Poll: 58.5%:31.5% Oppose additional disengagements, Likud members: 66.7%
Landau is the genuine Likudnik
Aaron Lerner Date: 26 August 2005

Dialogue - for Haaretz
Representative sample of 501 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs)
surveyed 23-24 August, 2005. Sample error: +/- 4.37 percentage points

This week the disengagement is to be completed. With the completion of the
evacuation of the settlements in Gaza and northern Samaria, what is your
position regarding the disengagement plan?
Support greatly 34.4% Tend to support 17.9%
Tend to oppose 7.7% Greatly oppose 30.3%
Don't know 7.3% refuse to reply 2.4%

If in the coming year it is not possible to reach an arrangement with the
Palestinians, would you support or oppose additional "disengagements". that
is to say, unilateral evacuation of isolated settlements in Judea and
Samaria?
Support-a lot 15% Support 16.5%
Opposed 18.4% Oppose greatly 40.1%
Don't know 9.4%
Refuse reply 0.7%
[IMRA: This question relates to unilateral withdrawal. The Dahaf-Yediot
Ahronot question
"Should communities in Judea and Samaria be evacuated? Yes 54% No 42%"
left open not only the extent of the evacuation but also the context. Thus,
someone who is willing to evacuate a single isolated community within the
framework of an iron-clad peace agreement would answer "yes" to Dahaf but
"no" to Dialogue]

How would you describe the condition of the State of Israel today, after the
evacuation of Gush Katif?
Normal.proper 23.5% Hurt/in pain 61.6% Both 6.8%
Neither 4.5% Other 2.4% Refuse reply 1.2%

How did the images of the evacuation effect your feelings towards the
settlers?
Increased support 40.5% Decreased 16.1% No change 38.7%
Refuse reply 4.7%

How would you term how the media treated the settlers being evacuated during
the course of the evacuation?
Identification/support 18.4% Cynical/cold 21.9% Objective/fair 45.9%
Other 3.7% Don't know 10.1%

Who is more responsible for the administrative problems of the evacuees that
came up after the evacuation?
48.6% Government/Disengagement Authority that did not take care to prepare
solutions
25.9% Evacuees and their leaders that did not prepare in advance for the
evacuation
21.6% Both to same extent
03.6% Don't know
00.2% Refuse reply

In retrospect, how would you describe the settlement enterprise and the
establishment of settlements in Judea, Samaria and the Gaza Strip?
Historic mistake 34% Necessary, Zionism realized 32.1%
Controversial 26.5% Don't know 6.8% Reuse reply 0.7%

If Ariel Sharon leaves the Likud and establishes an independent center-right
party with moderates from the Likud would you vote for such a list on the
coming elections
Certain yes 10.7% Think yes 11.4%
Think no 11% Certain no 48.1%
Don't know 14.9% Refuse reply 3.9%

---
Representative sample of 501 Likud members surveyed 22-23 August, 2005[days
of evacuation]. Sample error: +/- 4.37 percentage points

Who would you vote for to head the Likud:

3-way race:

Sharon 30.6% Netanyahu 26.3% Landau 24.2% None 8.7%
[IMRA: would go a second round]

2-way:

Sharon 30.5% Netanyahu 46.9% Neither 13.6%
Sharon 37% Landau 45% Neither 11.6%

How would you term the behavior of the ministers who voted against
disengagement yet remain in the government?
66% Hypocrites
20.6% Responsible - want to keep government intact
12% Don't know

Who most genuinely represents the opposition to the disengagement and
keeping the transitional values of the Likud? Netanyahu or Landau?
Netanyahu 14.8% Landau 66.7% Both 4.3% Neither 7.5%

Prime Minister Sharon reiterates that there will be no more additional
unilateral disengagements. Do you believe him?
Not at all 57% Tend not to 8.4%
Tend to believe 15.7% Completely believe 14.2%

Asked to Likud members who said that they support Netanyahu and Landau]:
If on the eve of the primaries the polls show that Sharon would bring the
Likud more Knesset seats than Netanyahu, would you consider voting for
Sharon?
Certain no 76.2% Think no 9.8%
Think yes 5% Certain yes 4.8%

Haaretz 26 August 2005

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il