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Sunday, March 26, 2006
PSR Poll:52.4% Support armed attacks against Israeli civilians inside Israel, 60.8% Hamas shouldn't recognize Israel, 66.9% Armed confrontation helped, 78% Hamas would find alternative funding

PSR Poll:52.4% Support armed attacks against Israeli civilians inside
Israel, 60.8% Hamas shouldn't recognize Israel, 66.9% Armed clonfrontation
helped, 78% Hamas would find alternative funding

PSR poll No. 19
Survey Research Unit: Poll No. 19 - Press Release

20 March 2006
PRESS RELEASE
Palestinian Public Opinion Poll No. (19)

On The Eve of The Formation of the New Palestinian Government, Hamas'
Popularity Increases and Fateh's Decreases, but a Majority of the
Palestinians Wants the Continuation of the Peace Process and the
Implementation of the Road Map

16-18 March 2006

These are the results of the latest poll conducted by the Palestinian Center
for Policy and Survey Research in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip during
March 16-18, 2006. Total size of the sample is 1270 adults interviewed face
to face in 127 randomly selected locations. Margin of error is 3%.

For further details, contact PSR director, Dr. Khalil Shikaki, or Walid
Ladadweh at tel 02-296 4933 or email pcpsr@pcpsr.org.

www.pcpsr.org/survey/polls/2006/p19etables1.html

16-18 March 2006

01) Are you satisfied or not satisfied with the performance of Mahmud Abbas
since his election as president of the PA?
1) very satisfied 9.2
2) satisfied 52.2
3) not satisfied 28.3
4) not satisfied at all 8.2
5) DK/NA 2.1

02) If new presidential elections were to take place in the PA, whom do you
prefere to see president of the PA?
1) Mahmoud Abbas 36.5
2) Mahoud Zahhar 25.2
3) Mustafa Barghouti 15
4) Others 12.1
5) No Opinion/ Don't know 11.3

03) And if you were to select a vice president, whom would you choose?
1) Mahmoud Zahhar 10.5
2) Mohammad Dahlan 8
3) Marwan Barghouti 19.8
4) Mustafa Barghouti 5.9
5) Ahmad Quri' 1.9
6) Ismael Haneyeh 30
7) Saeb Erikat 5.6
8) Farouq Qaddomi 7.2
9) Others 3.7
10) No Opinion /Don't know 7.4

04) To whom of the following lists did you vote in the legislative elections
that took place in January 25, 2006?
1) alternative 1.7
2) independent Palestine 2.6
3) Abu Ali Mustafa 2.9
4) Abu al Abbas 0.4
5) freedom and social justice 0.2
6) change and reform 46.2
7) national coalition for justice and democracy 0.2
8) third way 1
9) freedom and independence 0.3
10) Palestinian justice 0.1
11) Fateh 44.4

05) If new elections are held today and the same lists that took part in the
last PLC elections were nominated, for whom would you vote?
1) alternative 1.4
2) independent Palestine 3.5
3) Abu Ali Mustafa 2.6
4) Abu al Abbas 0.3
5) freedom and social justice 0.3
6) change and reform 47
7) national coalition for justice and democ 0.3
8) third way 0.8
9) freedom and independence 0.4
10) Palestinian justice 0.2
11) Fateh 38.9
12) none of the above/ DK/NA/ Do not remember 4.4

06) Given the results of PLC elections which took place about two months
ago, some say that Hamas won because most voters wanted first and foremost
(select one only)
1) a fighting authority that resists occupation 6.7
2) a clean authority that fights corruption 35.6
3) a strong authority that ends anarchy and chaos 9.4
4) an Islamic authority that rules according to Sharia and religion 36.6
5) other reasons specify ---- 9.3
6) DK/NA 2.4

07) Some say that Fateh Lost these elections because most voters first and
foremost (select only)
1) punished it for the failure of the peace process 5.1
2) punished it for the spread of corruption in the PA 51.9
3) punished it for its inability to put an end to anarchy and chaos 17.2
4) it was divided leaderless 18.9
5) other reasons specify ----- 3.7
6) DK/NA 3.3

08) And why in your opinion did the Left (such as the PFLP, the DFLP, Fida,
People's Party, and al Mubadara) lose the elections
1) because it was divided 27.1
2) because of its political positions 15.5
3) because of lack of trust in its leadership 33.8
4) others specify ------- 11
5) DK/NA 12.5

