Poll: 127
Date: 06 December 2004

Dear Madam, dear Sir,

The Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) is pleased to announce the
results of poll no. 127, which is focusing on the knowledge of the
Palestinians' tendencies and inclinations towards their favorite candidate
for the PA presidency, their opinion about the boycott of Hamas and the
Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine ( PFLP ) of the presidential
elections.
This poll is directly conducted after the announcement of the Central
Election Committee on Thursday, 3.12.2004, of the ten names of the
candidates and is carried out in the shortest possible time using face to
face interviews with the Palestinian citizens, who are entered in the
Register of Voters. We hope that this survey will be of benefit to you, and
please don't hesitate in sending us your comments.

Assuring you our best services now and in future, we remain

Yours faithfully

Dr. Nabil Kukali

A poll carried out by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO)
and Prepared by President Dr.Nabil Kukali.

(39.8%) being till now the highest rate of support in the run for the
Presidency of the Palestinian Authority, would be given to
Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazin), followed by Marwan
Barghouthi (21.9%),

(44.4%) oppose to Hamas attitude of boycotting the presidency
elections.

(42.0%) oppose to the Popular Front's (PFLP) attitude of boycotting the
Presidency elections.

(39.9%) believe that the retreat of Marwan Bargouthi from the
candidacy was a wrong decision.

(85.0%) They will participate in voting for the election of the PA
President, which will be held on January 9, 2005?

From Majd Kokaly - Information Section

In the most recent poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali and conducted by the
Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) in the period from 3rd to 5th
of December 2004 a random sample of (977) Palestinian adults was involved.
The sample is chosen from the Register of Voters and represents demographic
models from the West Bank, incl. East Jerusalem, and Gaza Strip. The
interviews took place according to PCPO's experienced methodology on the
basis of random choices at respondents' homes, i.e. face to face.

Dr. Nabil Kukali, PCPO President, stated that "the most important issue the
results of the poll revealed is that Mr. Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazin) has
obtained the highest score of support as candidate of the PA presidency,
followed by Marwan Barghouthi in the second position and Mustafa Bargouthi
in the third". "It has been further noticed", Dr. Kukali said "that the
biggest boost to Abu Mazin came from the supporters of Fatah movement,
followed by Marwan Barghouthi.
Dr. Kukali added that "the conductance of this poll in this period and at
this speed should be considered as an important factor for giving the
candidates a picture about the popular support to them and to be always at
the latest state of the Palestinian affairs".

Dr. Kukali said:" I trust this step will represent a protrusive role of the
Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) in serving the democracy
process on the field of the elections for the presidency of the Palestinian
National Authority". The poll has revealed that (85.0%) of the Palestinian
people are intending to participate in voting for the election of the PA
president scheduled on Jan. 9, 2005, whilst (3.8%) said they won't vote, and
(11.2%) "Didn't decide yet".

"The sampling error throughout the survey is found at (+/-3.13%) and that of
the refusal (2.0%). The percentage of female respondents was (48.3%) whilst
that of the male ones was (51.7%). As to the marital status, the
distribution of the sample was as follows: (64.8%) married, (30.1%) single,
(2.3%) Divorced, (2.8%) Widowed. The average age of the random sample of
the respondents was 32.4 years. The respondents' location of residence was
as follows: (48.1%) City, (30.9%) village / town and (21.0%) refugee camp",
said Dr. Kukali.

Dr. Nabil Kukali said the results of the poll where as follows:

1) Are you going to participate in voting for the election of the PA
President, which will be held on January 9, 2005?

06 December 2004
1. Yes, I will (proceed to question no. 2) 85.0%
2. No, I will not (jump to question no. 3) 3.8%
3. I didn't decide yet. (jump to question no. 3) 11.2%

2) The deadline of the candidacy was the midnight of Dec. 1, 2004.
Ten presidential candidates will run in the election. Below is the list of
their names according to the priority of their registration. Please put a
circle around the name of your choice.

06 December 2004
1. Mustafa Barghouthi (independent candidate) 13.6%
2. Abdul-Sattar Qassim (independent candidate) 3.2%
3. Mahmoud Abbas (candidate of Fateh) 39.8%
4. Bassam Al-Salhi (candidate of the People's Party) 2.2%
5. Tayseer Khalid (candidate of the Democratic Front)3.5%
6. Abdul-Karim Shabeer (independent candidate) 2.5%
7. Hassan Khreshe (independent candidate) 2.2%
8. Marwan Barghouthi (independent candidate) 21.9%
9. Abdul-Haleem Ashqar (independent candidate) 1.7%
10. Sayyed Barake (independent candidate) 0.4%
11. I didn't decide yet.9.0%

3) Do you think that the presidential elections will be run in an impeccable
way, or not?
06 December 2004
1. Impeccable 49.9%
2. Unimpeachable 31.8%
3. Don't know18.3%

