[Dr. Aaron Lerner - IMRA:

Withdrawal from Golan based on Dumbo assumption:
"I can only assure you that any future agreement, if and when it is reached,
will be backed by all the necessary security guarantees, and that I will
never compromise on anything which could undermine Israel's security or
vital interests."

Keep in mind the PM Olmert recently admitted when spoke in presence of
President Bush that the IDF is not yet taking serious measures to stop the
attacks from Gaza:
("We hope that we will not have to act against Hamas in other ways with the
military power that Israel has not yet started to use in a serious manner in
order to stop it."

Joint Statements by PM Olmert and US Pres. Bush
Israel Government Press Office Wednesday, May 14, 2008
www.pmo.gov.il/PMOEng/Communication/PMSpeaks/speechstat140508.htm )

Yet at AIPAC he says:
"... if one city, one small city in your state, in your district, was
bombed, not even on a daily basis, but just once, with one single missile,
what would you do? Would you not demand that your government stand up
immediately and take the necessary action to defend your citizens? ... Every
day, the government and the security forces weigh all possible alternatives,
and make the choice which we believe is the wisest and most effective.']

Prime Minister Ehud Olmert
AIPAC Policy Conference 2008
June 3, 2008
(AS PREPARED FOR DELIVERY)
www.aipac.org/Publications/SpeechesByPolicymakers/Olmert_-_As_Prepared_for_Delivery.pdf

Distinguished members of the United States Congress,
President of AIPAC, David Victor,
Chairman of AIPAC, Howard Friedman,
Executive Director, Howard Kohr,
AIPAC Board of Directors,
Representatives of the students' organizations,
Israeli Ambassador to the United States, Mr. Salai Meridor,
Honorable guests,
Dear Friends,

Thank you AIPAC for providing this opportunity for all of us to come
together and show support for Israel!

It is always amazing to see the number of people that AIPAC manages to
gather in one room. I believe this is the largest such gathering ever. After
speaking to this audience via video conference last year, I knew that this
year I would not miss the opportunity to participate in the unique
experience of the AIPAC Policy Conference.

It's truly a pleasure to be here, with so many great friends of Israel.

Israel is grateful for AIPAC's tireless efforts and unending dedication to
promoting the joint American-Israeli relations, values and interests. AIPAC
empowers the next generation of American supporters of Israel and ensures
that the alliance between Israel and the United States is never taken for
granted. I am therefore delighted to see so many students here, representing
the younger, future generation. It serves to assure me, and all of us, that
the traditional bonds of friendship between Israel and America will continue
to be nurtured and strengthened.

I understand that there are some members of Congress in the audience. Israel
is grateful for the long-standing bi-partisan Congressional friendship and
support, manifested most recently by the initiative to mark Israel's 60th
anniversary. We are particularly thankful for your support and recognition
of the 10-year Memorandum of Understanding between our countries. The
approval of the MOU, from 2009 onward, is crucial to maintaining Israel's
security and qualitative edge.

I recently had the opportunity to have lunch in Jerusalem with the Speaker
of the House, Nancy Pelosi, who led a distinguished Congressional delegation
to Israel. Our meeting allowed us to discuss a range of issues of mutual
interest in a more personal and ntimate forum, and served to assure me that
the bi-partisan support for Israel is stronger than ever. I extend an open
invitation to each and every one of you to come to Israel and do the same. I
assure you that you will be among friends.

As we celebrate 60 years of US-Israeli relations, I feel personally obliged
to take a moment to reflect on and remember a close personal friend,
Congressman Tom Lantos. Tom was a visionary congressman, a dedicated
American patriot and a symbol of friendship to Israel. Earlier this week, I
met with Annette Lantos in Jerusalem and presented her with a special
message of commemoration signed by the entire Government of Israel, as a
tribute of Israel's appreciation for Tom's work. I understand that this is
the first AIPAC Policy Conference without Tom, and he is sorely missed by us
all. I would also like to use this platform to mention another close friend
of mine and Tom's, who passed away this week, Yosef Tommy Lapid, former
deputy prime minister and minister of justice. Both Tom and Tommy grew up in
Hungary, lived on the same street one block apart from each other, and they
were both Holocaust survivors saved by the legendary Wallenberg. Tommy was
an almost permanent fixture in Israeli public life. He was an articulate,
sharp and courageous publicist and politician, but above all, he was a true
and loyal friend. The void left by these great men in their passing is as
deep as the impact they made in their lives.

