IMRA Middle East News Updates https://www.imra.org.il Middle East News & Analysis en-US 1792393139 1792393139 http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/tech/rss Capalon Internet 2.0 imra@netvision.net.il (Aaron Lerner) News & Analysis IMRA Middle East News Updates https://www.imra.org.il https://www.imra.org.il/imra_sm.png 144 97 (English translation) Israel's National Security Concept https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74503 <p>(English translation) Israel's National Security Concept</p> <p>Government Press Office: <br /> Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu Issues Israel's National Security Doctrine<br /> to the Public<br /> <br /> Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, this evening (Sunday, 18 October 2026)<br /> [translated from Hebrew]:<br /> <br /> ""The October 7, 2023 attack compelled Israel to wage a fierce war. Through<br /> continuous combat - from Gaza to Yemen, from Lebanon to Iran - Israel warded<br /> off an imminent existential nuclear threat and removed the chokehold of the<br /> Iranian axis. The Government and the Security Cabinet made well-considered<br /> decisions, the IDF and security branches struck with immense force, and the<br /> civilian home front stood firm.<br /> <br /> The War of Redemption necessitated an upgrade of fundamental principles<br /> within the traditional national security doctrine, among them: giving<br /> priority to prevention and offense over containment and defense, including<br /> launching preemptive strikes to thwart evolving threats; strengthening home<br /> front defense against new threats; cementing Israel's status as a regional<br /> power; building maximum independence in munitions; ensuring superiority in<br /> the most advanced technologies; and intensifying the fight against global<br /> waves of antisemitism. Concurrently, opportunities have been created for<br /> forging new alliances in our region and beyond."<br /> <br /> The Prime Minister's security doctrine was formulated with the assistance of<br /> the National Security Council (NSC) and NSC Director Shmuel Ben Ezra.<br /> <br /> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uCpJ-reOuMk</p> <p>+++</p> <p>IMRA's Unofficial English translation of the original Hebrew document</p> <p>Israel's National Security Concept</p> <p>Benjamin Netanyahu, Prime Minister</p> <p>Jerusalem Cheshvan 5787 October 2026</p> <p>Office of the Prime Minister - National Security Staff</p> <p>The attack of 7 October 2023 compelled Israel to wage a fierce war. In<br /> continuous fighting-from Gaza to Yemen, from Lebanon to Iran-Israel pushed<br /> back the threat of imminent nuclear destruction and removed the strangling<br /> noose of the Iranian axis. The government and the political-security cabinet<br /> made informed decisions; the IDF and the security branches attacked with<br /> force; and the civilian home front stood firm.</p> <p>The War of Revival required a reassessment of fundamental principles in the<br /> traditional concept of national security, among them: giving priority to<br /> prevention and attack over containment and defense, including taking a<br /> preemptive strike to thwart emerging threats; strengthening home-front<br /> defense against new threats; establishing Israel's status as a regional<br /> power; building maximum independence in armaments; ensuring superiority in<br /> the most advanced technologies; strengthening the struggle against the waves<br /> of global antisemitism. In parallel, opportunities emerged for establishing<br /> new alliances in our region and beyond.</p> <p>Principal Threats</p> <p>Arenas:</p> <p>The Shiite axis and the Muslim Brotherhood (AH"SI) axis</p> <p>Convergence of hostile axes</p> <p>Terrorism and internal security threats</p> <p>Delegitimization and isolation from allies</p> <p>Borders - northern, eastern and western</p> <p>Armaments:</p> <p>Nuclear weapons</p> <p>Drones from within Israel and abroad</p> <p>Precision missiles</p> <p>Cyber, artificial intelligence, and quantum technologies</p> <p>Illegal weapons in Israel</p> <p>UAVs and drones</p> <p>Armaments evolving at a rapid pace</p> <p>Central Principles</p> <p>Military superiority in capabilities - The State of Israel must always<br /> remain one step ahead of its enemies. It must avoid containment of enemy<br /> attacks and of the enemy's force buildup, ensure superiority in capabilities<br /> against all its enemies, and not rely on the intentions of enemies and<br /> friends, which may change in the blink of an eye.</p> <p>1) Prevention of nuclear weapons - Including by proactive offensive action.</p> <p>2) Deterrence - Establishing a credible threat by means of the capability<br /> for precise and massive fire, and by thwarting and disrupting military and<br /> civilian systems.