4) Do you think that Hamas attitude of boycotting the candidacy for the PA
presidency and not participating in the presidential elections was a right
or a wrong decision?
06 December 2004
1. A right decision 36.9%
2. A wrong decision 44.4%
3. Don't know18.7%

5) Do you think that the attitude of the Popular Front for the Liberation of
Palestine (PFLP) of boycotting the candidacy for the PA presidency and not
participating in the presidential elections was a right or a wrong decision?
06 December 2004
1. A right decision 34.0%
2. A wrong decision 42.0%
3. Don't know 24.0%

6) Do you think that the PLC-member Marwan Barghouthi, having recently
announced his candidacy for the presidential elections as an independent
candidate and by doing so retreated from his previous decision not to run in
the election and to boost the candidate of Fateh movement, has made the
right or the wrong decision?
06 December 2004
1. The right decision 39.1%
2. The wrong decision 39.9%
3. Don't know 21.0%

7) Which of the following issues you think is the most important one on
effecting your choice of the presidential candidate?
06 December 2004
1. His political program 25.5%
2. His political engagement 30.6%
3. His economical program 16.4%
4. His qualifications and personal capabilities. 22.9%
5. Otherwise, please specify 4.6%

8) There is a set of important issues which may effect your vote for the
candidate of your choice. Please put a circle around the issue you think it
is the most important one (you can have more than one choice).
06 December 2004
1. Right of home return for the refugees 22.5%
2. Development and economic prosperity 15.6%
3. Jerusalem 27.1%
4. Combating corruption 17.6%
5. Democracy and human rights 7.7%
6. Security 9.5%

9) The relation between the participation or the non-participation in the
elections and the political support of the Palestinian parties and
movements.
Yes, I will participate*/*No, I will not participate*/*Didn't decide yet
Of those who will vote:
Fateh 53.2% Hamas 10.4% PFLP 3.2% Islamic Jihad 2.3% Other parties 30.9%
Of those who do not plan to vote:
Fateh 13.5% Hamas 48.6% PFLP 0.0% Islamic Jihad 13.5% Other parties 24.4%
Of those who have not decided if they will vote
Fateh 29.0% Hamas 29.9% PFLP 5.6% Islamic Jihad 9.3% Other parties 26.2%

10) The relation between the support to Mahmoud Abbas and Marwan Barghouthi
from Fatah movement supporter:
Suport Fateh: Mahmoud Abbas 73.6% Marwan Barghouthi 26.4%

11) Sex composition of the sample:
06 December 2004
1. Male51.7%
2. Female48.3%

12) Religion:
06 December 2004
1. Muslim96.5%
2. Christian3.5%

13) If elections were being held today, which political party would you vote
for?
06 December 2004
1. People's party 2.5%
2. The popular front for the liberation of Palestine (PFLP)3.4%
3. Fatah 48.9%
4. Hamas 14.0%
5. The democratic front of the liberation of Palestine (DFLP) 4.3%
6. The Islamic jihad 3.6%
7. FIDA 1.3%
8. Liberation (Tahreer) Party 0.4%
9. popular struggle (nidal) front 0.6%
10. Palestinian Liberation Front 0.8%
11. Arab Liberation Front 0.4%
12. Independents 16.1%
13. Other 0.3%
14. None of the above 3.4%

14) Practice of religion:
06 December 2004
1. Secular 9.4%
2. Traditional 27.8%
3. Religious 60.8%
4. Religious activist 2.0%

15) Martial status:
06 December 2004
1. Single30.1%
2. Married 64.8%
3. Divorced 2.3%
4. Widowed 2.8%

16) Sample distribution:
06 December 2004
1. West Bank 65.7%
2. Gaza Strip 34.3%

17) Number of years of study: (12.3) years.

18) Number of individuals living in the same house (including all ages):
(7.3) person.

Methodology:

A stratified 3-stage cluster random sample of 977 individuals 18 years or
older was selected from the West Bank (including East Jerusalem) and Gaza
Strip. The first stage involves selecting 60 clusters with populations of
1,000 or more individuals (after stratification by district and type of
community- urban, rural, and refugee camp) with probabilities proportional
to size (PPS). The second stage involves selecting 10 households in each of
the chosen clusters. Stage 3 involves selecting one individual in each
household using Kish tables. Face-to-face interviews are then conducted
with the selected individuals.

PCPO Profile:

The Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) was founded in February
1994 in Beit Sahour by Dr. Nabil Kukali, who becomes the president for this
center since that time. After the arrival of the Palestinian Authority (PA),
the PCPO was registered as a research center under license number (2/). The
Palestinian Ministry of Information issued the license that permits
establishing satellite offices elsewhere in the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
The PCPO has a team of well-trained interviewers throughout the Palestinian
territories. It is dedicated to conducting public opinion surveys workshops
and focus group sessions on various topics, and rendering services in the
field of investment, including feasibility studies.

Conact Person:
Dr. Nabil Kukali
Tel: 02 2774846, Telefax: 02 277 2034
Mobile: 0547 216643 / 059726878
Email: kukali@p-ol.com