Poll: 52%:37% Favor referendum, 46% who want referendum favor disengagement
Dr. Aaron Lerner Date: 11 February 2005
Telephone poll carried out by "Brain Base" ["Maagar Mochot"] of a
representative sample of 609 from the adult Israeli population (including
Israeli Arabs) under the direction of Prof. Y.Katz for the Israeli
television program "Reshet in the Morning" program on 10 February 2005.
Survey error +/- 4.5 percentage points:
Do you favor having a national referendum on the disengagement plan?
10 Feb '05: Yes 52% No 37% Other 11%
09 Feb '05: Yes 54% No 40% Other 06%
27 Oct '04: Yes 44% No 48% Other 08%[after Knesset approved plan]
18 Oct '04: Yes 57% No 32% Other 11%
09 Sep '04: Yes 60% No 17% Other 23%
How would you vote if a national referendum were held on the disengagement
plan today?
10 Feb '05: For 54% Against 31% Other 15%
18 Oct '04: For 62% Against 26% Other 12%
08 Sep '04: For 63% Against 14% Other 23%
Among those in favor of having a national referendum:
10 Feb '05: 46% Favor disengagement 44% Oppose 10% Other
Should a national referendum include the general Israeli population
(including the Arab sector) or only the Jewish population?
General population 52% Jewish 42% Other 6%
If a national referendum is held on disengagement and the results are that a
majority favor disengagement, what difference in favor of disengagement
would you consider to be a legitimate majority (replied in percentage)?
54% Up to ten percent
17% Eleven to twenty percent
29% Twenty one percent and more
Percent who replied that a majority of one to ten percent difference is
sufficient by party affiliation
Likud 47% Labor 55% Shinui 60%
Among NRP/Nat'l Union voters, 57% require a difference of over twenty one
percent
Average percentage difference required for a legitimate majority by party
voted for in last elections:
Likud 19% Labor 15% Shinui 14% NRP/Nat'l Union 25%
Shas/Yahadut hatorah 15%
Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(Mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il
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