Poll no.125 Date:
18 November, 2004

Dear Madam, dear Sir,

The Palestinian Center for Public Opinion ( PCPO) has recently carried out
two polls, the first before the death of President Yassir Arafat, and the
second after his death. Both polls focused on the thoughts, inclinations and
intentions of the Palestinians about "hot" questions of current interest
such as the election of the president of the Palestinian Authority, the
re-election of US President George Bush, the Palestinian-Israeli relations,
the right of home-return for the refugees and many other political issues.
We hope that these surveys will be of benefit to you, and please don't
hesitate in sending us your comments.

Assuring you our best services now and in future, we remain

Yours faithfully

Dr. Nabil Kukali

A poll carried out by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) and
Prepared by President
Dr.Nabil Kukali.

(88%) grieved about the death of President Yassir Arafat
(59.2%) satisfied to varying degrees with the election of Mr. Mahmoud Abbas
(Abu Mazin) Chairman of the PLO Executive Committee.
(70.1%) satisfied to varying degrees with the election of Mr. Ruhi Fattuh
President
of the Palestinian Authority.
(16%) are pleased to different degrees with the re-election of US
President George
Bush.
(68.5%) believe that the security-political situation is worrisome.
(45%) support a unilateral declaration of the truce.
(35%) oppose to the decision of amending the women's quota, while (41.8%)
support the amendment.
(27%) consider Mr. Mahmoud Abbas "Abu Mazen" as the first Palestinian
personality, who is capable of leading the Palestinian
Authority after the
death of the president, whilst (15.2%) consider Mr. Marwan
Bargouthi as
the second personality.
(57.7%) support the coordination of Israel with the Palestinian Authority
before the
Gaza withdrawal.
(30.6%) believe to varying degrees that the re-election of US President
George Bush
will serve the peace in the region.

From Majd Kokaly - Information Section

Two polls are recently prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali and conducted by the
Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO). The first one is carried out
during the period November 4 - 8, 2004 (before the death of president Yassir
Arafat) and the second during the period November 13 - 16, 2004 (after the
death of president Arafat).

The first poll included a random sample of (632) respondents from the West
Bank, including East Jerusalem, and Gaza Strip, and the second one was
limited to the residents of the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, with a
random sample of (552) respondents.

"The most significant thing both polls reveal" said Dr. Kukali, president of
the PCPO, "is the very high degree of sympathy the Palestinians have shown
to president Yassir Arafat in the course of his illness and at his death,
the matter which reflects the strong attachment of the majority of the
Palestinians to their deceased president, as well as their sympathy and
loyalty to him".

Dr. Kukali added also that "the results of both polls revealed the
superiority of Mr. Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazin) in the succession to the
presidency, followed in the second position by Mr. Marwan Barghouthi and Mr.
Farouk Kaddoumi in the third position". Dr. Kukali concluded his statement
saying that "the margin of error in the first poll was (+/-3.9%) and in the
second (+/-4.2%). The percentage of the female respondents in the two polls
was (47.3%) and (48.2%) respectively, whilst that of the male ones was
(52.7%) and (51.8%). The average size of the respondent families in the
first poll was (7.5) persons and in the second one (7.2) persons".

Dr. Kukali add that the average age of the respondent in the first poll was
(32) years and in the second one (31) years.

Dr. Kukali said the results of the poll were as follows:

1) To which extent are you grieved about the death of president Yassir
Arafat ?
November 13 - 16, 2004
1. very much grieved 67.2%
2. somewhat grieved 20.9%
3. somewhat unconcerned 5.8%
4. very much unconcerned 2.7%
5. no opinion 3.4%

2) Mr. Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazin) is elected Chairman of the Executive
Committee of the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO). Are you satisfied
with that, or not?
November 13 - 16, 2004
1. very much satisfied 37.9%
2. somewhat satisfied 21.4%
3. somewhat dissatisfied 8.9%
4. very much dissatisfied 25.5%
5. no opinion 6.7%

3) Mr. Ruhi Fattuh is elected President of the Palestinian Authority for a
limited period of 60 days in accordance with the Palestinian constitution.
Are you satisfied with that, or not.
November 13 - 16, 2004
1. very much satisfied 45.3%
2. somewhat satisfied 32.8%
3. somewhat dissatisfied 7.8%%
4. very much dissatisfied 12.5%
5. no opinion 9.6%

4) Having in the background the absence of President Yassir Arafat, do you
support or not support the Palestinian organizations in a unilateral
declaration of the truce?
November 4 - 8, 2004*/*November 13 - 16, 2004
1. Support 26.6%*/*45.0%
2. Don't support 59.6%*/*46.6%
3. Don't know 13.8%*/*8.4%