Ladies and gentlemen,
As you know all too well, the situation between Israel and its neighbors,
the Palestinians and the other Arab states, is sensitive and complex. My
responsibility as Prime Minister, and that of every government in Israel, is
first and foremost for the security of its citizens, and we will never
compromise on this principle. Israel will never capitulate to terrorism or
choose appeasement in the face of evil. Our stand in this regard is
unequivocal and is completely on a par with the policies of President Bush
and his administration. We will continue to exercise our inalienable right
to defend ourselves against all acts of aggression and we will prevail!
At the same time, we will never abandon our efforts to achieve peace and
reconciliation with our neighbors, as we truly believe that only real peace
can ultimately provide the security we all deserve. While we actively pursue
peace, we cannot ignore the numerous pitfalls on the path to peace and those
forces in the region which seek to sabotage any hope of peace between Israel
and its neighbors.

The most serious and imminent threat to global security and stability is
undoubtedly Iran. Iran is the world's largest exporter of terrorism, a
fundamentalist dictatorship, motivated by utter contempt for the values
represented by the free world and an uninhibited ambition to achieve
military superiority and regional
hegemony. It openly calls for the elimination of Israel and actively seeks
nuclear capabilities to enable it to translate its sinister plans into
action. Iran's fingerprints are evident in almost every terrorist
organization across the Middle East, from Hamas and Islamic Jihad in the
Gaza Strip to Hizballah in Lebanon. Hizballah, Iran's major protégé,
receives its directives, ammunition and finances directly from Tehran, with
the help of Syria, and is actively engaged in torpedoing any chance of calm
in Lebanon. Its long-standing record as a ruthless terrorist organization
has earned Hizballah a place of honor on almost every list of global
terrorist organizations. I urge you to work together with us to include
Hizballah in the terrorist list of the European Union and encourage other
countries to do the same.

The Iranian threat must be stopped by all possible means. International
economic and political sanctions on Iran, as crucial as they may be, are
only an initial step, and must be dramatically increased. Iran's defiance of
international resolutions and its continued tactics of deception and denial
leave no doubt as to the urgent need for more drastic and robust measures.
The sanctions must be clearly defined and religiously enforced. Any
willingness to overlook Iranian violations or justify Iran's questionable
tactics will immediately be interpreted as a sign of weakness and will only
encourage them to proceed with more vigor.

The international community has a duty and responsibility to clarify to
Iran, through drastic measures, that the repercussions of their continued
pursuit of nuclear weapons will be devastating. The sanctions initiated by
the UN are of immense importance, as they represent a unified stand by a
large number of nations, but sanctions should also be initiated by
individual countries which have dealings with Iran. Each and every country
must understand that the long-term cost of a nuclear Iran greatly outweighs
the short-term benefits of doing business with Iran. While Iran may be a
large oil exporter, it imports almost half of its refined oil products.

Sanctions can be imposed on the export of gasoline to Iran and they can be
imposed on countries which refine gasoline for Iran. Governments should
announce that Iranian businessmen are no longer welcome in their countries,
and that funds arriving from or channeled to Iran should not be transferred
through their banks.
Israel and the United States have long understood the acute danger embodied
in a nuclear Iran, and are working closely in a concerted, coordinated
effort to prevent Iran from becoming nuclear. Israel will not tolerate the
possibility of a nuclear Iran, and neither should any other country in the
free world.