09) Do you expect Hamas to succeed or fail in its work in leading and
managing the affairs of the PA?
1) Certainly succeed 18.7
2) Succeed 51.7
3) fail 19.2
4) certainly fail 3.1
5) DK/NA 7.3

10) The PLO and the PA have recognized the state of Israel as part of the
peace process which was based on the Oslo Agreement. Hamas refused and still
refuses to recognize Israel. What do you think? Now that it has won the
elections, should Hamas recognize or not recognize the state of Israel?
1) It should recognize the state of Israel 35.7
2) It should not recognize the state of Israel 60.8
3) DK/NA 3.5

11) The Western donor community provides the PA economic and financial
assistance reaching about one billion dollars every year. Do you think the
PA can or can not do without this assistance?
1) it certainly can do without it 7.5
2) it can do without it 23
3) it can not do without it 40.1
4) it certainly can not do without it 27.8
5) DK/NA 1.7

12) For the assistance to continue, the donor community demand that Hamas
must recognize the state of Israel. Do you think Hamas should accept this
demand and recognize Israel?
1) Certainly yes 11.6
2) yes 25.5
3) no 42
4) certainly no 17.2
5) DK/NA 3.7

13) If Hamas refuses to recognize Israel, do you think the donor community
will indeed stop assisting the PA?
1) certainly it will stop the assistance 18.4
2) it will stop the assistance 32
3) it will not stop the assistance 35.3
4) certainly it will not stop the assistance 10
5) DN/NA 4.3

14) If the donor community does cut off its aid, do you believe the PA would
collapse?
1) certainly it will collapse 17.7
2) it will collapse 33.5
3) it will not collapse 38.1
4) certainly it will not collapse 7.9
5) DK/NA 2.8

15) If the donor community cut off support to the PA, do you think Hamas
would find alternative sources, for example from Arab and Muslim countries?
1) certainly it will find 24.5
2) it will find 53.5
3) it will not find 15.4
4) certainly it will not find 3.8
5) DK/NA 2.8

16) What do you think will happen? Do you expect Hamas to agree to the
demands of the donor community by recognizing Israel or will it not agree to
do that?
1) certainly it will agree 5.3
2) it will agree 35.1
3) it will not agree 42.5
4) certainly it will not agree 10.7
5) DK/NA 6.4

17) If Israel agrees to conduct peace negotiations with a Hamas-led PA, do
you think the Hamas-led PA should or should not negotiate with Israel?
1) certainly it should negotiate 26.2
2) it should negotiate 48.9
3) it should not negotiate 16.7
4) certainly it should not negotiate 5.2
5) DK/NA 3

18) A conflict exists at the moment over who should control the security
services the cabinet led by Hamas or president Mahmud Abbas from Fateh.
What do think, who should control the security services?
1) the cabinet 24.5
2) the president 27.1
3) both 37.1
4) one part should come under the cabinet and another under the president
7.9
5) other specify ----- 0.7
6) DK/NA 2.7

19) Are you worried or not worried about your personal freedom now that
Hamas has won the elections?
1) very worried 8.1
2) worried 22.2
3) not worried 43.3
4) not worried at all 25.4
5) DK/NA 1

20) In your opinion, the elected PLC should enjoy
1) Same powers as those of president Mahmud Abbas 32.4
2) Greater powers than those of President Mahmud Abbas 44.2
3) Less powers than those of President Mahmud Abbas 19.1
4) DK/NA 4.3

21) We would like to ask you about your expectations from the PLC you had
just elected. Do you want it to
1) implement the Road Map Plan 53
2) not to implement the Road Map Plan 39.7
3) DK/ NA 7.3

22) And with regard to the arms in the hands of the armed factions, do you
want it to
1) to pass laws to collect arms from all armed groups whereby the PA
security services would be the only armed force in PA areas? 49.3
2) to pass laws to keep arms of the armed factions in the hands of the armed
factions 27.1
3) not to interfere in the issue of the arms of the factions 20.8
4) DK/NA 2.8

23) What do you expect to happen to the Palestinians and Israelis now that
Hamas has won Palestinian elections?
1) Negotiations will resume soon enough and armed confrontations will stop
17.8
2) Negotiations will resume but some armed attacks will continue 40.8
3) Armed confrontations will not stop and the two sides will not return to
negotiations 34.1
4) DK/NA 7.3