5) Having the absence of President Yassir Arafat in the background, a
certain percentage of people in the West Bank and Gaza strip agree to the
halt of the suicide attacks inside Israel, whilst others agree to their
continuity. Which of the following attitudes is next to your opinion?
November 4 - 8, 2004
1. the halt of the suicide attacks inside Israel. 37.9%
2. the continuity of the suicide attacks inside Israel 46.0%
3. don't know / refuse to answer16.1%

6) Having in the background the absence of President yassir Arafat, who is
the Palestinian personality capable - according to your opinion - of
leading the Palestinian authority? (Open question)
November 4 - 8, 2004 */*November 13 - 16, 2004
1. Mahmoud Abbas"Abu Mazen" 35.6%*/*27.0%
2. Marwan Bargouthi 8.5%*/*15.2%
3. Farouq El-Qaddoumi 3.2%*/*14.5%
4. Tayyeb Abdel Raheem 2.2%*/*11.1%
5. Ahmad Qrei' 20.5%*/*10.3%
6. Mohammad Dahlan 5.3%*/*2.4%
7. Mustafa Barghouthi 3.6%*/*3.6%
8. Jibreel Rjoub 0.9%*/*3.0%
9. Saeb Ereikat 2.9%*/*0.9%
10. Ruhi Fattuh-----*/*2.6%
11. Ahmad Abd Al-Rohman-----*/*1.3%
12. Azam Al-Ahmad-----*/*1.3%
13. Nasser Al-Qudweh 0.9%*/*0.9%
14. Mahmoud Al-Zahar 3.8%*/*0.3%
15. Asmaeel Abu Hanya 2.9%*/*0.2%
16. Haider Abdel Shfi-----*/*0.2%
17. Nabil Abu Rodayna 2.7%*/*1.1%
18. Hassan Khresha-----*/*1.1%
19. Hanan Ashrawi 0.2%*/*0.9%
20. Abdallah Al-Shami 0.4%*/*-----
21. Nabil Sh'ath 0.4%*/*0.6%
22. Mohmad Al-Hindi 0.7%*/*-----
23. Abbas Zaki 0.2%*/*-----
24. saleem Al-Zanoon 0.2%*/*-----
25. Abed Alrahem Maloh 0.2%*/*-----
26. Khaled Mesh'al-----*/*0.2%
27. Hakam Blaawee 1.2%*/*1.1%
28. Hussam Khader 1.1%*/*-----
29. Abed Albari Atwan-----*/*0.2%
30. Ghassan Alshka' 0.4%*/*-----
31. Yasser Abed Rabbo 2.0%*/*-----

7) Do you think that the absence of President Yassir Arafat would lead to a
void in the Palestinian Authority?
November 4 - 8, 2004*/*November 13 - 16, 2004
1. Yes 46.6%*/*69.3%
2. To some extent 39.0%*/*20.9%
3. No 11.0%*/*6.4%
4. Don't know 3.4%*/*4.2%

8) In the light of President Arafat's absence, are you optimistic or
pessimistic towards the future?
November 4 - 8, 2004 */*November 13 - 16, 2004
1. Optimistic 19.4%*/*31.4%
2. Pessimistic 59.7%*/*56.3%
3. Don't know 20.9%*/*12.3%

9) Having the absence of President Yassir Arafat in the background, to which
degree you think is the security-political situation worrisome?
November 4 - 8, 2004*/*November 13 - 16, 2004
1. Very worrisome 37.0%*/*30.9%
2. Worrisome 32.1%*/*37.6%
3. Not so worrisome 20.5%*/*22.7%
4. Not worrisome at all 5.9%*/*3.3%
5. Don't know 4.5%*/*5.5%

10) Don't you think that it is high time now that Israel removes the
check-points as a sign of good will to push the peace process forward?
November 4 - 8, 2004
1. Yes, I think 65.8%
2. No, I don't think 20.2%
3. Don't know.14.0%

11) Do you think that the present stage requires the opening of a new page
in the relations between the different Palestinian factions and movements ?
November 4 - 8, 2004 */*November 13 - 16, 2004
1. Yes, I think 73.3%*/*85.0%
2. No, I don't think 16.2%*/*46.6%
3. Don't know.10.5%*/*8.4%

12) What is the degree of your support to Yassir Arafat at present?
November 4 - 8, 2004
1. Strongly support him 41.6%
2. Somewhat support him 36.6%
3. Somewhat don't 12.4%
4. Strongly don't support him 5.3%
5. Don't know 4.1%

