IMRA Middle East News Updates https://www.imra.org.il Middle East News & Analysis en-US 1718973755 1718973755 http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/tech/rss Capalon Internet 2.0 imra@netvision.net.il (Aaron Lerner) News & Analysis IMRA Middle East News Updates https://www.imra.org.il https://www.imra.org.il/imra_sm.png 144 97 Weekly Commentary: Wishful Thinking From Israeli Military Official That Smuggling Into Gaza Stopped https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74181 <p>Weekly Commentary: Wishful Thinking From Israeli Military Official That <br /> Smuggling Into Gaza Stopped <br /> Dr. Aaron Lerner 19 June 2024 <br /> <br /> Let's walk through some excerpts of this article published in the Washington <br /> Post: <br /> <br /> Israel says Rafah attack near completion, in potential shift for war <br /> A shift from the widespread ground and air attacks that have leveled much of <br /> the enclave would represent a significant milestone in the war. <br /> By Steve Hendrix and Hajar Harb <br /> The Washington Post June 18, 2024 at 3:31 p.m. EDT <br /> https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/06/18/israel-rafah-offensive-gaza- <br /> hamas/ <br /> <br /> "The senior Israeli military official familiar with Rafah operations said <br /> the 162nd Division carrying out the assault has made substantial progress on <br /> Israel's three main goals in the area: attacking Hamas's last battalions; <br /> destroying its military infrastructure; and cutting its supply of weapons <br /> coming through tunnels from Egypt. " <br /> <br /> [IMRA: "substantial progress" - so far so good. That's not claiming that <br /> the job is completed, just that there has been substantial progress.] <br /> <br /> "Within what is known as the Philadelphi Corridor - the IDF's code name for <br /> the Rafah buffer zone that runs from Israel to the Mediterranean - troops <br /> have detected 20 cross-border tunnels and destroyed 14 of them, choking off <br /> Hamas's main source of weapons, according to the senior official. The <br /> military estimates that another 20 tunnels remain to be detected." <br /> <br /> [IMRA: <br /> #1. " another 20 tunnels remain to be detected ". Why 20? Why not 50? <br /> This is a throwback to the bad old days when Israeli military intelligence <br /> would confidently announce a detailed inventory of the different rockets <br /> which Hamas possessed - as if an Israeli official went over and counted the <br /> stuff. <br /> <br /> #2. "choking off Hamas's main source of weapons". How has the smuggling <br /> been choked off already if, according to the same senior Israeli military <br /> official, there are 20 tunnels out there which we have yet to detect.] <br /> <br /> What is the agenda of this senior Israeli military official? <br /> <br /> On the one hand, the official indicates that we have only detected half of <br /> the smuggling tunnels (20 detected and another 20 to detect). <br /> <br /> On the other hand, the same official claims that, somehow, detecting half of <br /> the tunnels has already choked off the smuggling. <br /> <br /> Here is the real issue: The mission of the IDF is not to choke off the <br /> smuggling for a day, a week, a month or even a year. <br /> <br /> The mission is to permanently stop the smuggling of weapons into the Gaza <br /> Strip. <br /> <br /> American sponsored UN Security Council resolutions notwithstanding, the <br /> continuous deployment of the IDF on the Philadelphi Corridor is a necessary <br /> condition for ensuring that the smuggling does not continue. <br /> <br /> <br /> ________________________________________ <br /> IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis <br /> <br /> Since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on Arab-Israeli relations <br /> <br /> Website: www.imra.org.il</p> Fri, 21 Jun 2024 08:42:35 -0400 https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74181 IDF COS Ridicules Ben Gvir For Questioning Efficacy of Spatial Security In Tactical Pause https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74180 <p>IDF COS Ridicules Ben Gvir For Questioning Efficacy of Spatial Security In <br /> Tactical Pause <br /> Dr. Aaron Lerner 18 June, 2024 <br /> <br /> In this excerpt from a Security Cabinet discussion published by Moriah Asraf <br /> & Doron Kadosh (and independently verified by IMRA), Minister Itamar Ben <br /> Gvir challenged the efficacy of