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Tuesday, April 22, 2014
An-Najah Poll of Palestinians: West Bankers: 54.7%:42.9% continue talks if prisoners released, 59.3%:37.6% oppose armed intifada, 61.6%:34.7% oppose dissolving PA if talks fail

An-Najah National University
Center for Opinion Polls and Survey Studies
Tel: (972) (9) 2345113 Fax: (972)(9) 2345982
Nablus – Palestinian: P.O. Box 7, 707
Email: Polls@najah.edu hussein596@yahoo.com
Results of Palestinian Public Opinion Poll No. 48
18-20 April 2014

Following are the results of the Palestinian Public Opinion Poll no. 48
conducted by the Center for Opinion Polls and Survey Studies at An-Najah
National University during the period from 18-20 April 2014. The University
sponsors all polls conducted by its Center.
The sample included 1360 persons whose age group is 18 and above and who
have the right to vote. The enclosed questionnaire was distributed on 860
persons from the West Bank and 500 persons from the Gaza Strip. The sample
was drawn randomly and the margin of error is about ±3%; still 1.91% of the
members of the sample refused to answer the questionnaire.

The General Results of the Poll

Do you expect the Palestinians and the Israelis to go back to negotiations
under the US auspices?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 65.4/65.8/64.6
No 27.1/28.1/25.4
No opinion/I do not know 7.5/6.0/10.0

Do you support or reject a Palestinian return to the negotiation table?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I strongly support 13.1/11.0/16.6
I support 41.6/44.9/36.0
I reject 31.5/33.4/28.2
I strongly reject 10.6/8.8/13.6
No opinion/I do not know 3.2/1.9/5.6

Do you support or reject an extension of the negotiations until the end of
the current year?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I strongly support 7.9/6.0/11.2
I support 33.3/36.3/28.2
I reject 40.2/43.7/34.2
I strongly reject 12.3/9.7/16.8
No opinion/I do not know 6.3/4.3/9.6

Do expect negotiations to succeed or to fail if they are extended until the
end of the current year?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I expect them to succeed 21.6/22.1/20.8
I expect them to fail 66.3/69.5/60.6
No opinion/I do not know 12.1/8.4/18.6

Do you expect Israel to release the last group of prisoners who were
expected to be released at the end of March?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 64.2/69.8/54.6
No 27.8/25.7/31.4
No opinion/I do not know 8.0/4.5/14.0

If Israel frees the last group of prisoners, do you support or reject
continuing negotiations?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I strongly support 9.9/7.1/14.8
I support 41.7/47.6/31.6
I reject 35.1/35.5/34.6
I strongly reject 9.6/7.4/13.4
No opinion/I do not know 3.6/2.4/5.6

Do you support or reject the Palestinian Authority’s decision to join
international organizations?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I strongly support 24.3/20.1/31.4
I support 55.4/62.2/43.6
I reject 11.7/11.2/12.6
I strongly reject 2.5/2.6/2.4
No opinion/I do not know 6.2/4.0/10.0

If Israel frees the last group of prisoners, do you support or reject going
on with the Palestinian Authority’s decision to join international
organizations?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I strongly support 20.4/15.9/28.2
I support 50.5/59.0/36.0
I reject 19.9/18.7/21.8
I strongly reject 2.1/1.7/2.6
No opinion/I do not know 7.1/4.7/11.4

In your opinion, which side (the Palestinian or the Israeli) is responsible
for the stopping of the negotiations?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
The Palestinian side 5.5/4.1/8.0
The Israeli side 70.0/69.5/70.8
Both sides 20.2/23.3/15.0
No opinion/I do not know 4.3/3.1/6.2

Do you expect the USA to exert pressure on some sides in order to lead the
negotiations to a successful end?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 63.5/68.6/54.8
No 28.7/27.9/30.0
No opinion/I do not know 7.8/3.5/15.2

If the answer to the above question is “yes” on which side do you expect the
USA to exert pressure?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
The Palestinian side 60.8/62.7/56.6
The Israeli side 13.9/15.6/10.2
Both sides 24.3/20.7/32.1
No opinion/I do not know 1.0/1.0/1.1

Do you think that the USA is serious this time in its endeavors to bring the
peace negotiations between the Palestinians and the Israelis to successful
end?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 25.9/26.9/24.2
No 66.3/68.5/62.4
No opinion/I do not know 7.9/4.7/13.4

Do you consider the USA a fair arbitrator in the current negotiations
between the two sides of conflict?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 11.1/10.2/12.6
No 84.2/87.0/79.4
No opinion/I do not know 4.7/2.8/8.0

