3 Retreat Polls - Full Details of Maagar Mochot Poll - All Show Retreat
Defeated

Dr. Aaron Lerner Date: 29 April 2004

Poll results on support for Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's retreat plan in
surveys carried out last night of Likud members:

Dahaf - Yediot Ahronot: For 39% Against 47%
Teleseker- Maariv: For 42% Against 45%
Maagar Mochot-Israel Radio: For 43% Against 47%

The following is IMRA's translation of results from two telephone polls
carried out by "Brain Base" ["Maagar Mochot"]
under the direction of Prof. Y. Katz for Israel Radio's "Another Matter"
program on 28 April with the results of their 21 April 2004 also presented
for purposes of comparison

Part 1 - Representative sample of 538 adult Israelis (including Israeli
Arabs)

If Prime Minister Sharon's disengagement plan is not confirmed in the
referendum of Likud members, should he:
Resign 34% Continue as prime minister 58% Other 8%

If Prime Minister Sharon's disengagement plan is not confirmed in the
referendum of Likud members and the prime minister resigns should he:
Leave politics 39% Go to new elections 22% Form new government 26% Other 13%

If Prime Minister Sharon's disengagement plan is confirmed in the referendum
of Likud members, should he implement it immediately?
No 39% Yes 53% Other 8%

Part 2 - Representative sample of 474 registered Likud members

Do you support or oppose the disengagement plan of Prime Minister Ariel
Sharon?
28 April Support 43% Oppose 47% Other 10%
21 April Support 51% Oppose 39% Other 10%

Do you plan to go and vote in the referendum on the disengagement plan?
28 April Yes 63% No 11% Other 26%
21 April Yes 68% No 16% Other 16%

Of those respondents who plan to vote:
28 April Support plan 43% Oppose 51% Other 6%
21 April Support plan 54% Oppose 41% Other 5%

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Questions to members of specific parties:

NRP voters:
If Prime Minister Sharon's disengagement plan is confirmed in the referendum
of Likud members, should the NRP stay in the government or leave?
Stay 32% Leave 63% Other 5%

National Union voters:
If Prime Minister Sharon's disengagement plan is confirmed in the referendum
of Likud members, should the National Union stay in the government or leave?
Stay 45% Leave 48% Other 7%

Shinui voters:
If Prime Minister Sharon's disengagement plan is not confirmed in the
referendum of Likud members, should Shinui stay in the government or leave?
Stay 77% Leave 20% Other 3%

Labor voters:
If Prime Minister Sharon's disengagement plan is confirmed in the referendum
of Likud members, should Labor join the government or remain in the
opposition?
Join 45% Remain in opposition 41% Other 14%

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(Mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il