*/*14 Apr 2003*/*30 Sep 2003*/*18 Oct 2004
1. Believe 28.7 %*/*26.8 %*/*23.2 %*/*35.7 %
2. Believe to some extent 35.8 %*/*46.0 %*/*43.1 %*/*35.9 %
3. Don't believe 25.8 %*/*18.0 %*/*25.4 %*/*22.3 %
4. Don't know 9.7 %*/*9.2 %*/*8.3 %*/*6.1 %

2. Some people in the West Bank and Gaza Strip support the continuation of
the Intifada, while others call for its halt. Which of these two opinions is
closer to yours?
27 Nov 200030 Jun 2003*/*30 Sep 2003*/*18 Oct 2004
1. Continuation of the Intifada 73.0 %*/*44.9 %*/*56.3 %*/*49.6 %
2. Halting the Intifada 19.6 %*/*37.0 %*/*30.9 %*/*42.0 %
3. Do not know / refuse to answer 7.4 %*/*18.1 %*/*12.8 %*/*8.4 %

3. Do you think that there is a Palestinian leader other than Yassir Arafat
who may be able to sign a peace treaty with the Israelis at present, or not?
12 Nov 2002*/*30 Jun 2003*/*30 Sep 2003*/*18 Oct 2004
Yes, I think
26.6 %*/*19.7 %*/*16.5 %*/*39.5 %
No, I don't think
45.5 %*/*53.5 %*/*58.7 %*/*45.1 %
I don't know
27.8 %*/*26.8 %*/*24.8 %*/*15.4 %

4. When asked:' to what degree do you support President Arafat"?
20 Nov 2002*/*30 Jun 2003*/*30 Sep 2003*/*18 Oct 2004
1. Strongly support 20.2 %*/*31.7 %*/*41.6 %*/*24.5 %
2. Somewhat support 18.1 %*/*32.7 %*/*32.1 %*/*32.7 %
3. Somewhat oppose 21.7 %*/*22.3 %*/*16.3 %*/*23.2 %
4. Strongly oppose 16.1 %*/*7.2 %*/*4.6 %*/*15.2 %
5. No Opinion 23.9 %*/*6.1 %*/*5.4 %*/*4.4 %

5. Do you evaluate the general economic situation in the Palestinian
territories
as:
20 Nov 2002*/* 14 Apr 2003*/*30 Sep 2003*/*18 Oct 2004
1. Good 9.2 %*/*2.6 %*/*8.1 %*/*7.4 %
2. Fair 24.7 %*/*23.1 %*/*19.5 %*/*28.0 %
3. Bad 60.8 %*/*69.8 %*/*70.2 %*/*61.7 %
4. Do not Know 5.3 %*/*4.5 %*/*2.2 %*/*2.9

6. To what degree are you concerned about your means of subsistence?
20 Nov 2002*/*14 Apr 2003*/*30 Sep 2003*/*18 Oct 2004
1. Highly concerned 20.7 %*/*22.4 %*/*26.4 %*/*32.8 %
2. Concerned 29.8 %*/*27.4 %*/*31.7 %*/*34.4 %
3. Not that concerned 19.8 %*/*17.5 %*/*20.2 %*/*24.3 %
4. Absolutely unconcerned 19.1 %*/*18.7 %*/*12.4 %*/*5.9 %
5. Do not know 10.6 %*/*14.0 %*/*9.3 %*/*2.6 %

7. Given the current political and economical conditions, are you optimistic
or pessimistic about the future?
20 Nov 2002*/*14 Apr 2003*/*30 Sep 2003*/*18 Oct 2004
1. Optimistic 29.2 %*/*30.0 %*/*36.2 %*/*30.4 %
2. Pessimistic 56.8 %*/*56.0 %*/*47.0 %*/*50.0 %
3. No opinion 14.0 %*/*14.0 %*/*16.8 %*/*196. %