In general how do you see the policy of the US towards the Palestinian
cause?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Biased towards Israel 88.0/89.8/85.0
Biased towards the Palestinians 2.6/2.2/3.4
Neutral 6.0/6.4/5.2
No opinion/I do not know 3.4/1.6/6.4

Do you support or reject adding other countries besides the United States to
the auspices of the negotiations?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I strongly support 20.6/16.7/27.2
I support 47.5/50.5/42.4
I reject 20.3/24.1/13.8
I strongly reject 4.9/4.5/5.6
No opinion/I do not know 6.7/4.2/11.0

Do you expect Israel to impose economic sanctions on the Palestinian
Authority, if the negotiations between the two sides fail?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 76.1/79.0/71.2
No 16.8/17.9/15.0
No opinion/I do not know 7.1/3.1/13.8

Do you support or reject a referendum to be conducted by the Palestinians
before signing any peace agreement with Israel?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I strongly support 33.7/28.7/42.2
I support 46.8/52.7/36.6
I reject 12.4/14.2/9.2
I strongly reject 1.8/0.9/3.2
No opinion/I do not know 5.4/3.5/8.8

Do you support or reject reaching a provisional solution similar to the Oslo
Accord as a result of these negotiations?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I strongly support 5.7/3.4/9.8
I support 32.1/33.0/30.6
I reject 39.1/41.7/34.6
I strongly reject 15.0/14.9/15.2
No opinion/I do not know 8.0/7.0/9.8

Do you support or reject the two-state solution provided that a Palestinian
state is created to live side by side with Israel?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I strongly support 8.5/7.2/10.8
I support 42.1/47.4/33.0
I reject 28.0/30.3/24.0
I strongly reject 17.2/14.0/22.8
No opinion/I do not know 4.1/1.0/9.4

Do you support or reject a one-state solution in which Palestinians and
Israelis enjoy equal rights?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I strongly support 6.2/4.0/10.0
I support 25.1/26.6/22.4
I reject 41.3/49.2/27.6
I strongly reject 21.5/17.4/28.4
No opinion/I do not know 6.0/2.8/11.6

Do you consider yourself optimistic or pessimistic towards the success of
the peace process between the Palestinian Authority and Israel?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Optimistic 26.8/27.8/25.0
Pessimistic 68.7/69.3/67.6
No opinion/I do not know 4.6/2.9/7.4

In case the current peace negotiations fail, do you expect the outbreak of a
third intifada (uprising)?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 62.9/66.4/57.0
No 30.0/29.9/30.2
No opinion/I do not know 7.1/3.7/12.8

Do you support or reject the rise of an armed intifada in the West Bank?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I support 42.9/37.6/52.0
I reject 51.5/59.3/38.2
No opinion/I do not know 5.6/3.1/9.8

Do you support or reject the rise of popular, unarmed and nonviolent
resistance?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I support 56.0/64.9/40.8
I reject 37.4/32.6/45.8
No opinion/I do not know 6.5/2.6/13.4

In case the current peace negotiations fail, do you support or reject
dissolving the Palestinian Authority?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I support 33.3/34.7/31.0
I reject 59.3/61.6/55.4
No opinion/I do not know 7.4/3.7/13.6

Are you optimistic or pessimistic towards holding and implementing a
reconciliation agreement between Fateh and Hamas in the near future?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Optimistic 49.2/56.0/37.4
Pessimistic 46.0/41.3/54.2
No opinion/I do not know 4.8/2.7/8.4

Do you think that the surrounding Arab and international circumstances
necessitate conducting national reconciliation between Fateh and Hamas?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 64.2/64.9/63.0
No 29.0/30.9/25.6
No opinion/I do not know 6.8/4.2/11.4

Do you believe that Prof. Hamdallah’s government will be capable of managing
the affairs of the Palestinian people in the West Bank if Israel imposes
economic sanctions on the Palestinian Authority?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 54.6/59.4/46.2
No 31.1/30.5/32.2
No opinion/I do not know 14.3/10.1/21.6

Do you think that the PA will collapse if enough funds become unavailable to
it?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 57.3/61.0/50.8
No 36.0/34.5/38.4
No opinion/I do not know 6.8/4.4/10.8

As you know there is a government in the West Bank presided by Prof. Rami
Hamdallah and another government in the Gaza Strip presided by Ismail
Haniyeh’s. In your opinion which one is more capable of running the internal
Palestinian affairs?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Prof. Hamdallah’s government 66.2/74.8/51.4
Ismail Haniyeh’s government 17.1/18.3/15.2
No opinion/I do not know 16.7/7.0/33.4

How do you assess the performance of Prof. Hamdallah’s government?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Good 76.6/82.7/66.2
Bad 10.3/7.1/15.8
No opinion/I do not know 13.1/10.2/18.0

