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Sunday, March 26, 2006
PCPO Poll: 62.7% PA shouldn't honor commitments to Israel, 47.2% dissolve PA, 74.4% content with Hamas gov't w/out PLO

Poll No.151 Date:
26 March 2006

Dear Madam,
Dear Sir,

The target of this survey is to examine the Palestinians' public opinion
with regard to the Israeli national elections, Ehud Olmert's plan and the
new Palestinian government formed by Hamas. We have furthermore made the
attempt to probe the political conditions prevailing after the Israeli raid
on Jericho's prison and the abduction of Mr. Ahmed Saadat, the
Secretary-General of the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine
(PFLP), and his companions and to cast light on the extent of Israel's
compliance with the deals concluded with the Palestinians. This poll tried
furthermore to explore the public's attitude towards Britain and the USA,
which is said have allowed Israel to raid Jericho's prison. All this besides
other political, economical and security key issues.

If you wish to view the whole poll results, so all you need is to revert to
our website: www.pcpo.ps

Please feel quite free to contact us immediately if you have any questions
or inquiry on any issue of this poll.

With our good wishes and best regards,

Dr. Nabil Kukali
Director of PCPO

In a survey on the Palestinian public opinion prepared by
Dr. Nabil Kukali

(47.2%) Agree to various degrees to the dissolution of the Palestinian
Authority, (50.5%) oppose to various degrees the dissolution of the
Palestinian Authority

(74.4%) Are to various degrees content with the Palestinian government
formed by Hamas.

(82.4%) Are worried about their personal security.

(65.4%) Support to various degrees the PA President Mr. Mahmoud Abbas.

(85.5%) Don't trust Israel's commitment to the accords signed with
Palestinian Authority.

(88.5%) Demand from Britain and the USA to force Israel to return Mr. Ahmed
Saadat and his companions to the Palestinian Authority.

(50.7%) Are opposing to various extents the abduction of foreigners and the
destruction of cultural centers belonging to EU
countries.

(18.6%) Believe that the Israeli Labor Party is the most efficient party for
the settlement of the Palestinian - Israeli conflict.

(49.4%) Believe that the unilateral plan of Ehud Olmert will lead to the
continuation of the conflict in the region.

Beit Sahour: Information Section

In the recent poll prepared by Dr. Nabil kukali during the period from
March )19-23), 2006 and published by the Palestinian Center for Public
Opinion (PCPO), a random sample of (1068) Palestinian adults over 18 years
old, representing the various demographic specimens of the people living in
the West Bank, including East Jerusalem, and Gaza Strip, has been
investigated.

The results of the poll revealed that the majority of the Palestinian people
believe that the plan of the acting Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert
regarding the unilateral withdrawal from the West Bank by September 2010
without reaching a genuine peace agreement with the Palestinians will lead
to the continuation of the conflict in the region and will not warrant the
stability and security of Israel. Dr. Kukali commented on this by saying
that Israel cannot establish permanent borders with the Palestinian
Authority on its own without the approval of the Palestinians. It will be
then difficult for Israel to obtain the security and peace unless it
fulfills the desires and aspirations of the Palestinian people by achieving
a fair peace with them. He added that (18.6%) of the Palestinian society
believe that Labor Party is the most efficient party for the settlement of
the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. One of the most significant findings of
this poll, Dr. Kukali found out, that almost the half of the Palestinians,
specifically (47.2%) are to various degrees in favor of the dissolution of
the Palestinian Authority because it seems that the Palestinian people lost
hope that the present Authority will finally lead to the establishment of a
Palestinian state side by side to the Jewish one on the basis of the
international legitimacy and the principle of land against peace as provided
for in the UN resolutions. Dr. Kukali pointed furthermore out that (74.4%)
of the Palestinians (59.1%) in Gaza and (84.0%) in the West Bank are to
various degrees content with the Palestinian government formed by Hamas
without the participation of Fateh and the other PLO's factions.

