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Tuesday, December 4, 2012
[Disturbing quote]Tunnels between Gaza and Egypt are back in business since cease-fire

[Dr. Aaron Lerner - IMRA:

Here is disturbing quote: "Maj. Avital Leibovitz, an Israel Defense Forces
spokesman, said there is so far no evidence any new arms shipments have gone
through the tunnels since the cease-fire."

There are three possible explanations for this:

Possibility #1. No new arms shipments have gone through the tunnels since
the cease-fire.

Possibility #2. New arms shipments have gone through the tunnels since the
cease-fire but our intelligence network has failed to report to us about the
shipments.

Possibility #3. New arms shipments have gone through the tunnels since the
cease-fire and our intelligence network has reported to us about the
shipments but it is inconvenient to publicly face the reality that when we
talk about "quiet for quiet" and we accept a written text presenting the
Egyptian ceasefire proposal that does not prohibit weapons smuggling that
there is indeed arms smuggling [1]. So in order to postpone the issue, more
stringent verification requirements can be applied to the intelligence
information so that it does not qualify as "evidence".

[1] Granted - as DM Barak noted, we didn't sign the written text - but the
text was handed out at the Cairo press conference and the Prime Minister not
only told President Obama that Israel accepted the Egyptian ceasefire
proposal this was shared with the world via a press release from the Prime
Minister's Office:

"21/11/2012
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu spoke with US President Barack Obama and
acceded to his recommendation to give the Egyptian ceasefire proposal a
chance and thereby give an opportunity to stabilize and calm the situation
before there is a need to use greater force."
http://www.pmo.gov.il/English/MediaCenter/Spokesman/Pages/spoketruce211112.aspx
]

Tunnels between Gaza and Egypt are back in business since cease-fire
By Scott Wilson, The Washington Post Published: December 2,012
http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/tunnels-between-gaza-and-egypt-are-back-in-business-since-cease-fire/2012/12/01/5f116d52-3976-11e2-b01f-5f55b193f58f_story.html

RAFAH, Gaza Strip — For eight days, the sounds of illegal commerce here at
the ragged southern edge of the Gaza Strip were silenced by the pounding
thrum of battle.

Israeli military jets bombed the sandy stretch of land just a center fielder’s
throw from Egypt each day, hoping to collapse the underground avenues for
food, cars, medicines and weapons that support Hamas’s rule in Gaza.

Ahmad al-Arja, a 22-year-old engineering student, was among the army of
diggers forced to take the conflict off. But minutes after Israel and Hamas
reached a cease-fire on the evening of Nov. 21, his boss was on the phone.

“He said, ‘Come on, count on God, and tomorrow morning, start digging,’ ?
Arja recalled, as he began with his cousins the tedious, treacherous work of
tunnel repair.

The business of Rafah is the tunnel network that circumvents the Israeli
blockade of Gaza, and business once again is booming.

For Israeli leaders, who are seeking assurances since the recent cease-fire
that Hamas be prevented from restocking its potent weapons arsenal, the
thriving return of tunnel commerce poses a daunting strategic challenge.

Since leaving Gaza seven years ago, Israel’s military has lost its
on-the-ground ability to stop tunnel smuggling. Since the cease-fire,
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has sought guarantees from
Egyptian President Mohamed Morsi that he will do more to prevent the illegal
trade into Gaza — a diplomatic negotiation between uneasy neighbors that in
the past has proved fruitless.

Without such help, the trade will almost certainly continue. As Israel has
found in trying to suppress rocket fire from Gaza, an airstrike campaign
against the tunnels provides a respite, not a solution.

“Our expectation of Egypt, and the rest of the international community, is
to stop Hamas from rearming,? said Mark Regev, a spokesman for Netanyahu.
“We believe they came out of this latest round significantly depleted in
terms of rockets and missiles. The way to prevent a future round is to
prevent their ability to rearm.?

Maj. Avital Leibovitz, an Israel Defense Forces spokesman, said there is so
far no evidence any new arms shipments have gone through the tunnels since
the cease-fire.

