Poll No.131 Date: January 7, 2005

Dear Madam, dear Sir,

The Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) is pleased to announce the
results of poll no. 131, which is focusing on the knowledge of the
Palestinians' tendencies and inclinations towards their favorite candidate
for the PA presidency. We hope that this survey will be of benefit to you,
and please don't hesitate in sending us your comments

Assuring you our best services now and in future, we remain

Yours faithfully

Dr. Nabil Kukali

The A poll carried out by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO)
and Prepared by Director Dr.Nabil Kukali.

(51.8%) Support Mahmoud Abbas to the PA presidency.
(25.3%) Support Dr. Mustafa Barghouthi to the PA presidency.
(6.1%) Support Tayseer Khaled to the PA presidency.
(5.6%) Support Bassam El-Salhi to the PA presidency.

Beit Sahour: From Majd Kokaly - Information Section

In the latest poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali und conducted by the
Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) in the period from (5 - 7)
January 2005, i.e. few days before the election day, a random sample of
(2162) Palestinian adults over 17 years was included, representing the
various demographic models of the Palestinian society in the West Bank,
including East Jerusalem, and Gaza Strip. "All interviews", said Dr. Kukali,
Director of PCPO, "took place on the basis of random choices of respondents'
homes, i.e. face to face. The choices were takes from a total of (212)
election sites, from which (160) sites are located in the West Bank and (52)
sites in Gaza Strip according to the distribution of the Central Election
Committee. These election sites are randomly chosen by using the method of
the simple random sample. These sites in turn were the beginning of the
random sample choice made from that regions in accordance with PCPO's long
experienced methodology. The sampling error throughout the survey is found
at (+/-2.1%). The percentage of female respondents was (49.9%) whilst that
of the male ones was (50.1%).

Dr. Kukali pointed out that the "response to the poll question about the
choice of the presidential candidate was conducted in a secret way. The
respondents were asked to put a mark on the right side of the candidate's
name and to drop the "voting-sheet" into a closed box, specially designed
for that purpose. Every respondent was requested to vote honestly in the
same intent as he/she would do on Sunday, the 9th of January, i.e. on the
Election Day. The poll is said to be considered as pre-voting."
Dr. Kukali added saying:" the most significant issue the poll results
revealed is that Mr. Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazin) has scored the major support
as runner to the PA presidency, followed by Dr. Mustafa Barghouthi in the
second position and Mr. Tayseer Khaled in the third one.

Dr. Kukali said, "The following figures would be the outcome for each of
them":
[Distribution of supporters by sex]
Mr. Mahmoud Abbas: (51.7%) males and (48.3%) females.
Dr. Mustafa Barghouthi: (49.5%) males and (50.5%) females.
Mr. Tayseer Khaled: (37.1%) males and (62.1%) females.

Dr. Nabil Kukali said the results of the poll where as follows:

1) Please put the sign (X) in the square right to the name of the
candidate, for whom you would vote . (Please don't put more than one X
sign).

Mustafa Barghouthi 25.3%, Mahmoud Abbas 51.8%, Bassam Al-Salhi 5.6%,
Tayseer Khalid 6.1%, Abdul-Karim Shabeer 3.1%, Abdul-Haleem Ashqar 3.2%,
Sayyed Barake 2.1%, A blank sheet,2.8%

2) Distribution of the sample among the governorates.

1. Jenin 7.8%
2. Nablus 9.8%
3. Ramallah 7.6%
4. Bethlehem 5.6%
5. Jerusalem 5.4%
6. Hebron 14.4%
7. Jericho 1.5%
8. Tulkarem 5.0%
9. Tubas 1.5%
10. Qalqilia 2.6%
11. Salfit 2.2%
12. North Gaza 12.8%
13. Gaza City 6.5%
14. Deir El - Balah 6.1%
15. Khan Yonis 6.4%
16. Rafah 4.9%

3) Distribution of the sample according to the rate of support attained by
each of the candidates in all the governorates. Mahmoud Abbas, Mustafa
Barghouthi, Tayseer Khalid, Bassam Al-Salhi

Jenin
Abbas:50.6%Barghouthi:16.7%Khalid:7.1%Salhi:8.9%

Nablus
Abbas:48.1%Barghouthi:23.1%Khalid:7.1%Salhi:10.8%

Ramallah
Abbas:39.4%Barghouthi:32.1%Khalid:7.3%Salhi:9.1%

Bethlehem
Abbas:55.8%Barghouthi:22.5%Khalid:10.8%Salhi:3.3%

Jerusalem
Abbas:51.7%Barghouthi:31.0%Khalid:6.9%Salhi:6.9%

Hebron
Abbas:44.1%Barghouthi:33.4%Khalid:3.5%Salhi:5.1%

Jericho
Abbas:78.1%Barghouthi:18.8%Khalid:0.0%Salhi:3.1%

Tulkarem
Abbas:43.5%Barghouthi:23.1%Khalid:8.3%Salhi:5.6%

Tubas
Abbas:34.4%Barghouthi:15.6%Khalid:9.4%Salhi:9.4%

Qalqilia
Abbas:47.4%Barghouthi:19.3%Khalid:8.8%Salhi:7.0%

Salfit
Abbas:52.1%Barghouthi:16.7%Khalid:8.3%Salhi:10.4%

North Gaza
Abbas:59.2%Barghouthi:26.0%Khalid:5.1%Salhi:0.0%

Gaza City
Abbas:54.6%Barghouthi:21.3%Khalid:6.4%Salhi:6.4%

Deir El - Balah
Abbas:59.8%Barghouthi:33.3%Khalid:4.5%Salhi:2.3%

Khan Yonis
Abbas:58.0%Barghouthi:20.3%Khalid:5.1%Salhi:4.3%

Rafah
Abbas:65.7%Barghouthi:20.0%Khalid:3.8%Salhi:1.95

Contact Person: Dr. Nabil Kukali
Tel: 02 2774846, Telfax: 02 277 2034, Fax: 02 2774892
Mobile: 0547 216643 / 059726878
Email: kukali@p-ol.com