Dr. Kukali believes that the majority of the Palestinians are of the opinion
that relying on the political settlements with international warranties
seems to be of no real weight on the ground as long as Israel can revoke
such settlements or agreements at its own discretion. The poll results have
indicated that the majority of the Palestinian public, specifically (63.4%),
don't trust the arguments made by the USA and Britain as a justification for
the withdrawal of their monitors from the jail at Jericho and by doing that
have given Israel the opportunity to capture the PFLP's Secretary-General,
Mr. Ahmed Saadat, and his comrades.

Dr. Kukali referred also to the fact that the majority of the Palestinians
felt insulted upon watching the satellite TV pictures showing the
Palestinian security men captured and humiliated by taking their clothes off
and keeping just the underwear on them. Lastly, Dr. Kukali concluded that
the majority of the Palestinians disagree to abducting foreigners and
demolishing cultural centers belonging to countries of the European Union
and to other countries as a reaction to the US-American and British attitude
in the Israeli raid on Jericho's prison and the subsequent abduction of the
PFLP Secretary General and his comrades.

Findings

Q.1 Do you think that the plan of the acting Israeli Prime Minister Ehud
Olmert of the unilateral withdrawal from the West Bank by September 2010
without reaching a genuine peace agreement with the Palestinians will lead
to?
1. A warranty for Israel security 26.5%
2. Instability of Israel security 40.8%
3. Outbreak of disputes and continuation of
wars in the region 31.3%
4. Don't know1.4%

Q.2 What will be, according to your opinion, the impact of the uni-lateral
withdrawal of Israel from the West Bank on the Palestinian side?
1. It will boost the position of Hamas and
weaken the position of Fateh.29.8%
2. It will boost the position of Fateh and
weaken the position of Hamas.12.2%
3. It will absolutely have no effect.55.5%
4. Don't know.2.5%

Q.3 What are the consequences, you think, of a unilateral pullout of Israel
from the West Bank?
1. The establishment of a Palestinian state and
the recognition of the State of Israel.11.7%
2. Extension of the area of the Palestinian
Authority jurisdiction with-out being obliged
to recognize the State of Israel.36.9%
3. Continuation of the conflict in the region.49.4%
4. Don't know.2.0%

Q.4 Which Israeli party, according to your opinion, is in the position to
solve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict?
1. Kadima17.6%
2. Likud14.7%
3. Labor Party18.6%
4. None48.0%
5. Don't know1.1%

Q.5 Do you think, or not, that Hamas is capable of efficiently running the
Palestinian government for the next term?
1. Yes, capable24.4%
2. Capable to some extent40.4%
3. Incapable33.0%
4. Don't know.2.2%

Q.6 Do you agree or disagree to Fateh's decline to participate in forming a
government of national unity after the raid of the Israeli forces on
Jericho's prison?
1. Strongly agree12.6%
2. Somewhat agree42.6%
3. Somewhat disagree28.7%
4. Strongly disagree15.5%
5. Don't know0.6%

Q.7 Mr. Azzam El-Ahmed, Head of Fateh group in the Palestinian Legislative
Council, said:" We don't demand from Hamas to change its program, but advise
it only to separate its program as an authority from its program as a party
". Do you agree or disagree to this advice?
1. Strongly agree23.3%
2. Somewhat agree51.7%
3. Somewhat disagree13.7%
4. Strongly disagree10.7%
5. Don't know0.6%

Q.8 Do you still agree, or now disagree, to the demand of the President of
the Palestinian Authority that Hamas should acknowledge the agreements
concluded with Israel?
1. Strongly agree12.1%
2. Somewhat agree34.7%
3. Somewhat disagree31.4%
4. Strongly disagree21.0%
5. Don't know0.8%

Q.9 After the formation of the Palestinian government under the leadership
of Hamas without the participation of Fateh and the other PLO's factions,
are you optimistic or pessimistic about the future?
1. Pessimistic36.5%
2. Optimistic60.8%
3. Don't know2.7%

