Friday Polls 13 June 2003

Aaron Lerner Date: 13 June 2003

+++ New Wave - Ma'ariv

The following are the results of a poll of a representative sample of 528
adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by New Wave for Ma'ariv
on the week of 13 June 2003 (not clear if after bus bombing). Survey error
+/- 4 percentage points.

Are you satisfied with the performance of Prime Minister Ariel Sharon in
general?
Yes 47% No 44% Don't know %

Do you support the Roadmap, the diplomatic plan that is meant to get a
diplomatic agreement with the Palestinians?
[IMRA: The description of the roadmap in the prior question is so shallow
that the reply to the next question indicates a response to the "label"
rather than the substance of the roadmap.]

Yes 57% No 31% Don't know 12%

At the Aqaba Summit Abu Mazen promised to fight against terror and violence.
Do you think he will keep his promise?
Yes 30% No 63% Don't know 7%

Do you support the evacuation of outposts in the territories?
[IMRA: Would be interesting to ask when - if should be only after PA
action.]
Yes 66% No 26% Don't know 8%

This week members of the Likud Conference expressed sharp objection to the
diplomatic positions of Prime Minster Ariel Sharon. Should Sharon act
according to the positions of the Likud or his personal positions?
Likud 33% Personal 51% Don't know 16%
Vote Likud: Likud 44% Personal 46%

Is there a danger that as a result of the diplomatic positions of Prime
Minister Ariel Sharon that there will be an assassination attempt against
him?
Yes 54% No 37% Don't know 9%

Grade of 1 to 10 excellent:
Mofaz 6.5 [among Likud voters 8.1]
Lapid 5.8 Netanyahu 4.7 [among Likud voters 6.5]
Eitam 4.4 Livnat 5.3 Shalom 5.6 [among Likud voters 6.4]
Shitreet 5.26 [among Likud voters 6.2]
Poraz 5.26 Olmert 5.24 [among Likud voters 6.4]
Naveh 5.23 Katz 5.1 Naot 5.05 Zandberg 4.98
Livni 4.96 Leiberman 4.94 [among Likud voters 6.7]
Elon 4.8 Ezra 4.7
Paritzky 4.68 Landau 4.67 [among Likud voters 6.6] Orlev 4.6 Sharansky 4.3
Government in general 4.9
[Ma'ariv appologized to Hanegbi for erasing his name]

Ma'ariv 13 June 2003

+++ Dahaf - Yediot Ahronot

The following are the results of a poll of a representative sample of 501
adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Dahaf for Yediot
Ahronot on the week of 13 June 2003. Statistical error +/- 4.5 percentage
points.

Is the policy of targeted killings effective for Israel?
33% Yes
18% Yes in the sort run, hurts in long run
9% Doesn't hurt or help
38% Hurts
2% Don't know

Should the policy of targeted killing continue or should it be stopped and
Abu Mazen be given a chance to establish himself in the PA?
Continue 30% Stop temporarily 58%
Stop completely 9% No reply 3%
[IMRA: What is "temporary"? Why didn't Yediot ask how long Israel should
wait for Abu Mazen to act?]

Why was there an attempt to kill Rantissi now?
Opportunity 43% Delay Roadmap implementation 40%
Both 3% No reply 14%

Do you agree with Sharon's claim that the occupation hurts Israel?
Yes 67% No 29% No reply 4%

In another 5 years how much of the territory of the West Bank will remain in
Israeli hands?
15% Almost all
9% Everything inside separation fence when it is erected
10% Everyplace the IDF is now located in
21% - 60% as Sharon proposed
16% - 8% As per Camp David
11% Only settlement blocs near the Green Line
18% No reply

Does Sharon seriously intend to implement the Roadmap?
Yes 53% No 41% No reply 6%

Will President Bush exert pressure against Israel to implement the Roadmap?
Yes 75% No 22% No reply 3%

Will the economic plan improve Israel's situation?
Ys 31% No chance 21% Worsen 41%
No reply 7%

What will be the condition of the pension funds?
Better 16% Same 25% Worse 45%
No reply 14%

How concerned are you about the condition of your pension?
Less concerned 5% No change 37%
More concerned 37%
Don't have a pension 19%
No reply 2%

Yediot Ahronot 13 May 2003

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
pager 03-6106666 subscriber 4811
Website: http://www.imra.org.il