24) There is a proposal to absorb the members of armed groups belonging to
Hamas, Islamic Jihad, and Fateh into the security services whereby all armed
forces become part of the Palestinian Authority. Do you support or oppose
this proposal?
1) strongly support 28.8
2) support 52.6
3) oppose 12.6
4) strongly oppose 3.3
5) DK/NA 2.6

25) Would you welcome or not welcome a further Israeli disengagements and
withdrawals in the West Bank whether they were unilateral or by agreement?
1) definitely welcome 32
2) welcome 53.9
3) do not welcome 10.3
4) definitely do not welcome 2.2
5) DK/NA 1.6

26) Do you prefer to see the Palestinian Authority and Israel negotiate
further disengagements or withdrawals in the West Bank or do you prefer to
see Israel withdraw unilaterally without negotiations?
1) I definitely prefer to see the PA and Israel negotiate the withdrawal and
disengagement 51.7
2) I think I prefer to see the PA and Israel negotiate the withdrawal and
disengagement 20.9
3) I think I prefer to see Israel unilaterally withdraw without negotiations
16
4) I definitely prefer to see Israel unilaterally withdraw without
negotiations 6.9
5) DK/NA 4.4

27) Who will benefit politically more from further Israeli unilateral
disengagement? Fateh or Hamas
1) Fateh 8.2
2) Hamas 16.5
3) both equally 50.4
4) neither one 21.6
5) DK/NA 3.3

28) If the PA decides to declare unilaterally an independent Palestinian
state would you support or oppose such a declaration?
1) definitely support 12.5
2) support 46.7
3) oppose 32.2
4) definitely oppose 5.2
5) DK/NA 3.3

29) And would you support such a declaration if it were negotiated with
Israel?
1) definitely support 19.7
2) support 60.6
3) oppose 15.1
4) definitely oppose 1.9
5) DK/NA 2.7

30) And generally speaking do you prefer to see the Palestinian Authority
and Israel negotiate their differences or try to solve them unilaterally?
1) I definitely prefer to see them negotiate differences 57.3
2) I think I prefer to see them negotiate differences 24.6
3) I think I prefer to see them solve their differences unilaterally 9
4) I definitely prefer to see them solve differences unilaterally 5.3
5) DK/NA 3.8

31) And if both sides decide to go the unilateral path in handling the
conflict between them who do you think will benefit from such a decision,
Israel or the Palestinians?
1) Israel 41.3
2) Palestinians 13.8
3) both 25.9
4) neither 15.1
5) DK/NA 4

32) Will a decision to handle the conflict unilaterally increase or decrease
the chances to eventually reach a final status settlement?
1) definitely increase the chances 5.8
2) increase the chances 22.3
3) decrease the chances 50.5
4) definitely decrease the chances 8.6
5) no change 6.6
6) DK/NA 6.3

33) Is it possible in your opinion to achieve in the future full economic,
political, and physical separation from Israel?
1) Certainly possible 8.2
2) possible 39
3) not possible 40.6
4) certainly not possible10.8
5) DK/NA 1.5

34) And if such a separation was possible, would you support or oppose it?
1) I would strongly support it 19.6
2) I would support it 55
3) I would oppose it 21.3
4) I would strongly oppose it 2.8
5) DK/NA 1.3

35) Do you support or oppose the current ceasefire between Palestinians and
Israelis?
1) strongly support 18.4
2) support 53.5
3) oppose 22.1
4) strongly oppose 4.5
5) DK/NA 1.5

36) If a peace agreement is reached, and a Palestinian state is established
and recognized by Israel, would you support or oppose the efforts to reach
full reconciliation between Israel and the Palestinian state?
1) Would strongly support 16.3
2) Would support 57.9
3) Would oppose17.8
4) Would strongly oppose 6.2
5) DK/NA1.7

37) After reaching a peace agreement between the Palestinian people and
Israel and the establishment of a Palestinian state that is recognized by
Israel, how soon do you think will reconciliation between the two peoples be
achieved?
1) Reconciliation is not possible ever 44.5
2) Only in many generations to come 18.1
3) Only in the next generation 11.6
4) Only in the next decade 5.7
5) On the next few years 12.4
6) No Opinion /Don't know 7.6

38) Concerning armed attacks against Israeli civilians inside Israel, I..
1) Strongly support 14.2
2) Support 38.2
3) Oppose 40.2
4) Strongly oppose 5
5) DK/NA2.5