</p> <p>3) Early warning - Obtaining and maintaining a continuous and effective<br /> intelligence picture of the enemy's capabilities and intentions, in a manner<br /> that prevents surprise.</p> <p>4) Initiative, stratagem, and a critical approach - Fostering these<br /> principles in the IDF and all security branches, including readiness for a<br /> surprise preemptive strike.</p> <p>5) Defense - Stopping invasion at the borders, maintaining buffer zones as<br /> needed, defending the home front against attacks from within Israel and<br /> abroad, providing a response to a broad spectrum of threats, including<br /> surprise attacks and drones, and maintaining constant readiness for war.</p> <p>6) Alliances - Cultivating Israel's assets to promote regional and<br /> international alliances.</p> <p>7) Technology and independence in force buildup - Reducing dependence on<br /> foreign parties; strengthening independent capabilities in force buildup,<br /> research and development, and local production, and developing<br /> superpower-level capabilities in critical technologies (quantum, artificial<br /> intelligence, space, and others); significantly increasing the defense<br /> budget.</p> <p>8) Struggle to shape perceptions - Developing capabilities, including<br /> artificial intelligence, to shape perceptions in the struggle against Iran<br /> and other enemy states, and to combat anti-Zionism and antisemitism in the<br /> international arena.</p> <p>9) Victory - Breaking the enemy's strength and its belief in its ability to<br /> constitute a real threat, by means of all the above principles.</p> <p>10) The spirit of the people - National cohesion and agreement on<br /> foundational principles, foremost among them: Israel as the nation-state of<br /> the Jewish people, democratic government, readiness to fight for the<br /> security of the state while striving for victory, encouragement of<br /> independent thinking, settlement of the Land of Israel and cultivation of<br /> Israel's heritage, maintaining ties with the Jewish diaspora and encouraging<br /> aliyah.</p> <p>________________________________________<br /> IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis</p> <p>Since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on<br /> Arab-Israeli relations</p> <p>Website: www.imra.org.il</p> Mon, 19 Oct 2026 02:58:59 -0400 https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74503 Judicial Reform: The Tragedy of the "Goats" Netanyahu Could Not Remove https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74502 <p>Judicial Reform: The Tragedy of the "Goats" Netanyahu Could Not Remove<br /> Dr. Aaron Lerner 18.10.2026<br /> https://youtu.be/LCcHacfJ_rk</p> <p>In an interview with Kalman Liebskind published in Makor Rishon on 24<br /> September 2026, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said, in response to a<br /> question about the judicial reform: "I am not going into the tactical<br /> aspect, because I was legally barred from dealing with it."</p> <p>These remarks deserve renewed examination in light of the events that shook<br /> Israel in 2023.</p> <p>It is precisely the word "tactical" that may be the key to understanding one<br /> of the central failures in the management of the judicial reform.</p> <p>It is possible that if Netanyahu had been permitted to manage the reform, a<br /> significant portion of the public crisis that developed around it could have<br /> been avoided. Not because he necessarily opposed the reform, but because he<br /> had previously demonstrated the ability to change course sharply when he<br /> concluded that circumstances required it.</p> <p>In legislative processes, it is sometimes customary to include far-reaching<br /> clauses known as "goats," with the intention of later removing them and<br /> creating room for compromise.</p> <p>In the case of the judicial reform, there is evidence that this is exactly<br /> what was done.</p> <p>In an article by Hilo Glazer published in the weekend magazine of Haaretz on<br /> 4 May 2023, under the headline "Extreme Pessimist, Ascetic, 'Snake in<br /> Glasses': Who Is Yariv Levin, Really?", it was written:</p> <p>"At the beginning of the process, Levin told associates that he never<br /> intended for his plan to pass in its maximalist version, and admitted that<br /> he had planted many goats in it. When he discovered that no one was willing<br /> to 'talk' with him, he joked with his people that 'in the end the reform<br /> will still pass as is.' Over time his mood darkened and he expressed to his<br /> interlocutors genuine frustration at the feeling that on the other side<br /> there was no one to talk to."</p> <p>In other words, already in May 2023 it was published that the original<br /> wording of the reform was not necessarily the wording Levin intended to pass<br /> in the end. Some of the clauses were meant to serve as bargaining<br /> chips-those "goats" that were supposed to come out during the negotiations.