Poll: 54.6%:38.3% Halt Disengagement Preparations For Nat'l Referendum Or
Elections

Aaron Lerner Date: 15 January 2005

The following are results from a Dialogue polls for Haaretz of e
representative sample of adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried
out on the evening of 12 January 2005, after the new government coalition
was formed, as published in Haaretz on 14 January. Sample size is not
indicated.

Do you think that the new government will succeed in implementing the
disengagement plan?
Certain yes 16.1% Think yes 28.7%
Maybe yes, maybe no 21.5%
Think no 19.3% Certain no 9.3%
Don't know 5.1%

On a scale from 1 to 10, with 10 excellent, what grade would you give to the
performance of Prime Minister Sharon?

Total: Jan 2005: 6.25 Nov. 2004: 6.05 Jan 2004: 5.0
Likud voters: Jan 2005: 6.72 Nov. 2004: 7.37 Jan 2004: 6.6
Labor voters: Jan 2005: 6.89 Nov. 2004: 6.4 Jan 2004: 4.1
[The commentary in Haaretz noted that Sharon now gets a better rating from
Labor voters than Likud voters.]

If elections were held today what party would you vote for?
(Results in percentages)

Total:
Labor 14.7% Shinui 6.1% Likud 24.9% Meretz/Yachad 4.9%
Right parties 8.0% Ultra-Orthodox 9.2% Arab 0.8% Other 3.5%
Won't vote 8.4% Refuse reply 4.3% Don't know 15.1%

Voted Shinui last elections:
Labor 8% Shinui 42% Likud 10% Meretz/Yachad 0%
Right parties 8.0% Ultra-Orthodox 0% Arab 0% Other 2%
Won't vote 8% Refuse reply 0% Don't know 22%

Should Prime Minister Sharon continue with the preparations for the
disengagement from Gaza, first go to a national referendum or go to new
elections?
[IMRA: It should be noted that the wording assumes that it is not possible
to continue with preparations at the same time that a referendum campaign
and vote is underway. ]

Total:
Continue 38.3% Referendum 37.5% Elections 17.1% Don't know 7.1%
Arab parties:
Continue 38.7% Referendum 29.0% Elections 29.0% Don't know 3.2%
Ultra-Orthodox parties:
Continue 7.7% Referendum 46.2% Elections 28.8% Don't know 17.3%
Right parties:
Continue 7.5% Referendum 70.0% Elections 15.0% Don't know 7.5%
Likud:
Continue 29.3% Referendum 48.8% Elections 17.1% Don't know 4.9%
Labor Party:
Continue 73.3% Referendum 15.0% Elections 8.3% Don't know 3.3%

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(Mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il