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Wednesday, July 23, 2014
Weekly Commentary: Terror Tunnels or Invasion Tunnels? What was the original plan?

Weekly Commentary: Terror Tunnels or Invasion Tunnels? What was the original
plan?

Dr. Aaron Lerner Date: 23 July 2014

Once again it looks like we lucked out.

Circumstances led to a single front conflict with the enemy fortuitously
rejecting ongoing appeals for a ceasefire.

But our luck may be magnitudes greater than we realize.

Let's put the tremendous investment that Hamas made in the tunnel network
crossing into Israel into historical context.

This huge project of tunnels predates the fall of the Moslem Brotherhood in
Egypt.

The lineup:

#1. Hezbollah investing heavily in a huge network of tunnels providing
access to northern Israel from the Lebanese border.

#2. Hamas devoting a large portion of its resources to building a huge
network of tunnels, 4-5 meters (13-16.5 feet) wide, providing access to
Israel from the Gaza border.

#3. Moslem Brotherhood building a shadow army in the Sinai with the idea
that, one way or the other, the armed forces serving in Egypt would
ultimately execute without hesitation the orders of the Moslem Brotherhood.

When analysts put the Hezbollah and Hamas build ups into a regional context,
it is typically with the idea that their purpose is to deter Israel from
attacking Iran. That the fear of many tens of thousands of rockets blanket
bombing the Jewish State in response to an attack on Iran would stop Israel
from taking military action against Teheran.

In a way, it's a comforting thought since it means that as long as Israel
doesn't strike Iran the rockets in Lebanon will stay in storage.

But the above "lineup" is consistent with a much more horrifying scenario.

The Hezbollah and Hamas tunnels, that have a capacity to inject thousands of
troops into Israel, weren't built for terror attacks. They were intended
for use as part of a large scale invasion.

Because once you consider what an Egyptian Moslem Brotherhood Army could
have done in coordination with Hamas and Hezbollah it's not a "mega terror
attack" – it is an invasion.

An invasion by a collection of forces - including the Egyptian Moslem
Brotherhood - genuinely devoted to the obliteration of the Jewish State.

How could Egypt move large forces across Sinai? Suffice it to say that
considering how enamored President Obama was with Moslem Brotherhood, it
would not have been difficult for then President Morsi to create a situation
in which the White House successfully pressured Israel not to react to the
move until it was too late.

Is the potential for such a nightmare scenario no longer relevant?

It all depends on your timeframe.

We most certainly hope that Egypt will be led by moderate leaders for
generations to come.

But that's only "hope".

The potential use of the tunnels in a future invasion makes it just that
more crucial to destroy the existing tunnels and prevent the construction of
new ones in the future.

And the potential use of the Hezbollah tunnels in an invasion raises very
serious questions about the almost complacent attitude Israeli policymakers
appear to have taken to this ongoing threat.

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(Mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il Website: http://www.imra.org.il

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