spatial security in an arrangement <br /> implemented by the IDF according to which there is a "tactical paise" in <br /> military activity for 11 hours each day on the route from Kerem Shalom <br /> crossing to the Salah a-Din road and then northward to the Khan Younis area. <br /> <br /> Ben Gvir was concerned that this daily 11 hour "window" would be exploited <br /> by Hamas and others. <br /> <br /> Rather than seriously address Ben Gvir's remarks, the Chief of Staff <br /> ridiculed Ben Gvir for asking questions given that Ben Gvir had not served <br /> as a commander in the IDF. <br /> <br /> Minister Avi Dichter joined in by suggesting that Ben Gvir should simply <br /> accept what the COS said. <br /> <br /> It is worthwhile noting that over Israel's history civilians consistently, <br /> to the annoyance of the brass, showed better judgement in military matters <br /> than the generals. <br /> <br /> Before the Six Day War in 1967 civilian PM Levi Eshkol had the nerve to <br /> insist that the IDF make sure it checked how much ammunition it had. As a <br /> result of the findings, supplies were rushed in. <br /> <br /> Civilian PM Menachem Begin bucked the objections of almost the entire <br /> defense establishment when he approved making Israeli spy satellites. <br /> <br /> COS Ehud Barak didn't see the point of having submarines which can launch <br /> Jericho missiles. <br /> <br /> And best of all, DM Peretz, who was ridiculed for looking through binoculars <br /> without removing the caps, saved Tel Aviv when he insisted, against the <br /> objections of the entire security establishment, that Hezbollah's long range <br /> missiles be taken out. <br /> If you understand Hebrew you can hear Peretz tell the story himself in this <br /> recording: <br /> https://youtu.be/SM_LMb10qsQ <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> ==== <br /> Ben Gvir criticized the IDF's handling of tactical pauses in the cabinet <br /> yesterday. <br /> <br /> The Chief of Staff to Ben Gvir: "Perhaps in the operations you commanded, <br /> they operated differently." <br /> <br /> Full quotes: <br /> <br /> Ben Gvir: Chief of Staff, is there one area where there is combat and one <br /> humanitarian area where there isn't combat? <br /> <br /> What is spatial security? This is a mistake, this is not a form of warfare. <br /> <br /> Chief of Staff: I already told you that when the IDF destroys, clears, and <br /> captures an area, a humanitarian space is created alongside it where the <br /> civilian population is located. I know that in the operations you commanded, <br /> you did not see fit to define humanitarian areas. <br /> <br /> Dichter to Ben Gvir: If the Chief of Staff tells you, you should understand. <br /> <br /> Ben Gvir: We saw who was wrong before 7.10 and who was right when he wanted <br /> to constantly carry out targeted eliminations. The biggest mistake is <br /> arrogance. <br /> <br /> Source: <br /> Security Cabinet - Moriah Asraf & Doron Kadosh <br /> 23,167 subscribers <br /> Moriah Asraf & Doron Kadosh <br /> Doron - 053-8312637 <br /> Moriah - 050-4617948 <br /> ________________________________________ <br /> IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis <br /> <br /> Since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on <br /> Arab-Israeli relations <br /> <br /> Website: www.imra.org.il</p> Mon, 17 Jun 2024 19:19:36 -0400 https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74180 Devastating Makor Rishon Editorial Cartoon Against Haredis For Not Serving In IDF https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74179 <p>Devastating Makor Rishon Editorial Cartoon Against Haredis For Not Serving In IDF <br /> Dr. Aaron Lerner 15 June 2024 <br /> <br /> The 14 June 2024 editorial cartoon in Makor Rishon, a newspaper whose readership is mostly from the national religious sector of Israel, depicts four combat soldiers bearing a wounded soldier on a stretcher. <br /> <br /> Sitting on the stretcher next to the wounded soldier is a haredi with an open book. <br /> <br /> The haredi says “Don’t worry guys, the studying is dedicated to his recuperation and to your success.” <br /> <br /> It can be clearly seen in the cartoon that one of the soldiers bearing the stretcher has tzitzit hanging out of his uniform, indicating that the soldier is religious. <br /> <br /> To see the editorial cartoon: <br /> https://www.makorrishon.co.il/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/240614hadashot-400x400.jpg <br /> <br /> _____________________________________ <br /> IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis <br /> <br /> Since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on Arab-Israeli relations <br /> <br /> Website: http://www.imra.org.il</p> Sat, 15 Jun 2024 18:35:34 -0400 https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74179 Weekly Commentary: Knife In Israel's Back: UNSCR 2735 vs UNSCR 1701 https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74178 <p>Weekly Commentary: Knife In Israel's Back: UNSCR 2735 vs UNSCR 1701 <br /> Dr. Aaron Lerner 12 June 2o24</p> <p>Contrast what UNSCR 1701 was supposed to do to Hezbollah and what UNSCR<br /> doesn't do to Hamas: </p> <p>#1. United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701 (2006)<br /> Adopted by the Security Council at its 5511th meeting, on 11 August 2006<br /> "The Security Council,<br /> ... 8. Calls for Israel and Lebanon to support ...full implementation of the<br /> relevant provisions of the Taif Accords, and of resolutions 1559 (2004) and<br /> 1680 (2006), that require the disarmament of all armed groups in Lebanon, so<br /> that, pursuant to the Lebanese cabinet decision of 27 July 2006, there will<br /> be no weapons or authority in Lebanon other than that of the Lebanese<br /> State;"</p> <p>#2. United Nations Security Council Resolution 2735 (2024)<br /> Adopted by the Security Council at its 9650th meeting, on 10 June 2024<br /> "The Security Council,<br /> ...2. Notes that the implementation of this proposal would enable the<br /> following outcomes to spread over three phases:<br /> ...(b) Phase 2: upon agreement of the parties, a permanent end to<br /> hostilities, in exchange for the release of all other hostages still in<br /> Gaza, and a full withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza; "</p> <p>According to UNSCR 1701, Hezbollah was supposed to be COMPLETELY DISARMED. </p> <p>That's right. </p> <p>Whie most complaints regarding the failed implementation of UNSCR 1701<br /> relate to the area "between the Blue Line and the Litani river" it's also<br /> an explicit violation of UNSCR 1701 for Hezbollah to deploy rockets and<br /> missiles anywhere in Lebanon.</p> <p>In sharp contrast, Mr. "We have your back" Biden's UNSCR 2735 has absolutely<br /> nothing to say about disarming Hamas.</p> <p>As far as the Biden team is concerned, Hamas returns the hostages in<br /> exchange for all the terrorists Israel has captured while Israel completely<br /> withdraws from Gaza and it's Miller time.</p> <p>UNSCR 2735 certainly has Israel's back.</p> <p>With a knife.</p> <p>________________________________________<br /> IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis</p> <p>Since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on<br /> Arab-Israeli relations</p> <p>Website: www.imra.org.il</p> Wed, 12 Jun 2024 18:51:35 -0400 https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74178 Radical Proposal For Haredi IDF Exemptions: 3,000 Chosen Lottery 324 Sanhedrin Pioneers https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74177 <p>Radical Proposal For Haredi IDF Exemptions: 3,000 Chosen Lottery 324<br /> Sanhedrin Pioneers<br /> Dr. Aaron Lerner 11 June 2024</p> <p>One Likud MK proposed today that we set a quota for IDF Haredi exemptions<br /> instead of Haredi draft goals.</p> <p>So here we go:</p> <p>Step #1 Anyone age 18-22 who today could be a candidate for a Haredi IDF<br /> exemption is notified that, unless they advise the authorities by a<br /> deadline, they are automatically entered in the "The Chosen Lottery".</p> <p>Step #2 The names of the 3,000 entrees randomly picked from The Chosen<br /> Lottery who enjoy a permanent exemption from IDF service are announced. </p> <p>Step #3 Each yeshiva which had students who received an IDF exemption<br /> because they attended the yeshiva receives a "Sanhedrin Pioneers" draft<br /> deferment voucher. </p> <p>The mathematical value of the voucher:</p> <p>324 = 18 x 18 ("chai x chai) = the total number of Sanhedrin Pioneers to<br /> receive permanent exemption from IDF service</p> <p>V = the value of a transferable and divisible Sanhedrin Pioneers voucher</p> <p>Y = the number of number of students recorded in 2023 as receiving the IDF<br /> exemption because they attended the specific yeshiva</p> <p>TOTAL-Y = The grand total number of yeshiva students in Israel who received<br /> an exemption from IDF service in 2023 because they were attending yeshiva.