Poll: 3 election scenarios, Likud voters prefer Sharon over Netanyahu
52.6%:33.4%
Aaron Lerner Date: 1 September 2005

The following is IMRA's translation of results of a telephone poll of 506
adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Shvakim Panorama for
Israel Radio's "Another Matter" program on 31 August 2005 [that is presented
on the website of the radio station. (http://bet.iba.org.il ).

Three election scenarios. Results in mandates. Current Knesset in
[brackets]
30 00 22 [40] Likud-headed by Netanyahu
00 36 00 [40] Likud-headed by Sharon
00 00 18 [00] Sharon party
27 24 21 [21] Labor (with Amir Peretz's One Nation)
09 06 06 [15] Shinui
12 12 11 [11] Shas
11 11 11 [08] Arab parties
08 08 08 [06] Yachad [Meretz]
05 05 06 [07*] National Union
08 08 07 [07*] Yisrael Beiteinu [Lieberman]
06 06 06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah
04 04 04 [06] NRP
* National Union ran with Yisrael Beiteinu with total 7 mandates

On a scale of 1 to 10 what grade would you give to Ariel Sharon and Binyamin
Netanyahu for their performance as prime minister?
Average: Sharon 6.7 Netanyahu 4.8

Who do you prefer as head of the Likud and its candidate for prime minister?
Likud voters: Sharon 52.6% Netanyahu 33.4% Neither 7.9% Don't know 6.1%
[IMRA: Registered Likud members select the candidate in primaries]

Did Netanyahu's press conference this week strengthen or weaken him?
Likud voters: Strengthen 32.8% Weaken 47.1% Neither 14.0% Don't know 6.1%

On a scale of 1 to 10 what grade would you give to Shimon Peres and Ehud
Barak for their performance as prime minister?
Average: Peres 6.9 Barak 2.8

Did Ehud Barak withdraw his candidacy for the chairmanship of the Labor
Party out of concern for party unity or because he understood that he was
going to suffer a huge loss in the primaries?
Labor voters: Concern 8.5% Huge loss 61.8% Don't know 29.7%

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il