8. Fourty eight months back, to the time when the current Al-Aqsa Intifada
broke out, do you believe that it served or harmed the Palestinian
interests?
20 Nov 2002*/*14 Apr 2003*/*30 Sep 2003*/*18 Oct 2004
1. Considerably served 13.3 %*/*12.6 %*/*14.1 %*/*13.1 %
2. Somewhat served 28.4 %*/*33.8 %*/*32.8 %*/*26.2 %
3. Somewhat harmed 15.8 %*/*17.1 %*/*17.2 %*/*18.3 %
4. Considerably harmed 25.1 %*/*21.8 %*/*23.0 %*/*29.6 %
5 No opinion 17.4 %*/*14.7 %*/*12.9 %*/*12.8 %

9. Do you believe that the PA is capable or incapable of creating job
opportunities for the Palestinian, who were working in Israel?
27 Nov 200014 Apr 2003*/*30 Sep 2003*/*18 Oct 2004
1. Capable 30.5 %*/*18.2 %*/*19.7 %*/*20.7 %
2. Incapable 43.4 %*/*64.7 %*/*67.2 %*/*69.2 %
3. Do not know 26.1 %*/*17.1 %*/*13.1 %*/*10.1 %

10. Would you increase or decrease your support of the Intifada if Israel
continued imposing economical siege and the security belt on the Palestinian
territories?
3 Feb 2003*/*14 Apr 2003*/*18 Oct 2004
1.Would increase support 35.9 %*/*28.4 %*/*38.4 %
2. Would decrease support 21.7 %*/*21.6 %*/*40.2 %
3.No difference 24.5 %*/*21.3 %*/*21.4 %

11. How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following:
"There can be no real economic growth and prosperity for the Palestinians
and the Israelis without a peace settlement between them"?
30 Ssep 2003*/*18 Oct 2004
1- Strongly agree 21.5 %*/*21.7 %
2- somewhat agree 36.8 %*/*38.2 %
3- somewhat disagree 10.8 %*/*14.4 %
4- Strongly disagree 18.1 %*/*16.0 %
5- don't know 12.8 %*/*9.7 %

12. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement:
"Mutual cooperation and joint projects between all nations of the region,
including Israelis and Palestinians, in areas such as water, health,
environment, tourism etc. - should start as soon as possible, now even
before final peace agreements are reached"
30 Sep 2003*/*18 Oct 2004
1- Strongly agree 15.7 %*/*13.5 %
2- somewhat agree 35.1 %*/*35.0 %
3- somewhat disagree 12.1 %*/* 20.6 %
4- Strongly disagree 24.6 %*/* 21.0 %
5- don't know 12.5 %*/*9.9 %

13. If Al-Aqsa Intifada continued in a way that further aggravated your
financial conditions, would you still support it or demand that it stops?
3 Feb 2003*/*14 Apr 2003*/*18 Oct 2004
1. Would still support 44.2 %*/*32.3 %*/*41.1 %
2. Would demand that it stops 30.9 %*/*30.9 %*/*41.5 %
3. Do not know 24.8 %*/*36.8 %*/*17.4 %

14. And in the present situation whilst permanent peace agreement has not
yet been reached - do you support or reject an open market and joint
economic projects between Israel and the Palestinians?
03 Mar 2004*/*18 Oct 2004
1. Definitely support 10.0 %*/*11.5 %
2. Somewhat support 44.1 %*/*38.7 %
3. Somewhat reject 17.6 %*/*20.1 %
4. Definitely reject 16.7 %*/*17.4 %
5. Don't know 11.6 %*/*12.2 %

15. How likely is it that there will be peace with the Israelis in the near
future?
23 Sep 2002*/*09 Feb 200418 Oct 2004
1. Very likely 12.5 %*/*7.8 %*/*8.5 %
2. Somewhat likely 29.7 %*/*40.9 %*/*38.1 %
3. Somewhat unlikely 15.9 %*/*25.0 %*/*22.8 %
4. Very unlikely 31.1 %*/*15.7 %*/*20.5 %
5. Refused-do not read 10.8 %*/*10.6 %*/*10.1 %

16. Martial status:
1. Single 30.8 %
2. Married 62.4 %
3. Divorced 3.1 %
4. Widowed 3.7 %

Contact Person:
Dr. Nabil Kukali
Tel: 02 2774846, Fax: 02 277 2034
Mobile: 067 216643
Email: kukali@p-ol.com