72% No chance of peace for at least next 10 years

Dr. Aaron Lerner 11 September 2003

The following are the results of a poll of a representative sample of 504
adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out for Haaretz by the
Dialogue Institute on Monday evening, 7 September. Survey error +/- 4.36
percentage points (results published on 11 September):

Looking back, Oslo was:
29% Historic error were are paying for to this day
11% Diplomatic error that can be fixed
35% Honest attempt to resolve the conflict that failed
20% Historic breakthrough that was wasted

Impact of murder of Rabin on the failure of Oslo
Main factor 14% One factor 32%
Would have failed even if Rabin lived 50%

If in 1999 a Palestinian state had been established on most of the West Bank
and Gaza, as set in Oslo, would there be peace now between the State of
Israel and the Palestinian state?
Certain yes 5% Think yes 19%
Maybe yes maybe no 20%
Think no 18% Certain no 36%
Don't know/refuse reply 2%

Which Israeli was most responsible for the failure of Oslo?
Rabin 19% Netanyahu 20% Barak 20% Sharon 10%
None, Israel isn't responsible for the failure 12%

Is there a chance for peace with the Palestinians?
No chance 48% No in the coming 10 years 24% Within 5 years 25%

Of those who replied that there was no chance of peace within the next 5
years:

Why won't there be peace in the coming years?
48% The Palestinians haven't come to terms with the existence of Israel
7% Israel hasn't come to terms with the establishment of a Palestinian state
35% Both reasons are correct
10% Don't know/refuse reply