13) Don't you think that Israel should coordinate and negotiate with the
Palestinian Authority prior to the withdrawal from Gaza Strip in accordance
with Sharon's plan?
November 4 - 8, 2004
1. Yes 57.7%
2. No 28.2%
3. Don't know.14.1%

14) A suicide bombing took place on 01.11.2004 at Tel Aviv's central market.
Are you with or against such attacks?
November 4 - 8, 2004
1. with 54.5%
2. Against 33.1%
3.. Don't know12.4%

16) Are you pro or contra the halt of violence attacks against the Israelis
inside the "green line" against the demolition of the separation wall by
Israel?
November 4 - 8, 2004
1. Pro 47.9%
2. Contra 37.0%
3. Don't know15.1%

17) Do you think that the triumph of the American president George Bush
over his rival, Mr. John Kerry, will serve or not serve the peace in the
region?
November 4 - 8, 2004
1. will serve peace 8.7%
2. will serve peace to a certain extent 21.9%
3. will not serve peace 61.4%
4. don't know 8.0%

18) Please express the degree of your support to Mr. Ahmed Qureia (Abu
Al-Ala'), the Palestinian Prime-Minister !
November 4 - 8, 2004
1. I Strongly support him10.4%
2. I Somewhat support him 30.6%
3. I Somewhat don't 24.2%
4. I Strongly don't support him 26.0%
5. I Don't know 8.8%

19) The Israeli parliament (Knesset) approved last week Sharon's plan of the
unilateral withdrawal from Gaza Strip. What do you think is the target of
this plan?
November 4 - 8, 2004
1. Withdrawal of the Israeli armed forces from Gaza and dismantling the
Jewish settlements there as a first step would lead to a second route, which
may revive the peace process.16.9%
2. Freezing the peace process and undermining the Geneva Accord as to
deviate from the international pressure imposed upon Israel for its
approval.38.3%
3. Partial withdrawal from Gaza strip and deployment of the Israeli armed
forces around Gaza strip and the West Bank.32.8%
4. No opinion.12.0%

20) The Palestinian Legislative Council has carried out on 21.10.2004 a
reading followed by an amendment of the Women's Quota paragraph, which
grants both genders 20%-quota of the seats in the local and municipal
elections. Are you with or against this amendment?
November 4 - 8, 2004
1. with 41.8%
2. Against 35.2%
3. Don't know 23.0%

21) Do you think that the Palestinians are obliged to waive their claims to
the right of Home-return, which Israel will never agree to, as the price of
establishing an independent state for them and the conclusion of a peace
agreement with Israel?
November 4 - 8, 2004
1. The Palestinians have to accept that 15.0%
2. The Palestinians shouldn't accept that, even if consequently no peace
agreement would be concluded with Israel.72.2%
3. No opinion.12.8%

22) Don't you think that the success of the American president George Bush
in scoring a second presidential term would grant him more liberty in
dealing with the issue of the Israeli-Arab conflict, or not ?
November 4 - 8, 2004
1. I think so 26.6%
2. I don't think so 46.3%
3. I don't know 27.1%

23) The American president George Bush is elected for a second term as
president of the United States of America. Are you pleased for that?
November 4 - 8, 2004
1. very pleased 4.3%
2. considerable pleased 11.7%
3. not so much 15.3%
4. not at all 39.9%
5. don't care 28.8%

24) In case the Palestinian leadership would accept the waiver of the right
of Home-return and replace that with financial compensation. Would you
accept or refuse that?
November 4 - 8, 2004
1. would accept that 13.0%
2. would refuse that 78.6%
3. no opinion 8.4%

25) Do you think that it's the right of the Palestinians and Israelis to
live in peace and security, or not?
November 4 - 8, 2004
1. Yes 54.7%
2. No 28.8%
3. Don't know.16.5%

26) To which degree are you worried about the health condition of President
Yassir Arafat?
November 4 - 8, 2004
1. Too much worried 49.6%
2. Worried 31.0%
3. Somewhat worried 11.4%
4. Not worried at all 4.8%
5. Don't know 3.2%

27) Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly
oppose the notion that says that the political process (i.e. peace process)
is the best thing we can get under current conditions (i.e. international
changes):
November 4 - 8, 2004
1. Strongly agree16.8%
2. Somewhat agree 40.3%
3. Somewhat disagree17.6%
4. Strongly disagree13.8%
5. Do not know 11.5%

Contact Person: Dr. Nabil Kukali
Tel: 02 2774846, Telfax: 02 277 2034
Mobile: 0546 216643 / 059726878
Email: kukali@p-ol.com