PCPO Poll no. 108 [IMRA: Support for intifada nears breaking point due
economy?]
Date: 3 February 2003

A poll carried out by the Palestinian Center for Public Opinion (PCPO) and
prepared by President Dr. Nabil Kukali.

-71.5% Evaluate the general economical conditions in the
Palestinian territories as bad.
-60.0% Worried to varying degrees for their means of
Subsistence.
-63.1% Pessimistic about the future.
-67.1% Believe that the PA is incapable of creating job
Opportunities for the Palestinians workers in Israel.
-40.6% Believe that the Intifada is still going on and heading
towards achieving its goals.

Majd Kokaly-Information Department:

A poll recently conducted by the PCPO and prepared by Dr.Nabil Kukali
included a random sample of 1101 adults, 18 years and older, from the West
Bank including East Jerusalem.
The Poll reveals that 71.5% of Palestinians evaluate the general economical
condition in the Palestinian Territories as bad, while 21.4% evaluate it
fair, 4.0% good, and 3.1% express no opinion.

President of the PCPO, Dr. Nabil Kukali, stated that the poll took place
January 22-30,2003 and the average age of the respondents was 32.2 years,
and the margin of error was +/-2.95 percent points.

Kukali also stated that the percentage of female respondents was 46.6%,
while that of the male ones was 53.4%. He also explained that the respondent
's location of residence was as follows: 48.3% city, 43.4% village, and 8.3%
refugee camp. He pointed out to the average size of respondents' families
that was 7.3 persons, and the average number of schooling years was 11.7
years.

Dr. Kukali said the results of the poll were as follows:

1. Do you evaluate the general economical situation in the Palestinian
territories as?
20 Nov 2002 3 Feb 2003
1. Good 9.2% 4.0%
2. Fair 24.7% 21.4%
3. Bad 60.8% 71.5%
4. Do not Know 5.3% 3.1%

2. To what degree are you concerned for your means of subsistence?
20 Nov 2002 3 Feb 2003
1. Highly concerned 20.7% 23.9%
2. Concerned 29.8% 36.1%
3. Not that concerned 19.8% 21.0%
4. Absolutely unconcerned 19.1% 10.8%
5. Do not know 10.6% 8.1%

3. Given the current political and economical conditions, are you
optimistic or pessimistic about the future?
20 Nov 2002 3 Feb 2003
1. Optimistic 29.2% 22.4%
2. Pessimistic 56.8% 63.1%
3. No opinion 14.0% 14.5%

4. Do you believe that the Intifada is still going on and heading towards
achieving its goals?
20 Nov 2002 3 Feb 2003
1. Yes 38.6% 40.6%
2. No 36.2% 33.4%
3. No Opinion 25.2% 26.0%

5. Would you increase or decrease your support of the Intifada if Israel
continued imposing economical siege and the security belt on the Palestinian
territories?
5 Sep 2001 9 Jan 2003 3 Feb 2003
1. Would increase support 71.0% 34.7% 35.9%
2. Would decrease support 8.6% 22.7% 21.7%
3.No difference 13.0% 25.2% 24.5%
4. No opinion 7.4% 17.4% 17.9%

6. If you compare the prices of commodities with your personal financial
conditions, do you or not believe that it is an appropriate time to purchase
them?
20 Nov 2002 3 Feb 2003
1. Appropriate 8.3% 6.1%
2. Somewhat Appropriate 38.8% 34.7%
3. Somewhat Inappropriate 30.5% 36.7%
4. Absolutely Inappropriate 16.6% 17.2%
5. No Opinion 5.8% 5.2%

7.Do you believe that the PA is capable or incapable of creating job
opportunities to the Palestinian workers in Israel?
20 Nov 2002 3 Feb 2003
1. Capable 22.8% 15.7%
2. Incapable 62.4% 67.1%
3. Do not know 14.8% 17.2%

8. Are you in favor or against an open market with the Israel one as it was
the case before the arrival of the PA?
20 Nov 2002 3 Feb 2003
1. In favor 34.6% 25.2%
2. Against 51.2% 54.2%
3. Not sure 14.2% 20.6%

9. If Al-Aqsa Intifada continued in a way that further aggravated your
financial conditions, would you still support it or demand that it stop?
20 Nov 2002 3 Feb 2003
1. Would still support 37.6% 44.2%
2. Would demand that it stop 25.3% 30.9%
3. Do not know 37.1% 24.8%

10. How likely is it that peace will prevail with Israel in the near future?
20 Nov 2002 3 Feb 2003
1. Very likely 8.4% 8.2%
2. Likely 20.5% 30.5%
3. Unlikely 19.5% 23.0%
4. Absolutely unlikely 33.5% 27.1%
5. Refuse to answer / do not know 18.1% 11.2%

11. How much longer time can you tolerate the economical consequences of the
Intifada?
20 Nov 2002 3 Feb 2003
1. One month 8.5% 15.8%
2. Two months 8.5% 10.8%
3. Three months 11.6% 12.2%
4. Four months 6.8% 2.6%
5. More than four months 64.2% 18.4%
6. Do not know 0.4% 40.1%

General information about the sample:

1. Sex composition of the sample:
2 September 2002 9 January 2003 3 February 2003
1.Male 51.2% 51.3% 53.4%
2.Female 48.8% 48.7% 46.6%

2.Sample composition according to type of residence:
2 September 2002 9 January 2003 3 February 2003
1.City 46.6% 48.6% 48.3%
2.Village/Town 44.3% 42.3% 43.4%
3.Refugee Camp 9.1% 9.0% 8.3%

3.Practice of Religion:
2 September 2002 9 January 2003 3 February 2003
1. Secular 8.7% 10.3% 10.1%
2. Religious 51.1% 46.5% 47.3%
3. Traditional 35.8% 35.7% 35.5%
4. Religious activist 4.4% 7.4% 7.1%

4.Sample composition according to Martial Status:
2 September 2002 9 January 2003 3 February 2003
1. Single 38.7% 36.9% 37.6%
2. Married 57.2% 57.5% 57.2%
3. Other 4.1% 5.6% 5.2

5.Composition of sample according to District:
2 September 2002 9 January 2003 3 February 2003
1. Jenin 12.1% 12.9% 12.4%
2. Nablus 15.7% 15.4% 15.1%
3. Ramallah 12.9% 13.4% 13.1%
4. Bethlehem 8.3% 7.4% 7.9%
5. Jerusalem 7.0% 7.0% 7.1%
6. Hebron 24.4% 24.3% 24.5%
7. Jericho 2.0% 2.0% 2.1%
8. Tulkarem 8.1% 8.1% 8.2%
9. Tubas 2.2% 2.2% 2.3%
10. Qalqilya 3.7% 3.8% 3.9%
11. Salfit 3.6% 3.5% 3.4%

Contact Person:Dr. Nabil Kukali
Tel: 02 2774846, Fax: 02 277 4892
Mobile: 067 216643/052801653
Email: kukali@p-ol.com