</p> <p>However, in this case, instead of waiting for negotiations during which the<br /> "goats" would be removed, the opposition turned the initial drafts into the<br /> focus of public protest.</p> <p>People who were not necessarily sworn opponents of the government read the<br /> drafts as submitted and did not understand that this was a bargaining<br /> exercise.</p> <p>Thus the clauses intended as a means toward compromise became a central tool<br /> for mobilizing opposition.</p> <p>At that moment it was necessary to remove them unilaterally and present the<br /> public with a revised version, but at the same time a dynamic developed<br /> within Likud in which the initial drafts were increasingly presented as<br /> positions from which one must not budge.</p> <p>Instead of facilitating compromise, the "goats" became an obstacle on the<br /> way to it.</p> <p>Already on 18 June 2023, an article was published in IMRA calling on<br /> Netanyahu to remove the "goats" and present the public with the reform<br /> legislation without them, under the headline: "Mr. Netanyahu, Let the Public<br /> See the Reform Legislation Without the Goats."</p> <p>Yet according to his words in the interview, the prime minister was legally<br /> barred from dealing with the management of the tactics.</p> <p>That is the tragedy: not that the solution was unknown, but that the person<br /> who might have implemented it was not permitted to do so.</p> <p>We cannot know how things would have developed if Netanyahu had been free to<br /> manage the reform, but it is worth re-examining the sequence of events and<br /> the heavy price the State of Israel paid.</p> <p>________________________________________<br /> IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis</p> <p>Since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on<br /> Arab-Israeli relations</p> <p>Website: www.imra.org.il</p> Sun, 18 Oct 2026 11:12:05 -0400 https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74502 Haredi Knesset Candidate Compares Draft Evaders' Travel Restrictions to Holocaust https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74501 <p>Haredi Knesset Candidate Compares Draft Evaders' Travel Restrictions to<br /> Holocaust<br /> 16 October 2026</p> <p>Elikim Stark, a United Torah Judaism Knesset candidate representing the Belz<br /> Hasidic community, compared the situation of Haredi draft evaders subject to<br /> travel restrictions to the Holocaust, according to a report by Shilo Fried<br /> published by Ynet on 15 October 2026.</p> <p>Speaking at an election campaign gathering in Beit Shemesh on Thursday<br /> evening, Stark complained that Haredi men barred from leaving Israel because<br /> of military draft orders cannot travel abroad to pursue potential marriage<br /> matches (shidduchim), forcing the families of prospective brides overseas to<br /> travel to Israel instead.</p> <p>"When people want to arrange a marriage match abroad, they have to come here<br /> because [we] cannot [leave the country]," Stark said, according to Ynet.</p> <p>"I had resolved not to speak about Holocaust stories in the early years, but<br /> I have no other way to describe it," he continued.</p> <p>"Our situation is close to what it was during the Holocaust. It reminds me<br /> of stories from our grandparents."</p> <p>Stark, 34, recently replaced Deputy Minister Israel Eichler as the Belz<br /> representative on the Agudat Israel electoral list, part of United Torah<br /> Judaism. Eichler attended the gathering.</p> <p>Source: Shilo Fried, Ynet, 15 October 2026, "The New Representative in<br /> United Torah Judaism: 'Our Situation Is Close to What It Was During the<br /> Holocaust.'"<br /> https://www.ynet.co.il/news/article/hkmhd2cjzl</p> <p>________________________________________<br /> IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis</p> <p>Since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on<br /> Arab-Israeli relations</p> <p>Website: www.imra.org.il</p> Thu, 15 Oct 2026 18:09:40 -0400 https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74501 Weekly Commentary: What Third World Country Missed Multiple Deadlines in Apache Deal? Israel https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74500 <p>Weekly Commentary: What Third World Country Missed Multiple Deadlines in<br /> Apache Deal? Israel<br /> (Video https://youtu.be/ajIPvLHD-c4 )</p> <p>Dr. Aaron Lerner 14 October 2026</p> <p>This morning - October 14th - in a telephone vote, our Cabinet approved<br /> allocating NIS 1.03 billion to bridge the funding gap for 12 Apache<br /> helicopters.</p> <p>Armed with the newly approved funding, the Defense Ministry instructed its<br /> Washington delegation to sign the contract.</p> <p>We missed an earlier ordering window in the summer and received further<br /> extensions. We then failed to meet the final extended deadline of October<br /> 7th, prompting media reports that the deal was dead.