Dr. Aaron Lerner - IMRA: This poll finds that West Bankers take a
consistently harder line than Gazans - including being more supportive of
Hamas. But despite this when an operative question is raised there is a
flip: 53.7% of West Bankers as compared to 27.8% of Gazans oppose an armed
intifada in the West Bank
Do you support or reject the rise of an armed intifada in the West Bank?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I support 49.3/43.5/59.2
I reject 44.2/53.7/27.8
No opinion/I do not know 6.5/2.8/13.0
===================
An-Najah National University
Center for Opinion Polls and Survey Studies
Tel: (972) (9) 2345113 Fax: (972)(9) 2345982
Nablus – Palestinian: P.O. Box 7, 707
Email: Polls@najah.edu hussein596@yahoo.com
Results of Palestinian Public Opinion Poll
No. 49
11-13 September 2014
The Results
Following are the results of the Palestinian Public Opinion Poll no. 49
conducted by the Center for Opinion Polls and Survey Studies at An-Najah
National University during the period from 11-13 September 2014. The
University sponsors all polls conducted by its Center.
This poll undertakes the Palestinian public opinion on the new political
realities, the results of the last war on the Gaza Strip, the boycott
campaign and the possibility of conducting presidential, legislative and
local council elections, in addition to the political affiliations of
Palestinian people.
The sample included 1360 persons whose age group is 18 and above and who
have the right to vote. The enclosed questionnaire was distributed on 860
persons from the West Bank and 500 persons from the Gaza Strip. The sample
was drawn randomly and the margin of error is about ±3%; still 2.4% of the
members of the sample refused to answer the questionnaire.
_____________________________________________________________________
The opinions represented in the results reflect those of the study; they do
not, by any means, represent the opinion of An-Najah National University.
The General Results of the Poll
In your opinion who initiated the War in the Gaza Strip?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Israel 82.9/84.8/79.6
Hamas and the other Palestinian Factions 6.5/5.1/9.0
Both sides 8.8/8.0/10.0
No opinion/I do not know 1.8/2.1/1.4
The last Cairo Agreement included a number of items, which of the following
items do you think Israel will comply with?
Total
Yes /To some extent/No/No opinion/I do not know Total
Opening the border crossings between the Gaza Strip and Israel
24.5/33.2/40.0/2.4
The gradual cancellation of the protective zone on the borders of the Gaza
Strip 13.4/28.5/53.2/4.9
The gradual expansion of the fishing zone 22.6/35.0/40.4/2.0
Starting the reconstruction of the Gaza Strip 33.8/31.8/32.2/2.2
Establishing a sea port 13.7/17.7/64.0/4.6
Reconstructing and operating the airport 13.0/17.9/64.3/4.8
West Bank
Yes /To some extent/No/No opinion/I do not know Total
Opening the border crossings between the Gaza Strip and Israel
14.8/33.4/49.7/2.2
The gradual cancellation of the protective zone on the borders of the Gaza
Strip 12.0/27.1/57.0/4.0
The gradual expansion of the fishing zone 18.4/31.2/48.7/1.7
Starting the reconstruction of the Gaza Strip 30.3/28.4/39.7/1.6
Establishing a sea port 11.7/20.0/64.3/4.0
Reconstructing and operating the airport 11.7/19.2/65.3/3.7
Gaza Strip
Yes /To some extent/No/No opinion/I do not know Total
Opening the border crossings between the Gaza Strip and Israel
41.2/32.8/23.4/2.6
The gradual cancellation of the protective zone on the borders of the Gaza
Strip 15.8/31.0/46.8/6.4
The gradual expansion of the fishing zone 29.8/41.6/26.2/2.4
Starting the reconstruction of the Gaza Strip 39.8/37.6/19.4/3.2
Establishing a sea port 17.0/13.8/63.4/5.8
Reconstructing and operating the airport 15.2/15.6/62.6/6.6
It is said that the last war on the Gaza Strip targeted civilians to a large
extent. Which of the two sides was targeting civilians more?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Israel 91.2/93.5/87.2
Hamas and the other Palestinian Factions 4.3/1.6/8.8
Both sides 4.2/4.4/3.8
No opinion/I do not know 0.4/0.5/0.2
When do you think Egypt will completely open the Rafah Crossing?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
When the Palestinian Presidential Guards take charge of running it
46.7/40.1/58.0
Egypt will open it even if the situation stays as it is now 8.5/10.2/5.4
Egypt will not open it completely under all circumstances 35.5/41.9/24.6
No opinion/I do not know 9.3/7.8/12.0
Do you support or reject the decision of the PA to join the international
organizations?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I support 83.2/82.1/85.0
I reject 12.4/14.8/8.4
No opinion/I do not know 4.4/3.1/6.6
Do you support or reject the decision of the PA to join the International
Criminal Court ?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I support 84.6/86.4/81.6
I reject 10.8/10.9/10.6
No opinion/I do not know 4.6/2.7/7.8
Do you think there will be military encounters with Israel in the Gaza Strip
in the near future?
