3 Disengament Polls

Aaron Lerner Date:16 April 2004

#1 Shvakim Panorama for Israel Radio's "Another Matter" program
Sample of 511 registered Likud members - 14 April
Do you support or oppose the disengagement plan of the prime minister?
Support 50.6% Oppose 39.7% Undecided 9.7%

To what extent do you plan to go and vote in the referendum of Likud members
on the disengagement plan of the Prime Minister?
Certain yes 69.1% Think yes 12.2%
Think no 5.3% Certain no 9.4% Undecided 4.1%

Cross-tabulation:
Certain voting: Support 53.8% Oppose 38.9% Undecided 7.2%
Think voting: Support 56.4% Oppose 38.5% Undecided 5.1%
Think not voting: Support 47.1% Oppose 35.3% Undecided 17.6%
Certain not voting: Support 30.0% Oppose 50.0% Undecided 20.0%

#2 Teleseker - for Maariv
Registered Likud members - 14 & 15 April
Do you support or oppose the disengagement plan of the prime minister?
Support 49.4% Oppose 38.4% Undecided 12.2%

Cross-tabulation:
Certain voting: Support 51.6% Oppose 40.3% Undecided 8.1%

#3 Dahaf for Yediot Ahronot
Registered Likud members - 508 15 April
Do you support or oppose the disengagement plan of the prime minister?
Support 54% Oppose 32% Undecided 14%

Cross-tabulation:
Certain voting: Support 54% Oppose 38% Undecided 8%

[31 March survey: Support 51% Oppose 36% Not familiar 7%]

What do you think the results will be?
For 53% Against 27% Don't know 20%

Will you vote?
Certain 68% Think 23% Think no 5% Certain no 3% No reply 1%

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il