39) Do you believe that armed confrontations so far has helped achieved
Palestinian national and political rights in ways that negotiations could
not achieve?
1) Definitely yes 24
2) Yes 42.9
3) No 25.4
4) Definitely no 5.7
5) DK/NA 2

40) The following is a list of problems confronting the Palestinians today,
tell us which one is the most important problem?
1) spread of unemployment and poverty 43.7
2) continuation of occupation and its daily practices 24.5
3) internal anarchy 6.6
4) spread of corruption and lack of internal reforms 23.6
5) others (specify ----------- ) 1.2
6) DK/NA 0.4

41) There is a proposal that after the establishment of an independent
Palestinian state and the settlemnet of all issues in dispute, including the
refugees and Jerusalem issues, there wil be a mutual recognition of Israel
as the state of the Jewish people and Palestine as the state of the
Palestinians people. Do you agree or disagree to this proposal?
1) Definitely agree14.1
2) agree 52.3
3) disagree 24.2
4) definitely disagree 7.8
5) DK/NA 1.6

42) And what is the Palestinian majority opinion on this issue? Do most
Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza support or oppose the recognition of
Israel as the state of the Jewish people and Palestine as the state of the
Palestinian people at the end of the peace process?
1) Majority supports 57.5
2) Majority opposes 34.1
3) DK/NA 8.4

43) Do you think that there is corruption in PA institutions?
1) Yes 91.3
2) No 5.1
3) DK/NA 3.6

44) If yes, Will this corruption in PA institutions increase, decrease or
remain as it is in the future?
1) Will increase 19.2
2) Will remain as it is 9.4
3) will decrease 64.6
4) DK/NA 6.8

45) Would you say that these days your security and safety, and that of your
family, is assured or not assured?
1) Completely assured 2.3
2) Assured 22.6
3) Not assured 59.3
4) Not assured at all 15.7
5) DK/NA0.2

46) How would you evaluate the current status of democracy and human rights
in the Palestinian Authority? Would you say it is
1) Very good 5.4
2) Good 28.9
3) Fair 26.3
4) Bad 24.4
5) Very bad 13
6) DK/NA 1.9

47) Generally, do you see yourself as
1) Religious 47.9
2) somewhat religious 47.7
3) not religious 3.8
4) DK/NA 0.5

48) Generally, do you see yourself as
1) supportive of the peace process 64.4
2) opposed to the peace process 14
3) between support and opposition 20.9
4) DK/NA 0.7

49) Which of the following political parties do you support?
1) PPP 0.5
2) PFLP 3.3
3) Fateh 34.4
4) Hamas 36.7
5) DFLP 0.6
6) Islamic Jihad 2
7) National initiative (almubadara) 0.9
8) Independent Islamists 4.6
9) Independent Nationalists 2.4
10) None of the above 14.4
11) Other, specify 0.3

50) Regarding the Jericho Jail incursion and the Israeli arrest of Ahmad Sa'adat,
do you view that the UK and the US as implicated in this operation?
1) yes, implicated 93
2) no, not implicated (go to Q52) 4
3) DN/NA (go to Q52) 3

51) Various Palestinian reactions to the jail incursion were witnessed. From
among the following reactions which one would you approve?
1) only peaceful reactions 37.7
2) In addition I would also approve of attacks on a and burning of
American and British facilities 8.9
3) In addition to all of the above, I would also approve of kidnapping of
American and British nationals 11.5
4) In addition to all of the above, I would approve of armed attacks on
American and British nationals 25.4
5) I do not approve of any reaction 13.5
6) DK/NA 2.9

52) People talk these days about the accuracy and impartiality of public
opinion polls and those who conduct them after they all fail to predict the
outcome of the legislative elections. How often do you trust polls?
1) I always trust polls 21.2
2) I sometime trust them and sometime do not 59.3
3) I never trust polls 17.1
4) DK/NA 2.4

53) Do you believe that people are truthful in the responses they give to
pollsters?
1) people are always truthful 16.2
2) people are sometimes truthful and sometime untruthful 68.8
3) people are always untruthful 11.1
4) DK/NA 3.9

54) And what about you? Were your responses to our questions today truthful
or untruthful?
1) my responses to all the questions were truthful 85.4
2) my responses were sometime truthful and sometime untruthful 14.3
3) my responses were were always untruthful 0.3
4) DK/NA0

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