Q.10 Are you content or discontent with the Palestinian government formed by
Hamas without the participation of Fateh and the other PLO's factions?
1. Extremely content19.6%
2. Somewhat content54.8%
3. Somewhat discontent15.3%
4. Extremely discontent9.6%
5. Don't know0.7%

Q.11 Do you think the Palestinian Authority should abide by the agreements
concluded with Israel, or not?
1. Yes33.2%
2. No62.7%
3. Don't know4.1%

Q.12 Subsequent to the raid of the Israeli forces on Jericho's prison, to
what extent do you trust Israel's commitment to the deals signed with the
Palestinian Authority?
1. Strongly trust1.6%
2. Somewhat trust11.7%
3. Somewhat distrust30.5%
4. Strongly distrust55.0%
5. Don't know1.2%

Q.13 Do you agree or disagree to those demands calling upon the President of
the Palestinian Authority to dissolve the Palestinian Authority?
1. Strongly agree7.1%
2. Somewhat agree40.1%
3. Somewhat disagree25.1%
4. Strongly disagree25.4%
5. Don't know2.3%

Q.14 To which degree are you convinced of the arguments made by the USA and
Britain as a justification for the withdrawal of their monitors at the jail
in Jericho?
1. Totally convinced1.4%
2. Somewhat convinced35.1%
3. Not convinced63.4%
4. Don't know.0.1%

Q.15 Do you agree or disagree to what the Brigades of Abu Ali Mustafa
(military wing of the PFLP) have done, namely abducting foreigners and
demolishing cultural centers belonging to countries of the EU and others as
a reaction to the US-American and British attitude in the Israeli raid on
Jericho's prison and the subsequent abduction of the Secretary-General of
the PFLP and his comrades?
1. Strongly agree14.5%
2. Somewhat agree33.7%
3. Somewhat disagree27.2%
4. Strongly disagree23.5%
5. Don't know1.1%

Q.16 Do you think it's the moral obligation of the USA and Britain to force
Israel to return Mr. Ahmed Saadat and his comrades to the Palestinian
Authority?
1. Yes88.5%
2. No10.1%
3. Don't know1.4%

Q.17 Whom do you burden the responsibility for the raid on Jericho's jail
and the capture of the PFLP Secretary-General, Mr. Ahmed Saadat, and his
companions?
1. The Palestinian Authority10.5%
2. Britain15.1%
3. USA14.7%
4. The three parties58.6%
5. Don't know1.1%

Q.18 Did you feel insulted when watching the TV pictures of the satellite
stations showing the Palestinian security men captured and just keeping
their underwear?
1. Yes, to a high degree80.7%
2. Yes, to an intermediate degree16.0%
3. No, at all 1.3%
4. Don't know2.0%

Q.19 Which of the following two parties, Fateh or Hamas, you think should
bear the responsibility for not-forming a government of national unity?
1. Fateh35.0%
2. Hamas24.4%
3. Both of them 35.3%
4. Don't know5.3%

Q.20 Do you evaluate the general economic situation in the Palestinian
territories as?
1. Good4.6%
2. Middling33.6%
3. Bad60.9%
4. Don't know0.9%

Q.21 Up to which extent are you at present worried about the subsistence of
your family?
1. Very worried31.6%
2. Worried52.7%
3. Not so worried9.8%
4. Not worried at all4.2%
5. Don't know1.7%

Q.22 To what extent are you worried about your personal security?
1. Too much worried33.5%
2. Worried48.9%
3. Not so much worried12.7%
4. Not worried at all4.1%
5. Don't know.0.8%

Q.23 What is the degree of your support at present to Mr. Mahmoud Abbas?
1. Strongly support him13.0%
2. Somewhat support him52.4%
3. Somewhat don't support him 22.1%
4. Strongly don't support him11.2%
5. Don't know1.3%

Methodology

"All interviews took place on the basis of random choices of respondents'
homes, i.e. face-to-face", Mr. