Poll: 67% Happy Bush won, 20.5% Halt disengagement if Arafat out, 46.5%
Netanyahu will fold
Aaron Lerner Date: 4 November 2004

The following is IMRA's translation of results of a telephone poll of 502
adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) and 468 Likud members carried out
by Shvakim Panorama for Israel Radio's "Another Matter" program on 3
November 2004 that is presented on the website of the radio station.
(http://bet.iba.org.il ).

What do you think will happen regarding the ultimatum that Binyamin
Netanyahu gave to Ariel Sharon about national referendum? The Binyamin
Netanyahu will resign from the government if Sharon does not agree to having
a national referendum, or Netanyahu will drop his ultimatum and not resign
from the government or that Ariel Sharon will accept Netanyahu's demand and
go for national referendum:

Total: Resign 31.5% Drop ultimatum 46.5% Sharon agrees 15.9% Other 6.1%
Likud members: Resign 32.0% Drop ultimatum 38.5% Sharon agrees 17.6% Other
11.9%

Did ministers Naveh, Katz and Livnat do the right thing when they decided to
drop the ultimatum that had been presented to the prime minister regarding
having a national referendum on the disengagement plan?
Total: Yes 48.8% No 44.4% Other 6.8%
Likud members: Yes 60.8% No 33.2% Other 6.0%

Who do you think is dividing the Likud?
Total: Sharon 22.5% Netanyahu 60.3% Both 7.0% Other 10.2%
Likud members: Sharon 31.1% Netanyahu 45.9% Both 5.8% Other 17.2%

Should the Labor Party support the government in the vote on the state
budget?
Total: Yes 65.4% No 18.6% Other 16.0%
Labor voters: Yes 54.1% No 17.1% Other 28.8%

Ehud Barak is expected to announce in the coming days that he is returning
to political life. Do you support Ehud Barak's intentions to become the
leader of the Labor Party?
Total: Yes 30.4% No 53.8% Other 15.8%
Vote Likud: Yes 12.6% No 69.8% Other 17.6%
Vote Labor: Yes 56.1% No 25.4% Other 18.5%

What should the prime minister do if it turns out that Arafat has left the
international arena? Continue to carry out the disengagement plan exactly
according to the plan, stop the disengagement process and return to
negotiations with the Palestinians or continue the disengagement plan while
trying to gain cooperation from the Palestinian side?

Total:
Continue as is 22.4% Stop 20.5% Continue but seek cooperation 56.6% Other
0.5%
Vote Likud:
Continue as is 30.7% Stop 19.5% Continue but seek cooperation 49.8%
Vote Labor:
Continue as is 41.9% Continue but seek cooperation 58.1%

President Bush was re-elected president of the United States. Are you
pleased?
Total:
Very pleased 32.9% Considerably pleased 34.1%
Not so much 5.5% Not at all 14.1% Don't care 13.4%

Vote Likud:
Very pleased 50.5% Considerably pleased 37.9%
Not at all 2.5% Don't care 9.2%

Vote Labor:
Very pleased 32.3% Considerably pleased 39.0%
Not so much 3.4% Not at all 3.4% Don't care 21.9%

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il