/Do you support or reject firing rockets against Israel if Israel does not
meet its obligations to the last Cairo Agreement?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I support 76.3/80.5/69.0
I reject 18.9/16.3/23.4
No opinion/I do not know 4.9/3.3/7.6
Do you expect the Palestinian reconciliation to succeed and endure?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
It will succeed and endure 43.8/42.1/46.6
It will fail 47.2/53.6/36.2
No opinion/I do not know 9.0/4.3/17.2
Do you support or reject boycotting Israeli goods and products?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I support 92.3/93.6/90.0
I reject 6.5/6.0/7.4
No opinion/I do not know 1.2/0.3/2.6
Do you expect the success or the failure of the campaign of boycotting
Israeli goods and products in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
It will succeed 63.8/64.7/62.2
It will fail 30.1/31.9/27.2
No opinion/I do not know 6.1/3.5/10.6
How do you assess the degree of unity among Palestinian factions during the
last war on the Gaza Strip?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Good 87.6/87.8/87.2
Bad 10.3/11.2/8.8
No opinion/I do not know 2.1/1.0/4.0
How do you assess the role the UNRWA played during the last war on the Gaza
Strip?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Good 57.1/47.4/73.8
Bad 37.4/45.5/23.6
No opinion/I do not know 5.4/7.1/2.6
How do you assess the role the Red Cross played during the last war on the
Gaza Strip?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Good 60.3/60.6/59.8
Bad 34.9/34.3/35.8
No opinion/I do not know 4.9/5.1/4.4
How do you assess the role the PLO played during the last war on the Gaza
Strip?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Good 48.7/47.9/50.0
Bad 42.0/43.8/38.8
No opinion/I do not know 9.3/8.3/11.2
How do you assess the role President Mahmoud Abbas played during the last
war on the Gaza Strip?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Good 62.4/66.4/55.6
Bad 31.7/28.5/37.2
No opinion/I do not know 5.9/5.1/7.2
How do you assess the role the Palestinian Unity Government played during
the last war on the Gaza Strip?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Good 61.2/68.3/49.0
Bad 28.3/20.2/42.2
No opinion/I do not know 10.5/11.5/8.8
Were you following the media coverage of the last war on the Gaza Strip?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
To a great extent 75.1/70.8/82.6
To some extent 22.6/27.0/15.2
I have not followed it 2.1/2.1/2.0
No opinion/I do not know 0.1/0.1/0.2
Do you think the media coverage of the last war on the Gaza Strip was
adequate?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 61.9/61.3/63.0
To some extent 27.1/27.4/26.4
No 9.6/10.0/8.8
No opinion/I do not know 1.5/1.3/1.8
Do you support or reject President Mahmoud Abbas’ plan to approach the
Security Council to obtain a decision asking Israel to withdraw from the
1967 Palestinian Territories?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I support 81.4/82.0/80.4
I reject 14.3/15.5/12.4
No opinion/I do not know 4.3/2.6/7.2
Now that the war on the Gaza Strip has come to an end, do you support or
reject a return of the Israelis and the Palestinians to negotiations?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I support 57.5/56.0/60.0
I reject 37.6/41.6/30.8
No opinion/I do not know 4.9/2.3/9.2
Do you support or reject adding other countries besides the United States to
the auspices of the negotiations?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I support 61.0/60.8/61.4
I reject 31.0/34.9/24.4
No opinion/I do not know 7.9/4.3/14.2
Do you think that the USA is serious this time in its endeavors to bring the
peace negotiations between the Palestinians and the Israelis to successful
end?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 14.8/11.7/20.0
No 78.4/84.7/67.6
No opinion/I do not know 6.8/3.6/12.4
Do you consider the USA a fair arbitrator in the current negotiations
between the two sides of conflict?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 7.6/5.5/11.4
No 87.4/92.8/78.2
No opinion/I do not know 4.9/1.7/10.4
In general how do you see the policy of the US towards the Palestinian
cause?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Biased towards Israel 90.9/94.5/84.6
Biased towards the Palestinians 3.2/1.4/6.2
Neutral 4.0/3.3/5.2
No opinion/I do not know 2.0/0.8/4.0
Do you support or reject the two-state solution provided that a Palestinian
state is created to live side by side with Israel?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I strongly support 14.6/11.7/19.6
I support 41.8/46.0/34.6
I reject 23.9/27.1/18.4
I strongly reject 14.9/13.4/17.6
No opinion/I do not know 4.7/1.7/9.8
Do you support or reject a one-state solution in which Palestinians and
Israelis enjoy equal rights?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I strongly support 7.5/4.3/13.0
I support 18.8/18.1/20.0
I reject 42.1/50.2/28.0
I strongly reject 26.2/25.5/27.4
