An-Najah National University
Center for Opinion Polls and Survey Studies
Tel: (972)(9) 2381113/7, 2386584 Fax: (972)(9) 2387982
Nablus - Palestinian: P.O.Box 7, 707
Email: Polls@najah.edu email@example.com
Result of Palestinian Public Opinion Polls
November 3-5, 2004
Following are the results of the ninth public opinion poll conducted by the
for Opinion Polls and Survey Studies at An Najah National University during
period from 3-5 November 2004. The University takes full sponsorship of all
polls conducted by its Center.
The sample included persons whose age group is 18 years and above and who
have the right to vote. The
The enclosed questionnaire was distributed on 860 persons from the West Bank
and 500 persons from the Gaza Strip. The sample was drawn randomly and the
margin of error is about +/-3.
Still 2.5% of the members of the sample refused to answer the questionnaire.
Several resources assert that Israel will be committed to allowing Arafat to
return to his headquarters in Ramallah after the completion of his medical
treatment. Do you think that Israel will allow the President to go back to
It will certainly not 50.7 It will not 41.1
No opinion, I do not know 8.2
After Arafat departure for treatment, do you think that he left behind him a
political and security vacuum?
I strongly do 38.6 I do 36.1
I do not 16.8 I strongly do not 6.2
No opinion, I do not know 2.3
In view of the current situation, do you support or reject the formation of
a united national leadership to manage the affairs of the Palestinian
Authority until conducting general election?
I strongly support 40.8 I Support 45.4
I reject 9.0 I strongly reject 2.7
No opinion, I do not know 2.1
Under the current circumstances, what is the most important step that Arafat
Conducting general elections 28.2
Nominating a vice president 23.3
Forming a united national government 44.0
No opinion, I do not know 4.6
Do you believe that Ahmad Qurai' is capable of managing the affairs of the
Palestinian National Authority?
Yes 28.4 No 59.8
No opinion, I do not know 11.8
Do you believe that Mahmoud Abbas is capable of managing the affairs of the
Yes 42.9 No 41.9
No opinion, I do not know 15.1
Do you believe that the institutions of the Palestinian Authority are
capable of filling in the administrative and security gap in the present
Yes 42.0 No 51.3
No opinion, I do not know 6.8
What position does Palestinian organizations take towards the current
Positive 42.1 Negative 29.0
No position 21.3 No opinion, I do not know 7.6
What, in you opinion, is the best choice that guarantees a stable internal
The formation of a united national leadership 31.3
The formation of an emergency government 10.9
Leaving the current situation as it is without any changes 4.7
A collective leadership from among the qualified people who are not involved
in corruption 32.8
A collective leadership including the PLC Chair, PNC Chair, the Prime
Minister and the Secretary of the PLO's
executive committee 8.0
No opinion, I do not know 2.3
Do you think that the unilateral disengagement plan is an Israeli substitute
for the Road Map?
Yes 44.5 No 44.3
No opinion, I do not know 11.2
Do you think that the Israeli Government and the Knesset's approval of the
redeployment from Gaza Strip came as a result of?
The pressure caused by Palestinian resistance 46.7
The economic and security uselessness of staying in the Gaza Strip 32.5
The international pressure on Israel 15.4
No opinion, I do not know 5.4
How do you evaluate the Palestinian Authority's dealings with the unilateral
Good 31.8 Bad 54.7
No opinion, I do not know 13.5
Do you think that Arafat's absence will hinder the implementation of the
Israeli disengagement plan?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 29.8 No 63.3 No opinion, I do not know 6.9
Do you think that the Israeli disengagement will lead to an escalation of
Palestinian struggle over leadership?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
Yes 35.4 Partially 37.2 No 22.7
No opinion, I do not know 4.7
Do you think that the disengagement plan will push the Palestinian people
towards reinforcing the national unity?
Yes 63.4 No 29.0 No opinion, I do not know 7.6
Do you think that Israel will dismantle the settlements if it withdraws from
the Gaza Strip?
Yes 49.9 No 42.9 No opinion, I do not know 7.1
The redeployment from the Gaza Strip will lead politically and economically
An improvement 37.9 A deterioration 30.0 no change 27.7
No opinion, I do not know 4.3
In case of the implementation of redeployment from the Gaza Strip, will aids
for reconstruction and development be concentrated on the Gaza Strip at the
expense of the West Bank?