Leibovitz said an Israeli ground presence is not necessary to stop smuggling
under the border. Like the intelligence assets that the military drew on to
target underground rocket launchers, she said, “we know what we need to
know? about the tunnels.

Whether that will always be enough is unclear.

Israel targeted 140 tunnels during the recent operation, severely damaging
dozens of passages beneath Gaza’s nearly seven-mile border with the Egyptian
Sinai. The bombs buried entrances, destroyed concrete-reinforced walls and
cratered the muddy access roads used by flatbed trucks that deliver goods
across the strip.

Hamas security officials who monitor the tunnels — and collect “taxes? from
the merchants who buy the imports — say at least 50 were collapsed along one
busy mile-long stretch alone. Diggers think that hundreds of tunnels span
the border.

But as the Arja family and others toiling under a warm winter sun less than
a week after the cease-fire made clear, none of the tunnels will remain
dormant for long.

“Some wanted to get to work during the bombings,? said Mohammed Bahrawi, 23,
a Hamas guard who monitors a particularly busy patch of tunnels. “But, look,
they were crazy. We wouldn’t let them.?

Dressed in an all-black military uniform, Bahrawi walked among the churned,
pitted landscape that hummed with generators, bulldozers and trucks. The
trucks hauled smuggled propane gas canisters, crates of fish and gravel into
the strip for sale.

Only three months ago, Bahrawi was a digger himself. A business
administration graduate of Khan Younis College of Science and Technology,
Bahrawi, like many young Gazans, could not find work in his field. So he
turned to the tunnels.

Hamas officials chose him three months ago to help guard the site, which
they monitor constantly.

Bahrawi said it is his job to make sure only permitted goods come through
the tunnels, and to prevent people from using them to leave for Egypt.

“But I am not going to lie to you,? Bahrawi said. “Many other things enter,
too.?

Of primary concern to Israel are the weapons — missiles, small arms and
explosives — that military officials say have arrived in Gaza from Iran,
Sudan and Libya through the tunnels.

Bahrawi points toward clusters of apartment buildings, their walls pocked
long ago by Israeli shrapnel. Many of the tunnels, he said, have secret
extensions that end out of sight. Those are the ones used to smuggle
materials that Israel is not meant to see.

The tunnels vary in size and depth. Two that are big enough for cars to
enter stand on either end of a roughly mile-long stretch — one damaged by
the bombing is closed, the other is open for business.

The most common are spacious enough for men to stand in with room to spare,
and wide enough for large crates to pass through. In one dusty shaft, a
makeshift elevator carried men up and down.

But the sandy soil above the diggers has shifted during the recent
bombardment, and Bahrawi thinks collapses are inevitable as they attempt to
reopen the passages.

“Some have been working in these tunnels for seven years, and I think once
you see some of these men hit the right depth and start to head toward
Egypt, there will be deaths,? he said.

The men, who earn about $15 a day, sweat in the sun. Small fires smoke from
several of the pits, used to heat kettles of water for morning tea.

Down in the vertical entry shafts, diggers pause for a cigarette, buckets of
wet cement at their feet. Over the din of generators and excavation
equipment, a man’s yell from time to time signals dray horses to haul large
bags of damp soil up from the pits.

“They will bomb again,? Arja said. “And then we will dig again — and there
will be more money.?

To Abu Ahmed, a tunnel owner who gave only his nickname, the frantic
restoration underway brings a smile.

A former digger who saved enough to make his own tunnel, Abu Ahmed said he
lost about $8,000 during the tunnel closures caused by Israel’s airstrikes.

On a recent morning, his workers dragged stacks of Styrofoam crates filled
with Egyptian sardines through his undamaged tunnel. He sells each crate for
about $50, and every merchant who places an order pays 14.5 percent of the
price to the Hamas officials on site. The money goes into the movement’s
treasury.

That is only one expense. Recently, a worker died and five others were
injured in an accident inside Abu Ahmed’s tunnel. A Hamas-led committee
fixed the amount of restitution that he paid to the men’s families, which
came to a total of about $30,000.

“It’s always worrying, but what else can I do? This is our business,? he
said. “You cannot imagine the effort we put into these tunnels.?

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