</p> <p>Defense Minister Israel Katz then instructed Defense Ministry<br /> Director-General Major General (Res.) Amir Baram to contact the Pentagon<br /> directly to secure another grace period.</p> <p>The U.S. agreed on the strict condition that the contract be signed by the<br /> end of the day on October 14th.</p> <p>So what could have been done in a telephone vote in August was completed,<br /> under the gun, in October.</p> <p>And this is apparently only the tip of the iceberg of this farce, as reports<br /> indicate that our earlier failure to lock a preferential place in Boeing's<br /> production schedule may have pushed delivery later than the slot originally<br /> targeted around 2030.</p> <p>This is not "all's well that ends well."</p> <p>It is hard to imagine that our repeated failures to meet deadlines did not<br /> annoy our American counterparts, both in the government and at Boeing.</p> <p>The final grace period, measured in hours, certainly suggests that American<br /> patience was running thin.</p> <p>But this goes beyond annoying the people we work with.</p> <p>There are no free lunches - and no free favors.</p> <p>And we just wasted a favor.</p> <p>I am both embarrassed and disappointed.<br /> ________________________________________<br /> IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis</p> <p>Since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on<br /> Arab-Israeli relations</p> <p>Website: www.imra.org.il</p> Wed, 14 Oct 2026 16:53:44 -0400 https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74500 Weekly Commentary: After McGurk Remarks Hostage Families Know Outcome Out Of Their Hands https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74499 <p>Weekly Commentary: After McGurk Remarks Hostage Families Know Outcome Out Of<br /> Their Hands<br /> Dr. Aaron Lerner 9 October 2026<br /> For video <br /> https://youtu.be/R-65_x-EDnE?</p> <p>Imagine your loved one is a Hamas hostage.<br /> And various officials and ex-officials are telling you that the only thing<br /> preventing their release is Binyamin Netanyahu.</p> <p>So every day they remain hostages it is because you have failed to force<br /> Netanyahu to change his mind.</p> <p>And if they should die in captivity, it is because you failed, despite all<br /> your efforts to force Netanyahu to free them in time.</p> <p>The anguish.</p> <p>And for those whose loved ones did not make it out - an ongoing sense of<br /> guilt and frustration to live with for the rest of their lives.</p> <p>Fortunately, "Inside the Hostage Negotiations - with Brett McGurk," Call Me<br /> Back with Dan Senor, 4 October 2026, puts an end to all of this.</p> <p>Because McGurk, President Biden's White House coordinator for the Middle<br /> East, who was intimately involved in the negotiations from the first days<br /> after the October 7 massacre through the January 2025 agreement makes it<br /> clear that it was Hamas that was responsible - not Netanyahu.</p> <p>And he is certainly no Netanyahu loyalist. He served an administration that<br /> repeatedly clashed with Israel, at times even threatening to restrict arms<br /> supplies.</p> <p>Asked about reports that Hamas signaled shortly after the massacre that it<br /> was ready to release all the hostages, McGurk dismissed the notion as<br /> "complete bullshit."</p> <p>McGurk said Hamas, and Yahya Sinwar in particular, believed the war would<br /> end with Hamas still holding a number of hostages for years.</p> <p>He said he had no doubt about that assessment.</p> <p>McGurk also recounted that Netanyahu rejected an initial proposal<br /> guaranteeing the release of 20 hostages. When McGurk suggested that the<br /> negotiators might secure 30, Netanyahu insisted on demanding 50.</p> <p>McGurk recalled Netanyahu telling him, "Brett, I need this deal. Help me get<br /> it."</p> <p>They ultimately secured the guarantee of 50.</p> <p>That detail is worth remembering whenever someone suggests that Netanyahu<br /> was simply uninterested in securing hostage releases.</p> <p>McGurk recalled that Netanyahu accepted the detailed ceasefire proposal<br /> presented by Biden at the end of May 2024, while Hamas failed to provide a<br /> substantive response for almost five weeks.</p> <p>The same fundamental problem became unmistakable at the end of August 2024.</p> <p>The bodies of six murdered hostages were recovered from a tunnel in Rafah.<br /> Hersh Goldberg-Polin was among them.</p> <p>McGurk described bringing the list of their names into a White House meeting<br /> and flinging it onto the table.</p> <p>His conclusion was that there would be no hostage deal until Sinwar was<br /> dead.</p> <p>He later told freed hostages, including Keith Siegel, that he believed Hamas<br /> had intended to hold captives for many years.