Excerpts: Subject: Relations: Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood / Egypt's
Military.Egypt Football Assn. delays matches over security concerns.Saudi to
help stability of oil prices. Egypt police preventing migrants sneaking into
Israel January 21, 2012

+++SOURCE: Wall Street Journal via Egypt Daily News 21 Jan.’12 2012.Egypt's
Brotherhood Warns Military”. By MATT BRADLEY

SUBJECT: Relations Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood/ Egypt’s Military

QUOTE: “(Egypt’s) military owned enterprises could comprise as much as a
third of Egypts economy”

FULL TEXT:CAIRO—Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood, the powerful group that is
expected to gain new clout following recent parliamentary polls, signaled
for the first time that it would confront the military in the country's
transition to civilian power.

.Muslim Brotherhood leader Mohammed Badie said the incoming Parliament will
scrutinize the military's budget and hold the army accountable for mistakes
made during the transition, setting the stage for a possible confrontation
with a military leadership that has sought to protect its political
privileges.

"We respect and appreciate the army but the military council must be held
accountable for any mistakes," Mr. Badie said. "No one is above
accountability."

The Brotherhood's Freedom and Justice Party is expected to have about 45% of
the seats in the incoming Parliament that will sit for the first time on
Monday[23 Jan.]. The final results of the six-week parliamentary election
are scheduled to be announced on Saturday[21 Jan.] evening.

The comments by Mr. Badie in a television appearance on Friday[20 Jan.] came
as several thousand antimilitary protesters convened to mark the anniversary
of the revolution in Cairo's Tahrir Square, the focal point of the movement
that ousted former President Hosni Mubarak nearly one year ago.

Activists who led protests last year that toppled Mr. Mubarak and allowed
the military to assume control over the country have been critical of the
Brotherhood for not standing up to the ruling Supreme Council of the Armed
Forces, or SCAF.

Protests against military rule are also planned for Wednesday[25 Jan.], the
anniversary of the first day of the uprising that overthrew Mr. Mubarak.
Instead of joining the protests, the Brotherhood has said it will
participate in military-backed celebrations in Tahrir Square.

The Brotherhood has largely defied calls that it participate in protests
against the military, with only a few exceptions.

Activists have been concerned that the Muslim Brotherhood and its Freedom
and Justice Party would yield to the military's insistence that it be
protected from the whims of civilian politics even after it transfers
executive authority to civilians, a handover expected before the end of
June.

Political activists worry that the SCAF will be reluctant to forfeit its
near total control over Egypt's emerging political scene if they know they
will be legally accountable for violence against protesters, or if their
budget faces civilian oversight. The military didn't respond to Mr. Badie's
televised statements.

Mr. Badie's comments followed a military-backed proposal in November that
its budget be placed outside civilian scrutiny and that it be allowed to
pick the majority of a constituent assembly charged with writing the
country's new constitution.

Politicians rejected the proposal, but the military never formally backed
down from its request.

With a near-majority in parliament, the Freedom and Justice Party is
expected to have a strong hand in determining who sits on the 100-member
constituent assembly that will draft the constitution. Once drafted, the
constitution is scheduled to go to a referendum later this year.

The yearlong political transition has already been marked by repeated
delays, violence against activists, and complaints about the military limits
on freedom of expression and resistance to reform. More than 80 people have
been killed in clashes between protesters and the military and police in
Egypt since October.

The secretive Egyptian military has dominated the country's politics behind
the scenes since an anticolonial revolution 60 years ago toppled Egypt's
former monarch.

Many activists say last year's revolution did little to dismantle the
autocracy over which Mr. Mubarak, himself a former air force officer,
presided for nearly 30 years.

The military may be particularly concerned about civilian probes into its
vast commercial holdings in production facilities that range from munitions
factories to bottled-water plants. According to some estimates,
military-owned enterprises could comprise as much as a third of Egypt's
economy.

+++SOURCE:Egyptian Gazette 21 Jan.’12:”Egypt delays matches over security
concerns”

SUBJECT: Egypt Football Assn . delays matches over security concerns

QUOTE: “EFA:’the authorities has asked them to delay , , ,many anticipate
violence”

FULL TEXT:CAIRO - The Egyptian Football Association (EFA) has decided to
delay the matches of the 16th week of the Egyptian Premeir League due to
security reasons.

The EFA told SuperSport that the authorities had asked them to delay all
matches of the sixteenth round.

"As we know Egypt will celebrate the first year of the Egyptian revolution
this week and many anticipate violence."

This weeks matches have been postponed to the 27th of January Instead of
23rd and 24th. Al-Ahly will play with Arab Contractors and Zamalek will face
with Enppi.

Currently Al-Ahly is on the top of the league with 36 points followed by
Haras el Hedoud with 34 points and Zamalek third with 32 points.

+++SOURCE: Saudi Gazette 21 Jan.’12:”Kingdom to keep oil price stable’
“,Reuters

SUBJECT:Saudi to help stability of oil prices

QUOTE: “(Saudi) would offer excess oil production capacity”

EXCERPTS:ABU DHABI — Saudi Arabia’s central bank chief said Friday[20 Jan.]
that his country would offer excess oil production capacity if needed to
balance oil prices, and that he expected prices to stay stable.

Brent crude held above $111 on Friday, partly supported by the prospect of
fresh sanctions being imposed on Iranian crude early next week, which could
increase demand for oil from other markets.

“If there is pressure on demand, Saudi Arabia will always offer excess
capacity to bring balance to supply and demand and to balance

Mubarak, formerly chairman of Morgan Stanley Saudi Arabia, was appointed
governor of the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency last month, succeeding
Muhammad Al-Jasser, who had held the post for nearly three years.. . .

+++SOURCE: Naharnet(Lebanon) 21 Jan.’12:”Egypt Police Kill Migrants Trying
to Sneak into Israel”, Agence France Presse

SUBJECT: Egypt Police preventing migrants sneaking into Israel

QUOTE:”Israel has repeatedly asked Egypt to clamp down on migrant traffic
and smuggling along thre porous border”

FULL TEXT:Egyptian border police shot dead two African migrants and wounded
a third as they tried to cross illegally into Israel early Saturday[21
Jan.], security officials said.

Border police spotted the man and woman, whose nationality remains unknown,
as they tried to climb over barbed wire along the frontier and fired on them
after they refused to heed calls to stop.

It was the first reported shooting this year of migrants as they try to
sneak into Israel seeking a better life.

About 11 migrants, most of them from Africa, were killed last year.

Human Rights Watch said in 2010 year that Egyptian police had killed at
least 85 migrants near the border since 2007.

Israel has repeatedly asked Egypt to clamp down on migrant traffic and
smuggling along the porous border.

============
Sue Lerner - Associate, IMRA