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Tuesday, November 9, 2010
AWRAD poll of Palestinians: 85.2% reject peace deal with Palestinian state if requires compromise, 64.8% consider Palestinian state replacing Israel essential

If Palestinian negotiators delivered a peace settlement that includes a
Palestinian State but had to make compromises on key issues (right of
return, Jerusalem, borders, settlements, etc.) to do so would you support
the result? Yes 12.2% No 85.2% Donít know 2.6%

With regard to the final status of Palestine and Israel please indicate
which of the following you consider to be Essential, Desirable, Acceptable,
Tolerable, or Unacceptable as part of a peace agreement.

Historic Palestine Ė From the Jordan River to the sea
Essential 64.8% Desirable 18.3% Acceptable 8.8% Tolerable 4.5% Unacceptable
2.6% Don't know 1.0%

Results of an Opinion Poll
Publication Date: 9 November 2010
Field work: October 20-22, 2010
Sample Size: 1000 Palestinians in the West Bank & Gaza
Margin of error: + 3 %
Arab World for Research & Development
Ramallah Ė Gaza, Palestine
Tele-fax: 00970-2-2950957/8
E-mail: awrad@awrad.org
Website: www.awrad.org
http://www.awrad.org/pdfs/English_tables-Ocotober2010.pdf

Section One: The Negotiations
Do you support peace negotiations?
Yes 66.5% No 31.1% Donít know 2.4%

If yes, do you support direct or indirect negotiations?
Direct negotiations 73.8%
Indirect negotiations 16.4%
Donít know 9.8%

Under the present conditions, do you support or oppose direct negotiations?
Support 48.9% Oppose 33.5% Neither support nor oppose 13.8%
Donít know 3.8%

If President Abbas decides to engage in direct negotiations with Israel on
the final status issues, would you support him?
Yes 66.6% No 27.8% Donít know 5.6%

If yes :
Without conditions 16.1%
Only if Israel commits to a freeze on settlements 23.9%
Only if the international community gives assurances that the process will
lead to a Palestinian State within a timetable 19.6%
Both Conditions 37.3%
Donít know 3.0%

What, in your opinion, is the single greatest obstacle to the peace process?

Palestinian leadership 7.3% Palestinian political process 17.1%
Palestinian people 2.2%

Israeli leadership 47.5% Israeli political process 5.6%
Israeli people 6.0%

The United States 9.8% Other 1.9% Donít know 2.5%

If Palestinian negotiators delivered a peace settlement that includes a
Palestinian State but had to make compromises on key issues (right of
return, Jerusalem, borders, settlements, etc.) to do so would you support
the result?
Yes 12.2% No 85.2% Donít know 2.6%

In your opinion, which one of the following is the best means to end the
occupation and establish a Palestinian state?
Negotiations to reach an agreement between the two parties 28.0%
An international conference that imposes a settlement on all parties 22.6%
A non-violent popular uprising 19.0%
Violence 23.9%
Other 4.1%
Donít know 2.4%

If Violence, using what tools?
Violent attacks against only the Israeli military 9.3%
Violent attacks against Israeli settlers 5.4%
Both A and B 60.6%
Violent attacks against civilians in Israel through suicide bombers and any
other means 24.7%

What is the best mechanism to engage in a negotiation process with Israel?
Negotiations between Palestinians and Israelis with no intermediaries 28.5%
Negotiations with American mediation 6.9%
Negotiations with UN mediation 22.8%
Negotiations with European mediation 18.2%
None of the above 19.4%
Don't know 4.3%

In your opinion, do you think that the current negotiations process led by
the United States will ever lead to a Palestinian state with full
sovereignty over the West Bank and Gaza?
Yes 27.2% No 32.9% Maybe 37.8% Donít know 2.1%

With regard to the final status of Palestine and Israel please indicate
which of the following you consider to be Essential, Desirable, Acceptable,
Tolerable, or Unacceptable as part of a peace agreement.

Historic Palestine Ė From the Jordan River to the sea
Essential 64.8% Desirable 18.3% Acceptable 8.8% Tolerable 4.5% Unacceptable
2.6% Don't know 1.0%

One State Solution Ė Israelis and Palestinians share power and are equal
citizens between the Jordanian River and sea
Essential 6.3% Desirable 18.5% Acceptable 15.8% Tolerable 13.9% Unacceptable
44.5% Don't know 1.1%

Two State Solution Ė Israel and Palestine established according to UN
resolutions
Essential 22.0% Desirable 20.3% Acceptable 15.6% Tolerable 11.3%
Unacceptable 29.3% Don't know 1.5%

Confederation - Between the West Bank and Jordan and between Gaza and Egypt
Essential 4.1% Desirable 10.9% Acceptable 10.1% Tolerable 11.4% Unacceptable
60.1% Don't know 3.3%

In your opinion, which of the above scenarios is the most
realistic/achievable?

Historic Palestine Ė From the Jordan River to the sea 30.5%

One State Solution Ė Israelis and Palestinians share power and are equal
citizens between the Jordanian River and the sea. 13.8%

Two state solution - Two states for two peoples: Israel and Palestine
according to UN resolution 44.8%

Confederation between West Bank and Jordan and between Gaza and Egypt 10.8%

How would you rate the performance of the ministerial cabinet (in your
region) in fighting corruption?
Strong 32.9% Neutral 33.9% Weak 30.7% Don't know 2.5%

How would you rate the performance of the ministerial cabinet (in your
region) in improving
security?
Strong 39.3% Neutral 32.0% Weak 26.5% Don't know 2.2%

How would you rate the performance of the ministerial cabinet (in your
region) in providing public services, such as health care, road repair,
education, transportation, etc.?
Strong 33.6% Neutral 33.1% Weak 31.7% Don't know 1.6%

Do you believe elections (municipal, legislative, Presidential) should be
immediately rescheduled and held as soon as possible?
yes 79.5% no 15.6% Don't know 4.9%

Do you support changes to the Central Elections Commission, as has been
reported in the media as part of reconciliation talks between Fatah and
Hamas?
yes 73.3% no 14.3% Don't know 12.3%

Will you vote in the next national elections?
yes 75.9% no 17.6% Don't know 6.5%

If PLC elections were held today, who would you vote for?
PPP 1.1% PFLP 3.6% DFLP 0.6%
An Independent party led by Salam Fayyad 3.7%
Al Mubadara 2.6% Feda 0.4%
Fatah 41.8% Hamas 11.2%
Popular Struggle 0.2% Islamic Jihad 2.0%
Hizb Tahreer 0.4% Other 5.8%
Undecided 26.5%
If presidential elections were held today, who would you vote for?
Mahmoud Abbas 27.3% Mustafa Barghouthi 6.8%
Khaled Meshal 2.6% Salam Fayyad 7.5%
Ismail Haniyeh 8.8% Marwan Barghouthi 15.9%
Mahmoud Zahhar 0.9% Ahmad Saadat 2.9%
other 9.7% Undecided 17.6%

If both Mustafa Barghouthi and Salam Fayyad ran for PLC elections would you
prefer they did so as a coalition running together or as separate lists for
each leader?
In coalition 23.7% As separate lists 30.3%
Doesn't matter 37.5% Don't know 8.5%

In general, how do you rate the overall performance of President Mahmoud
Abbas?
Good 42.7% Neutral 28.2% Poor 27.1%
Don't know 2.0%

In general, how do rate the overall performance of Prime Minister Salam
Fayyad?
Good 43.5% Neutral 32.2% Poor 21.9%
Don't know 2.4%

In general, how do you rate the overall performance of Ismael Haniyeh?
Good 18.3% Neutral 29.1% Poor 40.9%
Don't know 11.7%

Do you believe Prime Minster Salaam Fayyad has done his job well enough to
deserve re-election and reappointment as Prime Minister?
yes 44.8% no 22.5% between 26.5%
Don't know 6.2%

Which faction do you trust the most?
PPP 1.4% PFLP 3.8% DFLP 0.8%
Mubadara 4.1% Feda 0.4%
Fateh 44.3% Hamas 13.2%
Popular Struggle 0.3% Islamic Jihad 2.9%
Hizb Tahreer 0.6% Undecided 20.6%
I will not vote 7.5%

Which political stream is closest to describing your political views?
PPP 1.7% PFLP 4.2% DFLP 0.7%
Mubadara 3.7% Feda 0.4%
Fateh 45.0% Hamas 12.9%
Popular Struggle 0.2% Islamic Jihad 2.6%
Hizb Tahreer 0.7% Undecided 20.8%
I will not vote 7.0%
Do you believe that Palestinian society is generally heading in right or the
wrong direction?
Right direction 26.5% Wrong direction 63.2%
Don't know 10.3%

Did you hear or read the president Mahmoud Abbas's speech delivered in Libya
before the Arab summit on October 9th?
yes 26.7% no 73.3%

In his speech president Abbas said "if Israel decided to freeze the building
of settlements, the direct negotiations will be continued and activated" do
you agree or disagree?
Agree 46.7% Somewhat agree 27.6% Disagree 21.7%
Don't know 4.0%

In his speech president Abbas said" if peace was not achieved through
negotiations and the intervention of the United states, we will go to the UN
security counsil and ask all countries to recognize the Palestinian state"
DO you agree or disagree?
Agree 51.1% Somewhat agree 25.2% Disagree 19.8%
Don't know 3.9%

Realistically, do you think that it is appropriate to dismantle the PNA as a
reaction to a failure in the negotiations?
Appropriate 27.0% Inappropriate 65.4% DK 7.6%

If the PNA was dismantled, do you think that the Palestinian people can bear
the consequences?
Yes 24.5% No 66.3% Don't know 9.2%

(Sample Distribution) Publication Date: 9 October 2010
Field work: 20-22 October 2010
Sample Size: 1000 Palestinians in the West Bank & Gaza
Margin of error: +/- 3%

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