</p> <p>V = (324 x Y) / TOTAL-Y</p> <p>Now, of course, each individual voucher will not be a whole number. </p> <p>In point of fact, many yeshivas will have vouchers which are considerably<br /> smaller than unity (1).</p> <p>The Israeli authorities would have absolutely no say over what the yeshivas<br /> do with their vouchers.</p> <p>Step #4 At the close of "Sanhedrin Pioneers DeadlIne Day" the Israeli<br /> authorities announce the names of the yeshiva students who accumulated<br /> voucher credits totaling at least unity (1) and thus have a permanent<br /> exemption from IDF service.</p> <p>Here are the advantages of this system:</p> <p>1. "The Chosen Lottery" takes out of human hands which 3,000 haredis get<br /> permanent exemptions.</p> <p>2. The "Sanhedrin Pioneers" voucher system leaves it up to Haredi society to<br /> choose 324 individuals to get permanent exemptions. </p> <p>3. The Israeli authorities expend no effort monitoring what the total of<br /> 3,324 actually do with their lives. That's up to haredi society.</p> <p>After the first year the same process is carried out for each new 18 year<br /> old age cohort with no change in either the number of winners in The Chosen<br /> Lottery (3,000) or the 324 chosen by Haredi society to get a permanent<br /> exemption via the Sanhedrin Pioneers vouchers.</p> <p>And what about the rest?</p> <p>Hold your seats for a concept in Jewish Law:</p> <p>Dina D'malchuta Dina</p> <p>"The law of the land is the law."</p> <p>________________________________________<br /> IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis</p> <p>Since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on<br /> Arab-Israeli relations</p> <p>Website: www.imra.org.il</p> Tue, 11 Jun 2024 10:34:04 -0400 https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74177 Secretary Blinken emphasized the importance of leaving Hezbollah's Missiles Intact? https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74176 <p>Secretary Blinken emphasized the importance of leaving Hezbollah's Missiles Intact? <br /> Dr. Aaron Lerner 10 June 2024 <br /> <br /> "... calm along Israel’s northern border..." <br /> <br /> "Secretary Blinken also emphasized the importance of preventing the conflict from spreading." <br /> <br /> Does this mean that it is important to Secretary Blinken that Hezbollah's hundreds of thousands of rockets and many thousands of medium and long range guided missiles remain intact or is that simply just a bi-product of seeking "calm"? <br /> <br /> <br /> Secretary Blinken’s Meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu <br /> READOUT <br /> https://www.state.gov/bureaus-offices/under-secretary-for-public-diplomacy-and-public-affairs/bureau-of-global-public-affairs/office-of-the-spokesperson/ <br /> JUNE 10, 2024 <br /> The below is attributable to Spokesperson Matthew Miller:  <br /> <br /> Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken met today with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Jerusalem. <br /> <br /> The Secretary reiterated that the United States and other world leaders will stand behind the comprehensive proposal outlined by President Biden that would lead to an immediate ceasefire in Gaza, the release of all hostages, and a significant and sustained increase in humanitarian assistance for distribution throughout Gaza. <br /> <br /> The Secretary underscored the United States’ ironclad commitment to Israel’s security, including through ensuring October 7 can never be repeated. <br /> <br /> He reiterated that the proposal on the table would unlock the possibility of calm along Israel’s northern border and further integration with countries in the region. <br /> <br /> The Secretary updated the prime minister on ongoing diplomatic efforts to plan for the post-conflict period, emphasizing the importance of those efforts to providing long-term peace, security, and stability to Israelis and Palestinians alike. <br /> <br /> Secretary Blinken also emphasized the importance of preventing the conflict from spreading. <br /> <br /> ________________________________________ <br /> IMRA - Independent Media Review and Analysis <br /> <br /> Since 1992 providing news and analysis on the Middle East with a focus on Arab-Israeli relations <br /> <br /> Website: www.imra.org.il</p> Mon, 10 Jun 2024 15:26:23 -0400 https://www.imra.org.il/story.php?id=74176