How do you assess the performance of Ismail Haniyeh’s government?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Good 31.7/35.7/24.8
Bad 46.2/39.4/57.8
No opinion/I do not know 22.1/24.9/17.4

Do you support conducting the coming Presidential elections despite the
division or after ending it?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
After ending the division 80.1/81.2/78.4
Despite the division 12.8/13.6/11.4
No opinion/I do not know 7.1/5.2/10.2

Do you support conducting the coming legislative elections despite the
division or after ending it?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
After ending division 80.4/81.4/78.8
Despite division 12.4/13.1/11.2
No opinion/I do not know 7.1/5.5/10.0

If elections are to be conducted in the Palestinian Territories at the
present time do you think that they will be fair?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 44.6/45.7/42.8
No 43.5/46.5/38.4
No opinion/I do not know 11.8/7.8/18.8


If presidential elections are held in the present time, to whom from among
the following do you give your vote?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
An independent candidate 9.9/11.7/6.6
A candidate from the left 3.1/2.3/4.4
A candidate from Hamas 9.5/7.9/12.2
A candidate from Fateh 28.5/25.8/33.0
A national independent candidate 5.2/4.5/6.4
An Islamic independent candidate 3.5/2.6/5.2
I will not participate in the elections 19.1/23.1/12.2
I have not decided yet 21.3/22.0/20.0

If new PLC elections are conducted, whom will you vote for?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
An independent ticket 8.4/10.1/5.4
A ticket from the left 6.0/1.9/5.0
A ticket from Hamas 9.8/8.5/12.0
A ticket from Fateh 28.6/25.5/34.0
A national independent ticket 5.5/5.1/6.2
An Islamic independent ticket 3.8/2.8/5.6
I will not participate in the elections 19.8/24.2/12.2
I have not decided yet 21.1/22.0/19.6

If new legislative elections are to be held today, which of the following
will win?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
An independent Islamists bloc 4.1/4.3/3.8
An independent Nationalist bloc 9.4/8.4/11.2
A Fateh bloc 44.0/48.3/36.6
A Hamas bloc 14.2/14.2/14.2
A bloc from leftist organizations 2.4/1.3/4.4
No opinion/I do not know 25.9/23.6/29.8

If municipality and local council elections are to be held, who do you vote
for?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
A block that represents the family or clan 8.5/12.7/1.6
An independent ticket 7.9/9.2/5.6
A ticket from the left 3.2/1.6/6.0
A ticket from Hamas 8.9/6.8/12.4
A ticket from Fateh 25.4/23.4/28.8
A national independent ticket 5.0/3.4/7.8
An Islamic independent ticket 3.0/2.6/3.6
I will not participate in the elections 17.0/20.5/11.2
I have not decided yet 21.0/19.9/23.0

In case PLC elections are conducted, do you prefer conducting them on the
basis of electoral lists or on the basis of persons?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Electoral lists 31.5/32.7/29.6
Persons 28.9/32.1/23.4
Mixed 30.7/30.0/31.8
No opinion/I do not know 8.9/5.2/15.2

Do you prefer conducting local council elections on the basis of electoral
lists or on the basis of individual candidates?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Electoral lists 30.0/30.4/29.4
Individual candidates 33.0/39.6/21.8
Mixed 28.5/25.3/34.0
No opinion/I do not know 8.5/4.7/14.8



Do the current political, security and economic circumstances compel you to
desire emigrating abroad?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 34.4/26.4/48.2
No 63.2/73.0/46.4
No opinion/I do not know 2.4/0.6/5.4

Are you worried about your life under the present circumstances?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 50.1/42.6/63.2
No 48.1/57.1/32.6
No opinion/I do not know 1.8/0.3/4.2

Are you pessimistic or optimistic towards the general Palestinian situation
at this stage?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Optimistic 32.9/40.0/20.8
Pessimistic 62.3/57.2/71.0
No opinion/I do not know 4.8/2.8/8.2

Under the present circumstances, do you feel that you, your family and your
properties are safe?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 24.2/28.5/16.8
May be 38.2/34.4/44.8
No 35.9/36.7/34.4
No opinion/I do not know 1.7/0.3/4.0

Which of the following political affiliations do you support?
PARTY
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
People’s Party 0.9/1.0/0.6
Democratic Front 0.8/0.9/0.6
Islamic Jihad 1.8/1.2/3.0
Fateh 31.2/33.6/35.2
Hamas 10.8/10.1/12.0
Fida 0.4/0.0/1.0
Popular Front 3.2/2.1/5.0
Palestinian National Initiative 0.4/0.5/0.2
I am an independent nationalist 7.1/6.3/8.6
I am an independent Islamist 2.6/2.3/3.2
None of the above 37.2/41.6/29.6
Others 0.6/0.3/1.0

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