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Friday, October 2, 2020
Weekly Commentary: Window of Pre-Election Legitimacy For Israel - Sunni Arab Agreements Closing

Weekly Commentary: Window of Pre-Election Legitimacy For Israel - Sunni
Arab Agreements Closing
Dr. Aaron Lerner 2 November, 2020

With a Biden victory a definite possibility, it makes sense for Israel and
the Sunni Arab Leaders to move quickly within the small "pre-election
window" with the goal of passing milestones which establish conditions on
the ground such that the legitimacy of follow-up activity carried out in
what could be the "lame-duck" period up to the January inauguration is not
tainted.

Why the rush?

It isn't just that a Biden administration may rush to embrace Iran in a
photo op deal.

The Sunni Arab leaders could very well find themselves under attack on two
fronts:

#1. For failing to squeeze out sufficient concessions from Israel
(concessions which, if required, would make the entire process a
non-starter).

#2. A selective application of various norms to question the very legitimacy
of the leaders.

The UAE and Bahrain set such an example.

Who will follow?

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