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Tuesday, March 31, 2015
An-Najah Poll: 73.5%:18.4% Palestinians support armed intifada, 46.2% of Gazans want to emigrate

An-Najah Poll: 73.5%:18.4% Palestinians support armed intifada, 46.2% of
Gazans want to emigrate

An-Najah National University
Center for Opinion Polls and Survey Studies
Tel: (972) (9) 2345113 Fax: (972)(9) 2345982
Nablus – Palestinian: P.O. Box 7, 707
Email: Polls@najah.edu hussein596@yahoo.com

Results of Palestinian Public Opinion Poll
No. 50
26-28 March 2015
Following are the results of the Palestinian Public Opinion Poll no. 50
conducted by the Center for Opinion Polls and Survey Studies at An-Najah
National University during the period from 26-28 March 2015. The University
sponsors all polls conducted by its Center.
The sample included 1360 persons whose age group is 18 and above and who
have the right to vote. The enclosed questionnaire was distributed on 860
persons from the West Bank and 500 persons from the Gaza Strip. The sample
was drawn randomly and the margin of error is about ±3%; still 2.4% of the
members of the sample refused to answer the questionnaire.
_____________________________________________________________________
The opinions represented in the results reflect those of the study; they do
not, by any means, represent the opinion of An-Najah National University.


Do you support or reject the Central Council of the Palestine
Liberation Organization's decision on ceasing security coordination between
the PA and Israel?
Total
I support 59.0
I reject 33.5
No opinion/I do not know 7.5
Total 100.0

Do you think that the PA will implement the Central Council of the
Palestine Liberation Organization's decision on ceasing security
coordination between the PA and Israel?
Total
Yes 26.6
No 63.2
No opinion/I do not know 10.1
Total 100.0

In your point of view you, do you support or reject ceasing security
coordination between the PA and Israel?
Total
I support 56.7
I reject 36.5
No opinion/I do not know 6.8
Total 100.0

After Netanyahu and the Likud victory in the recent Israeli elections,
do you expect a return to the negotiation table?
Total
Yes 53.2
No 37.8
No opinion/I do not know 9.0
Total 100.0



After Netanyahu's declaration during the recent Israeli elections that he
does not support a solution based on the creation of a Palestinian state
alongside Israel, do you support or reject a return to the negotiation
table?
Total
I support 36.8
I reject 56.3
No opinion/I do not know 6.9
Total 100.0

Do you expect that the United States to exert pressure on Israel to
return to the negotiation table and accept the two-state solution?
Total
Yes 48.8
No 43.0
No opinion/I do not know 8.2
Total 100.0

After Netanyahu declared his opposition to the two-state solution, do
you think that the United States will recognize an independent Palestinian
state on the 1967 borders if a petition is submitted to the Security
Council?
Total
Yes 28.7
No 63.4
No opinion/I do not know 7.9
Total 100.0

Do you consider yourself an optimist or a pessimist with reference to
reaching a peace agreement between the PA and Israel?
Total
Optimistic 29.2
Pessimistic 65.0
No opinion/I do not know 5.8
Total 100.0



After Netanyahu's declaration refusing the two-state solution and after the
halting of the peace process, what are the steps you would prefer that the
Palestinians should take?


Submit a petition to the UN to recognize a Palestinian state on the 1967
borders.
Yes 72.2 No 22.1 DK 5.2

Start nonviolent and unarmed popular resistance
Yes 38.8 No 54.3 DK 6.9

Call for a one-state solution – a state for both Israelis and Palestinians
Yes 56.6 No 35.8 DK 7.6

Dissolve the PA.
Yes 22.7 No 71.0 DK 6.3

Recourse to the International Criminal Court
Yes 32.2 No 59.3 DK 8.5

Start a new armed intifada (uprising) and confrontations with the Israelis.
Yes 73.5 No 18.4 DK 8.2


In your point of view, which body/side can be best in overseeing the
reconstruction of the Gaza Strip?
Total
The PA 30.7
Hamas 20.5
The Arab League 15.7
The UN 21.9
No opinion/I do not know 11.1
Total 100.0

Do you think that in the near future a new war will break out between
Israel and Hamas in the Gaza Strip?
Total
Yes 62.1
No 26.3
No opinion/I do not know 11.6
Total 100.0

. After Netanyahu’s recent victory and declarations regarding the
establishment of a Palestinian state, do you see that Fatah and Hamas should
speed up the implementation of the national reconciliation?
Total
Yes 85.0
No 11.5
No opinion/I do not know 3.5
Total 100.0

Are you optimistic or pessimistic about the implementation of the
reconciliation between Fatah and Hamas in the near future?
Total
Optimistic 52.0
Pessimistic 43.7
No opinion/I do not know 4.3
Total 100.0


In your point of view you who is responsible for the lack of implementation
of the national reconciliation agreement?
Total
Hamas 16.5
Fateh 13.1
Persons from both Hamas and Fateh 67.1
No opinion/I do not know 3.2
Total 100.0

When do you think Egypt will completely open the Rafah Crossing?
Total
If the Palestinian Presidential Guards take charge of running it 38.7
Egypt will open it even if the situation stays as it is now 11.7
Egypt will not open it completely under all circumstances 36.9
No opinion/I do not know 12.7
Total 100.0

Do you think Israel will release withheld Palestinian tax revenues to the
PA?
Total
Yes 65.1
No 25.5
No opinion/I do not know 9.3
Total 100.0

After the recent Israeli elections, do you think that the United States
and the European Union will exert pressure on Israel to release Palestinian
tax revenues?
Total
Yes 63.9
No 28.2
No opinion/I do not know 7.9
Total 100.0

