Polls: 42%:36% Public supports Barak-Olmert compromise
Dr. Aaron Lerner Date: 26 June 2008

Telephone poll of a representative sample of 501 adult Israelis (including
Arab Israelis) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by
Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Radio's "Its all Talk" on 25 June 2008.
Statistical error +/- 4.5 percentage points.

[AL: Under the compromise, in return for Labor not supporting a vote against
the Government yesterday, the Kadima Party set primaries for election of a
new party chairman this September. While preliminary reports indicated that
the understanding/assumption was that this meant someone would replace
Olmert as not only head of Kadima in September but also as PM, it developed
later that PM Olmert himself intends to run in the primaries and that even
if he does not run that he does not intend to step down from the position of
PM after the primaries in September - this since he only promised to resign
if indicted.

While these later developments were reported, it is far from clear that most
of the people being polled were aware that the deal does not insure Olmert
leaves his post in September. It would have been useful to include a follow
up question asking people how they feel about the deal if it does not mean
Olmert is leaving.].

Do you support or oppose the compromise reached between Ehud Olmert and Ehud
Barak. according to which the primaries for the chairmanship of the Kadima
party will take place this September?
Total: For 42% Against 36% Don't know, other replies 22%
Kadima voters: Support 36% Oppose 35% DK 29%
Likud voters: Support 22% Oppose 71% DK 7%
Labor Party voters: support 48% Oppose 32% DK 20%

Who gave in in reaching this compromise? Ehud Olmert to Ehud Barak or Ehud
Barak to Ehud Olmert?
Total: Olmert to Barak 31% Barak to Olmert 41% Don't know, other replies 28%
Kadima voters: Olmert to Barak 36% Barak to Olmert 44% DK 20%
Likud voters: Olmert to Barak 24% Barak to Olmert 60% DK 16%
Labor voters: Olmert to Barak 20% Barak to Olmert 40% DK 40%

Who lost the most in the compromise agreement between Ehud Olmert and Ehud
Barak?
Total: Olmert 21% Barak 28% Netanyahu 35% Don't know, other replies 16%
Kadima votes: Olmert 17% Barak 26% Netanyahu 47% DK 10%
Likud voters: Olmert 25% Barak 38% Netanyahu 30% DK 7%
Labor voters: Olmert 7% Barak 32% Netanyahu 42% DK 19%

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il