Poll: 70.1% Likud Central Committee oppose Labor joining coalition 56.6%
public: continue disengagement
Dr. Aaron Lerner Date: 18 November 2004
The following is IMRA's translation of results of a telephone poll of 506
adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) and 280 Likud Central Committee
members carried out by Shvakim Panorama for Israel Radio's "Another Matter"
program on 17 November 2004 that is presented on the website of the radio
station.
(http://bet.iba.org.il ).
Questions to Likud Central Committee members
[Results compared to a telephone poll carried out by "Brain Base" ["Maagar
Mochot"] of a random sample of 363 Likud Central Committee members under the
direction of Prof. Y.Katz for Israel Radio's "Another Matter" program on 10
November 2004:
If elections were held for chairman of the Central Committee today who would
you vote for, Minister Hanegbi or MK Landau?
17 November Hanegbi 46.6% Landau 46.6% Other 6.8%
10 November Hanegbi 36% Landau 29% Other 35%
If elections for the chairman of the secretariat were held today who would
you vote for, Minister Katz, MK Ratzon or MK
Hirchson?
17 November Hirchson 24.1% Ratzon 23.7% Katz 38.5% Other 13.7%
10 November Hirchson 20% Ratzon 18% Katz 26% Other 36%
If elections were held for the chairman of the office today, who would you
vote for, Minister Naveh or MK Erdan?
17 November Naveh 49.6% Erdan 37.2% Other 13.2%
10 November Naveh 38% Erdan 21% Other 41%
If Ariel Sharon asks the Likud Assembly to change the decision it made last
August and allow him to bring the Labor Party into the Government, would you
support or oppose the Labor Party joining the Government?
Support 25.5% Oppose 70.1% No position 4.4%
Asked the general public
In light of the situation in the Palestinian Authority, should the
disengagement plan be continued or delayed?
Total: Continue 56.6% Delay 31.4% Other 12.0%
Likud voters: Continue 51.6 delay 42.7% Other 5.6%
Labor voters: Continue 70.9% Delay 21.4% Other 7.7%
Should Israel enable the Arab of eastern Jerusalem to vote in the elections
in the Palestinian Authority?
Total: Yes 44.3% No 41.1% Other 14.6%
Likud voters; Yes 36.3% No 52.7%Other 10.9%
Labor voters: Yes 52.0% No 23.1% Other 24.9%
Should former ISS (Shabak) head Ami Ayalon enter active politics?
Total: Yes 31.9% No 23.0% Other 45.1%
Likud voters: Yes 49.9% No 20.6% Other 29.5%
Labor voters: Yes 35.5% No 4.8%Other 59.6%
What political framework is most appropriate for Ami Ayalon to join?
(answered only by those who said he should become active)"
Likud 21.9% Labor 35.7% Shinui 1.2%
Make a new party 19.2% Other 22.0%
Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(Mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il
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