In case Israel does not release withheld tax revenues to the PA, do you
think that the PA will collapse?
Total
Yes 40.9
No 51.3
No opinion/I do not know 7.8
Total 100.0

Do you think that the Arab countries will fulfill their financial
obligations to the PA if Israel continues withholding Palestinian tax
revenues?
Total
Yes 53.5
No 38.2
No opinion/I do not know 8.2
Total 100.0

In case Israel does not release Palestinian tax revenues, how do you
expect the PA to pay salaries?
Total
By resorting to the Arab countries to support them financially 34.5
By resorting to the United States and the European Union for financial
support 16.1
By borrowing from banks 14.9
By reducing the number of its employees 19.2
By reducing employees' salaries 13.5
No opinion/I do not know 1.8
Total 100.0

Do you think that Daish (the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant) can
infiltrate into Palestine?
Total
Yes 41.3
No 49.0
No opinion/I do not know 9.7
Total 100.0

Do you think that the rise of Daish will have a positive or a negative
impact on the Palestinian cause?
Total
It will have a positive impact 11.0
It will have a negative impact 77.1
No opinion/I do not know 11.9
Total 100.0

Do you think that the international coalition against Daish will succeed
in defeating it?
Total
It will succeed 42.0
It will fail 41.9
No opinion/I do not know 16.1
Total 100.0

Do you support or reject boycotting Israeli goods and products?
Total
I support 74.6
I reject 22.6
No opinion/I do not know 2.9
Total 100.0

Do you expect the success or the failure of the campaign of boycotting
Israeli goods and products in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip?
Total
It will succeed 53.7
It will fail 40.6
No opinion/I do not know 5.7
Total 100.0




Do you personally buy Israeli products when there are Palestinian
substitutes to them?
Total
I buy Israeli products in all cases 10.7
I buy Palestinian products in all cases 51.8
I buy products according to quality regardless of their source. 33.1
No opinion/I do not know 4.4
Total 100.0

How do you assess the performance of the National Unity Government?
Total
Excellent 7.7
Good 62.5
Poor 23.5
No opinion/I do not know 6.3
Total 100.0


How do you assess the performance of the Palestinian Presidency?
Total
Excellent 12.0
Good 59.9
Poor 25.1
No opinion/I do not know 2.9
Total 100.0

If elections are to be conducted in the Palestinian Territories at the
present time, do you think that they will be fair?
Total
Yes 42.9
No 46.3
No opinion/I do not know 10.8
Total 100.0



If presidential elections are held in the present time, to whom from among
the following do you give your vote?
Total
An independent candidate 8.1
A candidate from the left 2.3
A candidate from Hamas 11.0
A candidate from Fateh 27.3
A national independent candidate 5.1
An Islamic independent candidate 4.0
I will not participate in the elections 23.0
I have not decided yet 19.3
Total 100.0

If new PLC elections are conducted, whom will you vote for?
Total
An independent ticket 7.4
A ticket from the left 2.4
A ticket from Hamas 11.5
A ticket from Fateh 27.4
A national independent ticket 5.7
An Islamic independent ticket 4.0
I will not participate in the elections 22.4
I have not decided yet 19.3
Total 100.0

If new legislative elections are to be held today, which of the
following will win?
Total
An independent Islamists bloc 5.3
An independent Nationalist bloc 7.6
A Fateh bloc 39.0
A Hamas bloc 18.6
A bloc from leftist organizations 2.1
No opinion/I do not know 27.4
Total 100.0


If municipality and local council elections are to be held, who do you vote
for?
Total
A block that represents the family or clan 9.7
An independent ticket 6.7
A ticket from the left 2.0
A ticket from Hamas 11.2
A ticket from Fateh 22.6
A national independent ticket 5.5
An Islamic independent ticket 3.5
I will not participate in the elections 20.2
I have not decided yet 18.6
Total 100.0

In case PLC elections are conducted, do you prefer conducting them on the
basis of electoral lists or on the basis of persons?
Total
Electoral lists 30.1
Persons 30.5
Mixed 26.0
No opinion/I do not know 13.5
Total 100.0

Do you prefer conducting local council elections on the basis of electoral
lists or on the basis of individual candidates?
Total
Electoral lists 27.8
Individual candidates 37.2
Mixed 21.3
No opinion/I do not know 13.7
Total 100.0



Do the current political, security and economic circumstances compel you
to desire emigrating abroad?
Total
Yes 30.5
No 66.3
No opinion/I do not know 3.2
Total 100.0
West Bank
Yes 21.4
No 77.4
No opinion/I do not know 1.2
Total 100.0
Gaza Strip
Yes 46.2
No 47.0
No opinion/I do not know 6.8
Total 100.0

Are you worried about your life under the present circumstances?
Total
Yes 49.1
No 48.6
No opinion/I do not know 2.3
Total 100.0

Are you pessimistic or optimistic towards the general Palestinian
situation at this stage?
Total
Optimistic 31.8
Pessimistic 64.9
No opinion/I do not know 3.3
Total 100.0

Under the present circumstances, do you feel that you, your family and
your properties are safe?
Total
Yes 24.3
May be 38.6
No 36.0
No opinion/I do not know 1.1
Total 100.0




Which of the following political affiliations do you support?
PARTY Total
People’s Party 1.0
Democratic Front 1.0
Islamic Jihad 1.8
Fateh 32.3
Hamas 14.2
Fida 0.2
Popular Front 2.6
Palestinian National Initiative 1.3
I am an independent nationalist 6.9
I am an independent Islamist 3.3
None of the above 34.2
Others 1.2
Total 100.0

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