No opinion/I do not know 5.4/1.9/11.6
Do you consider yourself optimistic or pessimistic towards the success of
the peace process between the Palestinian Authority and Israel?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Optimistic 30.8/31.5/29.6
Pessimistic 63.3/66.4/58.0
No opinion/I do not know 5.9/2.1/12.4
In view of the present realities, do you expect the rise of a third intifada
in the West Bank?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 57.5/58.4/56.0
No 32.6/37.3/24.4
No opinion/I do not know 9.9/4.3/19.6
Do you support or reject the rise of an armed intifada in the West Bank?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I support 49.3/43.5/59.2
I reject 44.2/53.7/27.8
No opinion/I do not know 6.5/2.8/13.0
Do you support or reject the rise of popular, unarmed and nonviolent
resistance?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
I support 56.7/63.1/45.6
I reject 35.7/34.5/37.6
No opinion/I do not know 7.6/2.3/16.8
If elections are to be conducted in the Palestinian Territories at the
present time do you think that they will be fair?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 45.0/43.1/48.2
No 43.0/49.1/32.6
No opinion/I do not know 12.0/7.8/19.2
If presidential elections are held in the present time, to whom from among
the following do you give your vote?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
An independent candidate 8.2/7.4/9.6
A candidate from the left 1.9/1.4/2.8
A candidate from Hamas 22.3/22.0/22.8
A candidate from Fateh 21.1/16.3/29.4
A national independent candidate 4.9/5.3/4.0
An Islamic independent candidate 3.1/2.7/3.8
I will not participate in the elections 17.5/21.0/11.4
I have not decided yet 21.0/23.8/16.2
If new PLC elections are conducted, whom will you vote for?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
An independent ticket 7.3/7.2/7.4
A ticket from the left 2.2/1.4/3.6
A ticket from Hamas 23.4/23.5/23.2
A ticket from Fateh 21.3/16.5/29.4
A national independent ticket 4.0/4.7/3.0
An Islamic independent ticket 3.2/2.3/4.6
I will not participate in the elections 17.8/20.7/12.8
I have not decided yet 20.9/23.7/16.0
If new legislative elections are to be held today, which of the following
will win?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
An independent Islamists bloc 3.8/2.6/6.0
An independent Nationalist bloc 4.7/3.1/7.4
A Fateh bloc 26.2/22.9/31.8
A Hamas bloc 39.7/47.4/26.4
A bloc from leftist organizations 1.0/0.9/1.2
No opinion/I do not know 24.6/23.0/27.2
If municipality and local council elections are to be held, who do you
vote for?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
A block that represents the family or clan 8.5/11.4/3.8
An independent ticket 7.5/7.6/7.2
A ticket from the left 1.9/1.8/2.0
A ticket from Hamas 19.8/18.4/22.2
A ticket from Fateh 18.9/12.4/29.6
A national independent ticket 3.0/3.8/1.8
An Islamic independent ticket 3.4/3.3/3.6
I will not participate in the elections 18.1/20.4/14.4
I have not decided yet 18.8/20.9/15.4
In case PLC elections are conducted, do you prefer conducting them on the
basis of electoral lists or on the basis of persons?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Electoral lists 35.7/32.7/40.8
Persons 28.4/32.1/22.0
Mixed 24.6/27.0/20.6
No opinion/I do not know 11.3/8.3/16.6
Do you prefer conducting local council elections on the basis of electoral
lists or on the basis of individual candidates?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Electoral lists 33.8/30.9/38.6
Individual candidates 33.8/40.4/22.8
Mixed 21.1/20.6/22.0
No opinion/I do not know 11.3/8.1/16.6
Do the current political, security and economic circumstances compel you to
desire emigrating abroad?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 29.8/20.5/45.8
No 68.4/79.2/49.8
No opinion/I do not know 1.8/0.3/4.4
Are you worried about your life under the present circumstances?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 47.2/37.0/64.8
No 51.0/62.3/31.4
No opinion/I do not know 1.8/0.7/3.8
Are you pessimistic or optimistic towards the general Palestinian
situation at this stage?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Optimistic 41.8/45.8/34.8
Pessimistic 54.4/52.8/57.2
No opinion/I do not know 3.8/1.4/8.0
Under the present circumstances, do you feel that you, your family and your
properties are safe?
Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
Yes 24.1/27.2/18.8
May be 33.9/33.3/35.0
No 41.3/39.4/44.4
No opinion/I do not know 0.7/0.1/1.8
Which of the following political affiliations do you support?
PARTY Total/West Bank/Gaza Strip
People’s Party 0.4/0.1/1.0
Democratic Front 1.1/1.4/0.6
Islamic Jihad 4.0/1.5/8.2
Fateh 25.7/21.0/33.6
Hamas 25.7/26.0/25.2
Fida 0.2/0.0/0.6
Popular Front 2.8/2.4/3.4
Palestinian National Initiative 0.5/0.5/0.6
I am an independent nationalist 5.6/5.8/5.2
I am an independent Islamist 2.1/1.9/2.6
None of the above 31.2/38.7/18.2
Others 0.7/0.6/0.8
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