Poll Results 22 November 2002

Aaron Lerner Date: 22 November 2002

The following are the results of a Ma'ariv poll by "New Wave" (a new polling
company formed by Yaacov Levy, the founder of the now defunct Gallup Israel)
of a representative sample of 515 registered Likud members carried out
Thursday night, 21 November. Statistical error +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Sharon 47% Netanyahu 30.9%
Who better represents the ideology of the Likud? Sharon 43.5% Netanyahu 39%
Who will bring more Knesset seats for the Likud? Sharon 58.1% Netanyahu
24.2%

Ma'ariv 22 November 2002

+++ Dahaf Poll

The following are the results of Dahaf polls carried out on Thursday 21
November
Poll of 548 registered Likud voters:
Sharon 56% Netanyahu 38% Feiglin 1% Undecided 5%

Within the framework of a true peace arrangement with the Palestinians,
should Israel agree to the evacuation of settlements?
Yes 11% Only in areas with heavy Arab populations 54% No 33% No reply 2%

If Sharon forms the next government who should he appoint as foreign
minister?
Netanyahu 78% Olmert 16% Both same 2% Neither 2% No reply 2%

Would your support for Sharon increase if he appoints Mofaz as defense
minister in the next government?
Yes 63% No 5% Doesn't matter 31% No reply 1%

Will Netanyahu support the establishment of a Palestinian state?
Yes 24% No 66% No reply 10%

Total population (including Israeli Arabs) sample of 505:

Knesset seats:

Right/Religious Bloc: Total 61 - from 54 current Knesset [Last week 62]
Likud 38 National Union/Ysrael Beiteinu 7
Shas 7 NRP 4 Yahadut Hatorah 5

"Center" Total 19 from 19 [Last week 19]
Yisrael B'Aliya 4 Shinui 12 Am Echad 3

Left/Arabs: Total 40 from 47 [Last week 39]
Labor/Meimad 21 Meretz 8
Arab parties 11 [includes Hadash]

[IMRA: There is no indication how the results of the polling were converted
into Knesset seats, how the "undecided" were distributed between parties and
how partial sets were allocated. It should be noted that a error of +/- 4.5
percentage points is equal to an error of +/- 5.4 seats.]

Yediot Ahronot 22 November 2002.

+++ Institute for Social Studies - Bar Ilan University
The following are the results of a poll of registered Likud voters carried
out by the Institute for Social Studies - Bar Ilan University on Thursday 21
November:

Sharon 41% Netanyahu 34% Undecided 25%

Do you oppose or support a Palestinian state?
Support 11% Oppose 82% No reply 7%

Hatzofeh 22 November 2002

+++ Smith Institute
The following are the results of a poll of a representative sample of adult
Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out on 19 November 19 and 20 by
the Smith Institute.

A month ago the IDF left Hebron under the orders of the then Minister of
Defense, Binyamin Ben Eliezer. Did the withdrawal from Hebron took place
for political or security purposes?
Political 55% Security 28% No opinion 17%

[IMRA: In fairness, the question did not mention Ariel Sharon, whose
approved the withdrawal before its implementation.]

Hatzofeh 22 November 2002

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
pager 03-6106666 subscriber 4811
Website: http://www.imra.org.il