Weekly Commentary: Disaster If Trump Blinking Not Bluffing
Dr. Aaron Lerner 22 January 2026

By the most conservative estimates, in the coming days the USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group (CSG) would be able to participate in an attack on Iran Which jibes with the threats President Trump made.

Threats which encouraged many thousands of Iranian civilians to willingly sacrifice their lives in protests as part of an effort to bring down the terrible Iranian regime.

When Mr. Trump thanked Iran for not publicly executing protestors cynics suggested that he was giving Iran a pass to continue torturing them to death off camera.

I hope and pray that next week we learn that the cynics were wrong.

That the confusing talk was just to put Iran off guard.

Prime Minister Netanyahu knows the truth.

If Netanyahu knows that President Trump is blinking, then he must assume Trump will blink on other matters relating to Iran, Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, etc..

And everything we do from this point forward must take this painful reality into account.
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