Poll: Kadima 41-43 Labor 19-21 Likud 12-17
Aaron Lerner Date: 20 January 2006
#1 Dialogue for Haaretz and Channel 10 telephone poll of a
representative sample of 625 adult Israelis (including Arab Israelis)
carried out on 18 January 2006 as released on Walla on 19 January 2006
#2 Teleseker for Maariv telephone poll of a representative sample of 552
adult Israelis (including Arab Israelis) carried out on 18-19 January 2006
as published in Maariv on 20 January 2006
#3 Dahaf for Yediot Ahronot telephone poll of a representative sample of
500 adult Israelis (including Arab Israelis) carried out on week of 19
January 2006 as published in Yediot Ahronot on 20 January 2006
Knesset election vote expressed in mandates[current in brackets]
#1 #2 #3
41 43 43  Kadima lead by Olrmert
17 14 12  Likud
19 20 21  Labor
00 00 00  Shinui
10 11 09  Shas
09 07 08  Arab parties
05 05 05  Yachad [Meretz]
07 06 05 [07*] National Union
04 05 06 [07*] Yisrael Beiteinu [Lieberman]
05 06 06  Yahadut Hatorah
03 03 03  NRP
00 00 02  Green Leaf [legaize hashish]
* National Union & Yisrael Beiteinu together have 7 seats
Dialogue also asked:
Of Kadima. Labor and Likud, which party has the most attractive Knesset
Kadima 46% Labor 23% Likud 18% Other reply 13%
To what extent do you agree with the statement: "Ehud Olmert is Ariel
Agree greatly 10% Agree 37% Not so much 22.5% Not at all 23% Don't know 7%
How do you feel about the expected departure of Josef (Tommy) Lapid from
Happy 31% Don't care 48% Sad 13.5%
Teleseker also asked:
This week an initiative was published that included the possibility of an
additional unilateral withdrawal from the area of Judea and Samaria. The
initiative include the evacuation of settlements if a peace agreement is not
reached with the Palestinians within a set time. Do you support or oppose
an additional disengagement from Judea and Samaria?
Of those with an opinion:
Support 51% Oppose 49%
Amnon Dackner of Maariv, who wrote an article that accompanied this result,
told IMRA today that less than 10% of those surveyed did not have an
opinion on the above question.
If a political pact is made between Peretz and Ehud Barak within the
framework Barak gets a slot on the Knesset list would this strengthen or
weaken the possibility that you would vote for Labor?
Strengthen 15% No effect 55% Weaken 29%
Looking back, did the Shinui Party succeed in its struggle against what it
termed "religious coercision?"
Considerable success 5% To an extent 23% A little 19% Not at all 48%
Without any connection to how you are going to vote, what are the two most
prominent advantages of the Kadima Party?
The Sharon founded it 65% People in it 50%
Security/Diplomatic policy 42% Olmert's leadership 20%
Who of the following people in the Labor Party are most appropriate to be
the next minister of defense?
Ayalon 32% Vilnay 22% Barak 20% Ben Eliezer 15%
Do Peretz's declarations that he will raise the minimum wage strengthen or
weaken the possibility you will vote for the Labor Party?
Strengthen 34% No effect 52% Weaken 12%
Without any connection to how you plan to vote, which of the three parties,
Kadima, Labor and Likud has the most apprip[riate team to lead the nation?
Kadima 47% Labor 23% Likud 21%
Which team is the most honest and has the least corruption?
Labor 25% Kadima 28% Likud 19%
If diplomatic efforts fail, should Israel take military action against Iran
in an attempt to destroy its nuclear program, even at the cost of an Iranian
attack on Israel?
Yes 49% Yes 40%
-Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: firstname.lastname@example.org