Poll: Likud Central Committee: Advance elections 13% New coalition 85%

Dr. Aaron Lerner Date: 3 December 2004

Telephone poll carried out by "Brain Base" ["Maagar Mochot"] of a
representative sample of over 452 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs)
and a random sample of 300 members of the Likud Party Central Committee
under the direction of Prof. Y.Katz for the Israeli television program
"Reshet in the Morning" program on 2 December 2004:

In light of the new political situation created after the ministers from
Shinui left the Government, which possibility would you prefer: advancing
the elections or a new coalition?
Total: Advance elections 31% New Coalition 61% Other 8%
Likud voters: Advance elections 23%New coalition 70% Other 7%
Labor voters: Advance elections 41% New coalition 55% Other 4%
Likud Central Committee: Advance elections 13% New coalition 85% Other 2%

Of those wanting new coalition:
Total: What composition would you prefer?
21% Likud/Labor/Yahadut Hatorah/Shas
52% Likud/Labor/Yahadut Hatorah
11% Likud/Yahadut Hatorah/Shas
16% Other

Likud Voters: What composition would you prefer?
34% Likud/Labor/Yahadut Hatorah/Shas
47% Likud/Labor/Yahadut Hatorah
07% Likud/Yahadut Hatorah/Shas
12% Other

Labor Voters: What composition would you prefer?
05% Likud/Labor/Yahadut Hatorah/Shas
72% Likud/Labor/Yahadut Hatorah
03% Likud/Yahadut Hatorah/Shas
20% Other

Likud Central Committee members: What composition would you prefer?
50% Likud/Labor/Yahadut Hatorah/Shas
21% Likud/Labor/Yahadut Hatorah
17% Likud/Yahadut Hatorah/Shas
12% Other

If elections held expressed in Knesset seats [current seats]
41 [40] Likud
24 [19] Labor
12 [15] Shinui
08 [11] Shas
07 [07] National Union
05 [06] Yachad [Meretz]
04 [06] NRP
05 [05] Yahadut Hatorah
02 [03] One Nation (Peretz)
08 [08] Arab parties
04 [00] Other parties

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(Mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il