PCPO Poll of Palestinians #126 Date:27 November 2004
A poll carried out by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) and
Prepared by President
Dr.Nabil Kukali.

(67.8%) Worried to varying degrees about their means of
subsistence.
(64.9%) Evaluate the general economic conditions in the
Palestinian territories as bad.
(33.6%) Believe that their major concern at present is safety

From Majd Kokaly - Information Section

A recent survey of the economic situation in the Palestinian territories is
prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali and conducted by the Palestinian Center for
Public Opinion (PCPO) during the period from 19 Nov - 23 Nov ,2004. The
poll included a random sample of (650) Palestinian adults from the West
Bank, including East Jerusalem, and Gaza Strip. The interviews took place
according to PCPO's experienced methodology on the basis of random choices
at respondents' homes, i.e. face to face.

Dr. Kukali, president of PCPO, stated that "the most significant issue the
poll results revealed is that the Palestinian people are suffering from a
severe economic crisis, which made the normal citizen very concerned about
the essential means of living of his family". Dr. Kukali further pointed out
that "the security barrier and the check-points imposed by Israel on the
Palestinian territories increased the deterioration of the economical
situation, whilst on the other hand the Palestinian Authority is not capable
of creating new job opportunities for the people and has no economical
programs at present, the matter which aggravated the Palestinian crisis
dramatically".

"The sampling error throughout the survey is found at (±3.8%) and that of
the refusal (1.5%). The percentage of female respondents was (46.8%) whilst
that of the male ones was (53.2%). As to the marital status, the
distribution of the sample was as follows: (60.6%) married, (34.9%) single
and (4.5%) otherwise. The average age of the random sample of the
respondents was 30.5 years. The respondents' location of residence was as
follows: (49.5%) town, (32.5%) village and (18%) refugee camp", said Dr.
Kukali.

Dr. Kukali said the results of the poll were as follows:

1) Do you evaluate the general economic situation in the Palestinian
Territories as?
20 Nov 02*/*14 Apr 03*/*30 Sep 03*/*18 Oct004*/*27 Nov 04
1. Good 9.2%*/*2.6%*/*8.1%*/*7.4%*/*6.1%
2. Fair 24.7%*/*23.1%*/*19.5%*/*28.0%*/*26.3%
3. Bad 60.8%*/*69.8%*/*70.2%*/*61.7%*/*64.9%
4. Do not Know 5.3%*/*4.5%*/*2.2%*/*2.9%*/*2.7%

2) To what degree are you concerned about your means of subsistence?
20 Nov 02*/*14 Apr 03*/*30 Sep 03*/*18 Oct 0427 Nov 04
1. Highly concerned 20.7%*/*22.4%*/*26.4%*/*32.8%31.9%
2. Concerned 29.8%*/*27.4%*/*31.7%*/*34.4%35.9%
3. Not that concerned 19.8%*/*17.5%*/*20.2%*/*24.3%16.7%
4. Absolutely unconcerned 19.1%*/*18.7%*/*12.4%*/*5.9%10.8%
5. Do not know 10.6%*/*14.0%*/*9.3%*/*2.6%4.7%

3) What is your major concern at present?
25 Jan 04*/*27 Nov 04
1. Job/Money 30.6%*/*14.2%
2. Safety 26.8%*/*33.6%
3. Health 19.7%*/*20.2%
4. Future 22.9%*/*32.0%

4) Fifty one months back, to the time when the current Al-Aqsa Intifada
broke out, do you believe that it served or harmed the Palestinian
interests?
20 Nov 02*/*14 Apr 03*/*30 Sep 03*/*18 Oct 04*/*27 Nov 04
1. Considerably served 13.3%*/*12.6%*/*14.1%*/*13.1%*/*13.6%
2. Somewhat served 28.4%*/*33.8%*/*32.8%*/*26.2%*/*36.1%
3. Somewhat harmed 15.8%*/*17.1%*/*17.2%*/*18.3%*/*22.4%
4. Considerably harmed 25.1%*/*21.8%*/*23.0%*/*29.6%*/*18.1%
5. No opinion 17.4%*/*14.7%*/*12.9%*/*12.8%*/*9.8%

5) If Al-Aqsa Intifada continued in a way that further aggravated your
financial
conditions, would you still support it or demand that it stops?
3 Feb 03*/*14 Apr 03*/*18 Oct 04*/*27 Nov 04
1. Would still support 44.2%*/*32.3%*/*41.1%*/*38.6%
2. Would demand that it stops 30.9%*/*30.9%*/*41.5%*/*40.5%
3. Do not know 24.8%*/*36.8%*/*17.4%*/*20.9%

6) Do you believe that the PA is capable or incapable of creating job
opportunities for the Palestinian, who were working in Israel?
27 Nov 00*/*14 Apr 03*/*30 Sep 03*/*18 Oct 04*/*27 Nov 04
1. Capable 30.5%*/*18.2%*/*19.7%*/*20.7%*/*13.7%
2. Incapable 43.4%*/*64.7%*/*67.2%*/*69.2%*/*70.6%
3. Do not know 26.1%*/*17.1%*/*13.1%*/*10.1%*/*15.7%

