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Saturday, December 15, 2012
Geocartography Poll: 16 seats for Bayit Yehudi

Geocartography Poll: 16 seats for Bayit Yehudi
Dr. Aaron Lerner - IMRA 15 December 2012

Here are two polls carried out on the same day with very different results.
In would be interesting to know if the 16 seat result for Bayit Yehudi is
the result of a different weighting approach or a different approach for
allocating "undecided" than the other pollsters.

Two polls were carried out on Wednesday 12 December, 2012 for The Jerusalem
Post Group and published on 14 December.

#1. Geocartography - 500 Israeli adults (including Arabs)
#2 Smith Research - 500 Israeli adults (including Arabs)

#1 #2
35 39 [42] Likud & Yisrael Beiteinu
17 19 [13] Labor
10 10 [11] Shas
16 10 [07] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home/NRP & National Union)
12 09 [---] Lapid "Atid" Party
07 09 [---] Livni party (Hatnua)
06 06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah (UJT)
06 04 [03] Meretz
00 00 [28] Kadima
00 03 [---] Am Shalem headed by Rabbi Haim Amsalem
11 11 [11] Arab parties

Additional Geocartography poll questions

Has Israel's diplomatic situation improved or worsened over the past four
years?
Worsened 54.1% Improved 15.4% No change 23.6%

Binyamin Netanyahu's performance as prime minister:
Good 40.3% Average 17.7% Bad 34%

Who do you want as defense minister in the next government
Moshe Ya'alon 35.3% Ehud Barak 32.3% Liberman 10.1% None of the above 12.4%

Has Israel's security situation improved or worsened over the past four
years?
Worsened 28.6% Improved 26.2% No change 28.7%

Has your personal economic situation improved or worsened over the past four
years?
Worsened 31.5% Improved 24.0% No change 38.7%

Who do you want as finance minister in the next government
Yuval Steinitz 31.3% Shelly Yacimovich 20.4% Liberman 13% None of the above
24%

Do you believed Balad MK Haneen Zoabi should be permitted to run for
Knesset?
No 69.4% Yes 13.4%

Additional Smith Research poll questions:

Who is to blame for the failure of the Center-Left parties to unite?
Livni 31% Yacimovich 16% Yair Lapid 8% All equally 15%

Which of the three Center-Left parties would you refer to see in a Likud-led
coalition
Labor 28% Atid 24% Livni party 17%

Which of the national-religious parties would you refer to see in a
Likud-led coalition
Bayit Yehudi 40% Shas 15% Yahadut Hatorah 5% UTJ None of the above 38%
Kadima and Strong Israel would not pass the threshold.

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il

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