Dear friends,
On May 21, Israel and Syria simultaneously announced the start of
negotiations for comprehensive peace, under the auspices of Turkey, based on
the principles of the 1991 Madrid Conference. Syria is currently a threat to
regional stability, but if it ultimately makes the choice to have peace
relations with Israel, for which it will have to disengage from its allies
in the Axis of Evil, this will constitute a drastic, strategic shift in the
entire Middle East. Iran's negative response to this process can serve as an
indication of the benefits embodied in it.

Peace between Israel and Syria is a clear Israeli interest, but it is also a
Syrian one. I know all too well the fears, suspicions and criticism which
have always surrounded the Israeli-Syrian negotiations, and I do not take
them lightly. I can only assure you that any future agreement, if and when
it is reached, will be backed by all the necessary security guarantees, and
that I will never compromise on anything which could undermine Israel's
security or vital interests.

While the negotiations with Syria are only at a very initial stage, the
negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians are continuous and
intensive. The Annapolis meeting in November 2007, initiated by President
Bush, launched this process and outlined the principles underlying it, and
we have been proceeding on this basis ever since. The current leadership in
the Palestinian Authority, headed by President Mahmoud Abbas, presents a
rare opportunity to achieve an agreement. President Abbas and his government
recognize Israel's right to live in security and are as committed as we are
to achieving peace. They know full well that the path of terrorism only
condemns the Palestinian people to misery and hopelessness, and have a
genuine desire to see a Palestinian state living side by side with Israel,
in peace. I am wholeheartedly convinced that we are at a critical
crossroads, and that this opportunity must not be missed. My obligation, as
Prime Minister, is to explore every avenue to reach an understanding, and I
truly believe that now, perhaps for the first time ever, it is attainable.

President Abbas and I have met many times over the past two years, and the
two teams have been meeting on a weekly basis in a serious effort to achieve
a historic breakthrough in the course of 2008. The negotiations cover all
outstanding issues between us, and the agreement, if and when it is reached,
will reflect the vision introduced to the world by President Bush in June
2002, and its implementation will be subject to the Roadmap. Israel entered
this bilateral process with the Palestinians in good faith and with a
genuine willingness to make the necessary compromises. The time for both
parties to make difficult decisions is soon approaching. I believe that the
leadership of Israel and the people of Israel are ready for it, and hope
that when the moment of truth finally arrives, the Palestinian leadership
will respond to the challenge.

The moderate, responsible Arab states, headed by Saudi Arabia and other Gulf
states, could play an important role in this process. These nations, which
want to promote peace and which fully recognize the direct threat to them
posed by a nuclear Iran and by foreign and domestic extremism, now have a
golden opportunity to support a process of normalization and reconciliation
with Israel, which will isolate Iran and the extremists and help foil their
pursuit of regional dominance. I hope they will choose to take a
constructive part and create an environment which is conducive to the peace
negotiations currently taking place between Israel and its neighbors.

A clear distinction must be made between the Palestinian Authority, headed
by President Abbas, and the Hamas terrorist organization, operating in and
controlling Gaza. Israel has never, nor will it ever, negotiate with Hamas,
as long as it refuses to accept the three principles set forth by the
international community. The reality on Israel's southern border is
intolerable. Tens of thousands of innocent Israeli citizens live daily in
constant fear and anxiety, under a barrage of missiles, serving as pawns in
a cruel, malicious game of roulette played by the Hamas and its cronies in
the Gaza Strip. While we have no desire to see the uninvolved Palestinian
population in Gaza suffer, we cannot be expected to accept a situation that
no other nation in the world would tolerate.

You have just seen and heard the brave people of Sderot. Sderot and the
other communities in the south of Israel have, over the past seven years,
suffered the largest number of missiles launched from the Gaza Strip. These
good, hard-working citizens, demonstrate incredible courage and fortitude in
their daily struggle to conduct seemingly normal lives in an impossible,
incomprehensible situation, and they are an inspiration to us all.