7) Do you believe that the government of Abu-AL-A'LA is able to improve the
economical conditions of the Palestinian people?
12 Nov 03*/*27 Nov 04
1. Yes 12.7%*/*11.1%
2. Up to a certain degree 36.0%*/*22.5%
3. No 39.3%*/*54.9%
4. I have no opinion12.0%*/*11.5%

8) When asked "In general do you think that the PA has an economical agenda
to encounter the current crisis"?
19 Jun 02*/*03 Mar 04*/*27 Nov 04
1. Yes 49.9%*/*55.7%*/*8.7%
2. Some what 29.8%*/*23.8%*/*34.8%
3. No 9.5%*/*2.8%*/*44.8%
4. I don't know 10.8%*/*17.7%*/*11.7%

9) Do you believe or not believe that violence will alleviate in the
Palestinian territories if the Israeli government would take serious and
sincere measures to lift the siege and security belt from the Palestinian
territories?
20 Nov 02*/*14 Apr 03*/*30 Sep 03*/*18 Oct 04*/*27 Nov 04
1. Believe 28.7%*/*26.8%*/*23.2%*/*35.7%*/*27.1%
2.Believe to some extent 35.8%*/*46.0%*/*43.1%*/*35.9%*/*47.8%
3. Don't believe 25.8%*/*18.0%*/*25.4%*/*35.9%*/*19.3%
4. Don't know 9.7%*/*9.2%*/*8.3%*/*6.1%*/*5.8%

10) Would you increase or decrease your support of the Intifada if Israel
continued imposing economical siege and the security belt on the Palestinian
territories?
3 Feb 03*/*14 Apr 03*/*18 Oct 04*/*27 Nov 04
1.Would increase support 35.9%*/*28.4%*/*38.4%*/*41.1%
2. Would decrease support 21.7%*/*21.6%*/*40.2%*/*38.9%
3.No difference 24.5%*/*21.3%*/*21.4%*/*20%

11) To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statement:
"Mutual cooperation and joint projects between all nations of the region, in
cluding Israelis and Palestinians, in areas such as water, health,
environment, tourism etc. - should start as soon as possible, now even
before final peace agreements are reached"
30 Sep 03*/*18 Oct 04*/*27 Nov 04
1- Strongly agree 15.7%*/*13.5%*/*11.0%
2- somewhat agree 35.1%*/*35.0%*/*42.8%
3- somewhat disagree12.1%*/*20.6%*/*21.5%
4- Strongly disagree 24.6%*/*21.0%*/*18.3%
5- don't know12.5%*/*9.9%*/*6.4%

12) And in the present situation whilst permanent peace agreement has not
yet been reached - do you support or reject an open market and joint
economic projects between Israel and the Palestinians?
03 Mar 04*/*27 Nov 04
1. Definitely support 10.0%*/*15.9%
2. Somewhat support 44.1%*/*35.4%
3. Somewhat reject 17.6%*/*18.0%
4. Definitely reject 16.7%*/*23.2%
5. Don't know 11.6%*/*7.5%

13) How likely is it that there will be peace with the Israelis in the near
future?
23 Sep 02*/*09 Feb 04*/*18 Oct 04*/*27 Nov 04
1. Very likely12.5%*/*7.8%*/*8.5%*/*11.3%
2. Somewhat likely29.7%*/*40.9%*/*38.1%*/*32.0%
3. Somewhat unlikely15.9%*/*25.0%*/*22.8%*/*27.2%
4. Very unlikely31.1%*/*15.7%*/*20.5%*/*22.6%
5. Refused-do not read10.8%*/*10.6%*/*10.1%*/*6.9%

General information
14) Religion:
27 Nov 04
1. Muslim 94.4%
2. Christian 5.6%

15) Practice of religion:
27 Nov 04
1. Secular 9.2%
2. Traditional 31.0%
3. Religious 57.1%
4. Religious activist 2.7%

20. Practice of religion:
Secular 7.2% Traditional 30.2%
Religious 56.3% Religious Activist 6.3%

Methodology:
A stratified 3-stage cluster random sample of 650 individuals 18 years or
older was selected from the West Bank (including East Jerusalem) and Gaza
Strip. The first stage involves selecting 60 clusters with populations of
1,000 or more individuals (after stratification by district and type of
community- urban, rural, and refugee camp) with probabilities proportional
to size (PPS). The second stage involves selecting 10 households in each of
the chosen clusters. Stage 3 involves selecting one individual in each
household using Kish tables. Face-to-face interviews are then conducted
with the selected individuals.

PCPO Profile:
The Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) was founded in February
1994 in Beit Sahour by Dr. Nabil Kukali, who becomes the president for this
center since that time. After the arrival of the Palestinian Authority (PA),
the PCPO was registered as a research center under license. The Palestinian
Ministry of Information issued the license that permits establishing
satellite offices elsewhere in the West Bank and Gaza Strip. The PCPO has a
team of well-trained interviewers throughout the Palestinian territories. It
is dedicated to conducting public opinion surveys workshops and focus group
sessions on various topics, and rendering services in the field of
investment, including feasibility studies.

Contact Person: Dr. Nabil Kukali
Tel: 02 2774846, Fax: 02 277 2034
Mobile: 0547 216643 / 059726878
Email: kukali@p-ol.com