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Monday, October 30, 2006
[Only] 53% of Americans don't believe Israel must have all of the promised land, including Jerusalem, to facilitate the second coming of the messiah

[Dr. Aaron Lerner - IMRA: The following poll was commissioned by the
pro-Arab Council for the National Interest.]

www.cnionline.org/learn/polls/czandlobby/finalreport.doc

Zogby International
Polling/Market Research
Public Relations Services
Marketing Strategies
Web Page: www.zogby.com

Date: October 13, 2006

To: Eugene Bird
gene@cnionline.org
carlton@cnionline.org

From: Rebecca Wittman
315-624-0200 ext 230
rebecca@zogby.com

RE: Questions for Omnibus Poll

Methodology

Zogby America 10/10/06 thru 10/12/06

This is a telephone survey of likely voters nationwide conducted by Zogby
International. The target sample is 1036 interviews with approximately 52
questions asked. Samples are randomly drawn from telephone cd's of national
listed sample. Zogby International surveys employ sampling strategies in
which selection probabilities are proportional to population size within
area codes and exchanges. Up to six calls are made to reach a sampled phone
number. Cooperation rates are calculated using one of AAPOR's approved
methodologies[1] and are comparable to other professional public-opinion
surveys conducted using similar sampling strategies.[2] Weighting by region,
party, age, race, religion, gender is used to adjust for non-response. The
margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Margins of error are higher in
sub-groups.

Zogby International's sampling and weighting procedures also have been
validated through its political polling: more than 95% of the firm's polls
have come within 1% of actual election-day outcomes.

Results

1. Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly
disagree that the work of the Israel lobby on Congress and the Bush
administration has been a key factor for going to war in Iraq and now
confronting Iran?

Strongly agree 16% Somewhat agree 23% - Total Agree 39%
Somewhat disagree 18% Strongly disagree 22% - Total Disagree 40%
Not sure 22%

Voters are evenly divided with 39% agreeing that the Israel
lobby influenced the Bush administration and Congress into going to war with
Iraq and now with the confrontation with Iran, while 40% disagree. More than
one in five (22%) are not sure how they feel.

Responses across sub-groups generally echo the response overall.

2. Which of the following best explains your belief in Christian Zionism,
which is defined as a belief that Israel must have all of the promised land,
including Jerusalem, to facilitate the second coming of the messiah?

Strongly believe 16% Somewhat believe 15% - Total Believe 31%
Do not believe 33% Strongly do not believe 20% - Total Do not believe 53%
Not sure 16%

More than half (53%) of respondents do not believe in Christian
Zionism, while just under one-third (31%) do believe. Sixteen percent are
not sure.

Those living in the east (66%) are the most likely to say they
do not believe in Christian Zionism, while those living in south (35%) and
in the central Great Lakes region (36%) are the most likely to believe.
Protestants (40%) are significantly more likely to believe than are
Catholics (19%).

African Americans (40%) are more likely to believe in this than
either Hispanics (33%) or whites (29%). Republicans (37%) are more likely to
believe in Christian Zionism than are Democrats or independents (28% each).

[1] See COOP4 (p.38) in Standard Definitions: Final Dispositions of Case
Codes and Outcome Rates of Surveys. The American Association for Public
Opinion Research, (2000).

[2] Cooperation Tracking Study: April 2003 Update, Jane M. Sheppard and
Shelly Haas. The Council for Marketing & Opinion Research (CMOR).
Cincinnati, Ohio (2003).

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