Yes 50.7 No 36.6 No opinion, I do not know 12.6
What benefits can be drawn from the disengagement plan?
Facilitating the movement of people and goods
Support 66.8 Reject 29.9 No opinion 4.3
Reducing the number of closure days and siege in the West Bank and the Gaza
Support 64.9 Reject 30.1 No opinion 5.0
Reducing the number of checkpoints in Palestinian areas
Support 64.3 Reject 31.5 No opinion 4.2
Reopening the airport, building Gaza port and developing the infrastructure
Support 60.3 Reject 30.2 No opinion 9.5
Regulating the transfer of due funds from Israel to the Palestinian
Support 43.3 Reject 43.0 No opinion 13.7
Rebuilding the industrial zones on the borders
Support 56.1 Reject 33.8 No opinion 10.1
Handing settlements to the Palestinian Authority
Support 37.8 Reject 52.4 No opinion 9.9
A retreat in the percentage of unemployment and poverty
Support 55.2 Reject 38.6 No opinion 6.2
Increasing national and international investment
Support 61.8 Reject 29.6 No opinion 8.7
An increase in foreign aids
Support 65.4 Reject 24.0 No opinion 10.6
Do you participate in the registration for election?
Yes 74.9 No 25.1
Do you like to register for elections (from among those who didn't
Yes 44.6 No 51.7 No opinion, I do not know 3.7
How do you evaluate the process of registration for elections?
Very good 15.9 Good 56.5
Bad 7.9 Very bad 11.1
No opinion, I do not know 8.5
What do you suggest to raise the percentage of registration for elections?
Reopening the opportunity for registration 21.1
Conducting registration in Palestinian homes 36.3
Participating in the elections by the use of the ID 28.8
Using the lists prepared by the Ministry of Interior 6.2
No opinion, I do not know 7.7
If new Palestinian parliamentary elections are to be held (for the
Legislative Council), whom do you vote for?
Total West Bank Gaza Strip
The same members I voted for in the past 1.8
Some of the members I voted for in the past 8.8
I will not vote for any from among the members I voted for in the past 17.3
I will decide on the time of elections 58.4
I will not participate in the elections 11.2
I do not know; no opinion 2.6
What qualities do you seek in the person that you intend to vote for in the
coming legislative elections?
Educational qualifications 8.9162
Political affiliation 5.6316
Family relations 3.4699
Record of resistance 7.2044
Place of habitation 3.3419
Economic situation 8.5691
Being an ex-council member 2.8912
Gender, male 5.3066
Gender, female 2.9000
There are people who say that the current political and security
circumstances prevent conducting general elections (for the PLC and
presidential election), others say the contrary. What is your opinion?
The circumstances are suitable for conducting elections 19.0
The circumstances are not suitable 25.1
It is possible to disregard the circumstances and conduct elections 44.3
It is not possible to disregard the circumstances 7.6
I do not know; no opinion 3.8
If elections for the Legislative Council are held and the following blocks
run for elections, which will you, vote for?
Members from Fateh 22.1
Members from Hamas 16.1
Members from the Palestinian left 2.1
Independent nationalist members 4.0
Independent Islamist members 6.9
Members representing the PLO 2.6
I will decide on the time of elections 34.9
I will not participate in the elections 6.8
No opinion; I do not know 4.1
If Israel withdraws from the Strip do you support or reject launching
attacks against Israel from inside the Strip?
I strongly support 22.5 [Gaza Strip 30.2]
I support 33.8 [Gaza Strip 20.8]
I reject 26.5 [Gaza Strip 24.6]
I strongly reject 10.4 [Gaza Strip 17.6]
No opinion; I do not know 6.8 [Gaza Strip 6.8]
If Israel is really committed to a new ceasefire, do you support or reject a
new ceasefire between Israel and the Palestinian Authority?
I strongly support 18.2 [Gaza Strip 29.4]
I support 48.3 [Gaza Strip 38.0]
I reject 21.1 [Gaza Strip 16.0]
I strongly reject 8.8 [Gaza Strip11.8]
No opinion; I don not know 3.6 [Gaza Strip 4.8]
What of the following parties and political affiliations do you support?
People's party 0.7 Democratic Front 2.1 Islamic Jihad 4.9
Fateh 27.2 Hamas 20.0 Fida 0.4 Public Front 2.7
I am an independent nationalist 6.7 I am an independent Islamist 7.7
I do not support any of the above 26.8
Others, specify 0.8