</p> <p>The January 2025 agreement, which brought additional living hostages home,<br /> followed a fundamental change in the strategic situation.</p> <p>Sinwar was dead. Hezbollah had suffered devastating military blows. Hamas's<br /> regional position had deteriorated.</p> <p>And the outgoing Biden team and Trump's envoy, Steve Witkoff, presented a<br /> united front, with Trump warning of "hell to pay" if the hostages were not<br /> released before his inauguration.</p> <p>McGurk credited that cooperation as essential to securing the agreement.</p> <p>He also offered a particularly important observation about public American<br /> pressure on Israel.</p> <p>Discussing the March 2024 United Nations Security Council resolution calling<br /> for a Ramadan ceasefire, McGurk said it "played back extremely negatively in<br /> the hostage talks."</p> <p>He also criticized the public confrontation over Rafah.</p> <p>His concern was that Sinwar, following the media from Rafah, could interpret<br /> the growing rift between Washington and Jerusalem as a reason to hold out<br /> rather than compromise.</p> <p>In other words, public pressure on Israel could actually strengthen Hamas's<br /> negotiating position.</p> <p>That is an observation worth considering in the context of the campaign to<br /> pressure Netanyahu into making additional concessions.</p> <p>For three years, the hostage families were exposed to the argument that the<br /> fate of their loved ones depended on persuading Netanyahu to change his<br /> approach.</p> <p>McGurk's testimony provides powerful grounds to question that proposition.</p> <p>The hostage families now have an answer to the question which haunts them:<br /> Could we have brought them home if only we had succeeded in changing<br /> Netanyahu's approach?</p> <p>McGurk's account gives them powerful reasons to believe that the answer is<br /> no.<br /> ________________________________________<br /> IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis</p> <p>Since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on<br /> Arab-Israeli relations</p> <p>Website: www.imra.org.il</p> Fri, 09 Oct 2026 10:37:08 -0400 https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74499 Weekly Commentary: Mr. Bennett - Flydubai FZ1073 Was A Miracle Which Hinged On Heroism https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74498 <p>Weekly Commentary: Mr. Bennett - Flydubai FZ1073 Was A Miracle Which Hinged On Heroism <br /> Dr. Aaron Lerner 1 October 2026 <br /> <br /> I was stunned to learn that, in an interview on The Faulkner Focus , Former PM Naftali Bennett said of the safe outcome of Flydubai FZ1073 "...it's not a miracle. It's called heroism". <br /> <br /> Bennett knows better. <br /> <br /> Because the requirement of human heroism to facilitate miracles goes to the very heart of the schism between Haredis who claim they would rather die than serve in the IDF and the rest of Israeli society. <br /> <br /> We embrace the assertion of our sages that the Red Sea only parted when Nachshon bravely stepped into the waters. <br /> <br /> We choose to exercise our privilege take an active role in our wonderous page - chapter - book - in this continuation of the Bible, confident that if we bravely face our challenges that divine intervention will reward our bravery. <br /> <br /> Again: our sages don't claim that the sea split because Nachshon prayed. It split because he acted. <br /> <br /> If the Haredi leadership today had called the shots, the sea would never have split, and the Egyptian army would have ended our Exodus in a massacre. <br /> <br /> In many ways, the requirement of human action for miracles to take place is a core issue of our coming elections. <br /> <br /> The Haredi parties think our defense, economy, and all other needs could be met by miracles which don't hinge on the extent of their active participation in these matters. <br /> <br /> The Likud party acts as if miracles will continue to make it possible to indefinitely postpone taking measures so that the growing Hareidi sector participates in our defense, economy, and all other needs at the levels required to sustain the nation. <br /> <br /> And there are those in the Left who think that a miracle would make it possible for the creation of a sovereign Palestinian state to herald peace for generations to come. <br /> <br /> Heroes did indeed save the day on Flydubai FZ1073. <br /> <br /> But as one goes through all the details, these were heroes participating in a miracle. <br /> ________________________________________ <br /> IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis <br /> <br /> Since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on <br /> Arab-Israeli relations <br /> <br /> Website: www.imra.org.il</p> Thu, 01 Oct 2026 10:05:11 -0400 https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74498