Comparison of actual election results and final polls

Aaron Lerner Date: 30 January 2003

IMRA the following is a comparison of the last published poll results prior
to election day to the actual election results:
01=Actual, 02=Dahaf, 03=New Wave, 04=Dialogue
05=Smith, 06=Geocartography, 07=Ma'agar Mochote

01--02---03---04
38 33.0 32.0 30.5 Likud
11 10.5 08.0 13.0 Shas
07 08.0 11.0 09.0 Nat'l Union
06 04.0 05.0 05.0 NRP
05 05.0 05.0 05.0 Yahadut Hatorah
02 03.0 03.0 05.0 Yisrael B'Aliya
15 16.0 15.0 14.0 Shinui
03 04.0 03.0 02.0 Am Echad
19 18.5 18.0 18.5 Labor
06 08.0 07.0 09.0 Meretz
08 10.0 11.0 09.0 Arab Parties
---16.0 19.5 22.0 Total Error

01--05---06---07
38 32.0 30.0 32.0 Likud
11 11.0 10.0 10.0 Shas
07 08.0 08.0 10.0 Nat'l Union
06 05.0 05.0 04.0 NRP
05 05.0 04.5 05.0 Yahadut Hatorah
02 03.0 06.0 03.0 Yisrael B'Aliya
15 17.0 12.5 15.0 Shinui
03 03.0 03.0 03.0 Am Echad
19 17.0 19.0 20.0 Labor
06 09.0 09.5 08.0 Meretz
08 10.0 07.0 09.0 Arab Parties
---18.0 22.5 17.0 Total error

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
pager 03-6106666 subscriber 4811
Website: http://www.imra.org.il