Members of Congress,
I turn to each and every one of you and ask - if one city, one small city in
your state, in your district, was bombed, not even on a daily basis, but
just once, with one single missile, what would you do? Would you not demand
that your government stand up immediately and take the necessary action to
defend your citizens? Would you not expect the entire international
community to unequivocally denounce the group responsible for these
atrocities? Would you not look to your government to provide a solution?

Israel will not be deterred by a large military operation in Gaza if and
when we come to the conclusion that this is the best way to restore calm on
our southern border, but the fact that no such operation has yet taken place
does not imply that we are not taking action. The battle against the
terrorists in Gaza is a daily and continuous one. Every day, the government
and the security forces weigh all possible alternatives, and make the choice
which we believe is the wisest and most effective.

Hopefully, our dialogue with the Palestinians will ripen into an agreement
which will clearly show the Palestinian public that there is an alternative
to violence and that the key to living in prosperity, honor and dignity lies
in reconciliation with Israel.

Ladies and gentlemen, friends of Israel,
In the sixty years since our founding, we transformed a barren land into a
prosperous state, and turned swamps and deserts into modern, flourishing
cities. We have founded a strong and vibrant democracy, absorbed millions of
Jewish immigrants from across the globe, and created a world class,
ground-breaking economy. All this was achieved despite wars and continuous
threats to Israel's security. However, the great mission of attaining peace
with our Palestinian neighbors and the other Arab states is still ahead of
us.

Recently, Jews around the world read in the weekly Torah portion about God's
decree to the Jewish people. After explaining the ensuing prosperity should
the Jewish people follow his commandments, G-d declares "I will provide
peace in the land, and you will lie down with none to frighten you."
(Leviticus, ch 19 vs. 5)
A classical interpretation of the order of these passages suggests that
while prosperity follows commitment to G-d's commandments, its value is
meaningless if there is no peace. According to G-d's precedence, peace is of
greater value than all material things combined.

We must believe that peace is a possibility, and strive to make it a
reality, and I assure you that I will spare no energy and leave no stone
unturned in my efforts to secure a better future for the people of Israel in
the Jewish State. This is my duty, this is my obligation and this will be my
contribution to my people.
I also take this opportunity to stress, once again, that the Government of
Israel will spare no effort to bring our three captive sons home - Gilad
Shalit, who is being held by Hamas in Gaza, and Ehud Goldwasser and Eldad
Regev, who were captured by Hizballah almost two years ago. This is the
State of Israel's absolute commitment, and I am sure that you all share our
strong desire to see them home safely.

The AIPAC Policy Conference is an ideal platform for me to express, on
behalf of the people of Israel, my admiration and gratitude to a remarkable
friend, President George W. Bush. Without the President's personal
involvement, the bilateral process between Israel and the Palestinians may
never have progressed. Yet, despite his desire to see peace in the region,
the President never expected Israel to compromise its security. His recent
visit to Israel on the occasion of our 60th anniversary, and his inspiring,
memorable speech at the Knesset, were the ultimate expression of America's
unshakable commitment to Israel's security and well-being. The people of
Israel will always remember, appreciate and cherish President Bush's
understanding, friendship and support.

Ladies and gentlemen,

Given the recent political developments in Israel, of which I am sure you
are all aware, I hesitated as to whether it was the right time and the right
thing to leave everything behind and meet with you today. I didn't hesitate
for too long. Your friendship to Israel, your dedication to consolidating
the strategic bond between Israel and the United States and your steadfast
commitment to Israel's security and welfare have all inspired me. Israeli
politics is accustomed to all kinds of trials and tribulations, but your
love and support for the State of Israel provides a powerful foundation, a
solid rock on which we know we can always rely, in good times and in times
of crisis. One of the most fundamental pillars of Israel's national security
is its alliance with the United States, and you have dedicated your lives to
ensuring that not only will this alliance never weaken or fail, but that it
will grow stronger and deeper.

I thank you for giving me this opportunity to address you this evening. When
I see all of you here, I know that my country is truly blessed. Thank you.