PCPO Poll of Palestinians:57.4 %:37.8% Stop suicide bombings inside green
line, 33.5 %:27.7 % Prefer McCain over Obama, 46.6 %:24.8 % Abbas over
Haniyyeh
Poll No. 166
Date: September 17th, 2008
The most recent poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali revealed that:
57.4 % of the Palestinians support the halt of the suicide bombings inside
Israel.
33.5 % are in favor of Mr. John Mc Cain as a presidential candidate in the
US elections.
66.9 % oppose the imposition of the death penalty in the Palestinian
Territories.
66.6 % evaluated their economic situation as 'bad'.
Beit Sahour - The Information Bureau:
In the most recent poll prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali, conducted and
published by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) during the
period from )1-10) September 2008, a random sample consisting of (1020)
Palestinian adults over 18 years old representing the various demographic
specimen in the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, and Gaza Strip, were
face-to-face interviewed.
Imposition of the Death Penalty
The poll results revealed that two thirds of the Palestinian people (66.9 %)
oppose the imposition of the death penalty in their home land, whilst only
(28.5 %) support it and (4.5 %) declined to give their opinion.
The favorite US Presidential Candidate:
Dr. Nabil Kukali, Director-General of the Palestinian Center for Public
Opinion (PCPO), said that the most significant finding the poll results
unveiled is that a substantial rate of the Palestinian public (33.5 %) are
at present in favor of Mr. John McCain, the candidate of the US Republicans,
as the coming President of the United States of America, whilst Mr. Barack
Obama, the candidate of the Democratic Party, scored (27.7 %). (30.4 %) of
the Palestinians said they "favor neither of them" and (8.3 %) declined to
answer.
Dr. Kukali indicated in his comments on these results that the modest
support for Mr. Barack Obama could be attributed to his previous
declarations about the Israeli-Palestinian conflict that agitated among the
Palestinians a feeling of discontent as he said that "the City of Jerusalem
should remain the capital of Israel and must be kept unified. And the right
of the Palestinians to re-claim Jerusalem should be left to the negotiations
between the two conflict parties". "Mr. Obama emphasized thereby the
legitimate right of Israel to annex the whole city", Dr. Kukali said.
The suicide bombings:
(56.6 %) of the Palestinians are of the opinion that the suicide bombings
harm at present the Palestinian national interests, whilst (38.7 %) think
that these are of benefit and (4.7 %) declined to give an answer. Regarding
the suicide bombings inside the Israeli territory, (57.4 %) are in favor of
their halt at present, whilst (37.8%) are for their continuance and (4.8. %)
hesitated to answer.
Peace between Palestinians and Israelis:
In respect of the question:" Now think of the future when your children are
in your Age! Do you think there would be at that time peace between
Israelis and Palestinians?" (2.4 %) answered "definitely", (30.9 %)
"Likely", (25.2 %) "Possible", (8.5 %) "Unlikely", (29.3 %) "Definitely not"
and (3.7 %) answered "I don't know".
The PA Presidency Elections:
Regarding the question:" If new PA Presidency elections would be held now,
and Mr. Mahmoud Abbas would candidate for Fateh, and Mr. Ismael Haniyyeh
would candidate for Hamas. For whom would you vote ?", (46.6 %) said "for
Mahmoud Abbas", (24.8 %) "for Ismael Haniyyeh", (25.2 %) "wouldn't
participate in the elections" and (3.42 %) answered "I don't know".
Responding to the question: " In case the two rivals, Mr. Marwan Barghouthi
for Fateh and Mr. Ismael Haniyyeh for Hamas, run the presidential elections,
for whom would you vote ?", (48.0 %) said "for Marwan Barghouthi", (25.7
%)"for Ismael Haniyyeh", (23.7 %) "wouldn't participate in the elections"
and (2.7 %) said "I don't know".
The concern about the naked subsistence:
Responding to the question: "Up to which extent are you worried about the
naked subsistence of your family at present? " (31.5%) answered "worried",
(39.7%) are "too much worried", (19.4%) "Not so much worried ", (6.3%) "Not
worried at all" and (3.1%) answered "I don't know".
The economic conditions:
(66.6%) of the Palestinians evaluated the general economic condition in the
Palestinian territories as "bad" whilst (26.3%) said "it's mediocre", only
(6.1%) described it as "good" and (1.0 %) declined to answer.
Significance of the foreign aid:
Responding to the question: "Up to which extent does the European and US
financial aid contribute generally to the Palestinians' well-being?" (44.6%)
answered "to a high degree", (44.8%) said "to a moderate degree", (6.9%) "To
a slight degree", while (3.6%) said "to a nil degree" and (0.5%) "Don't
know".
The personal security:
Regarding the question: "Up to which extent are you worried about your
personal security ?", (31.5%) answered "too much worried", (37.2%) are
"worried", (23.8%) are "not so much worried", (5.7%) are "not worried at
all" and (1.8%) answered " I don't know " .
The future perspective:
(50.0%) of the respondents answered that they, notwithstanding the
prevailing political and economical conditions of the country, are
"optimistic", whilst (42.0%) said they are " pessimistic " and (8.0%)
declined to answer.
The concerns of the citizen:
Responding to the question: "What is your main concern at present? " (26.3%)
answered "job / money", (26.2%) "The security", (30.5%) "The health" and
(16.8%) "The future" and (0.2%) answered "I don't know".
The content with the life:
Answering the question: "How much are you in general content with your
life?" taking into consideration that the answers were in figures from 1 to
10 where (1) stands for the utmost degree of discontent and (10) for the
utmost degree of content. The outcome was in average (4.32) and the standard
deviation was (2.28).
Methodology of the Survey Study:
Mr. Elias Kukali, a staff member of the Research and Studies' Section at the
PCPO, said that all interviews of this survey were conducted inside the
respondents' homes, i.e. face-to-face during different working hours, at
least 5 hours a day, including the evening time, in order to ensure proper
representation of those sub-groups of the population, which would otherwise
be difficult to reach and selecting one individual in each household using
Last Birthday Method. The choices were taken from a total of (154) election
sites, from which (115) sites are located in West Bank and (39) sites in
Gaza Strip according to the distribution of the Central Election Commission.
These election sites were randomly chosen by using the method of the simple
random sample. These in turn were the beginning of the random sample choice
made from those regions in accordance with PCPO's long experienced
methodology.
Mr. E. Kukali has further established that the margin of error was (±3.06 %)
at a significance and confidence levels of (5%) and (95%) respectively. He
added that the rate of the female respondents in this survey was (49.6%)
against (50.4%) male respondents. The distribution of the random sample
between the Palestinian two major regions was (63.6%) in the West Bank,
including East Jerusalem, and (36.4%) in Gaza Strip, and allocated as
follows: (50.1%) for the towns, (31.7%) for the villages and (18.2%) for the
camps.
Contact Persons: Dr. Nabil Kukali & Elias Kukali
Tel: 00970 2 277 4846, Fax: 00970 2 277 4892
Mobile: 00970 599 726 878
P.O. Box 15, Beit Sahour - Palestine
Email: kukali@p-ol.com
Website: www.pcpo.ps
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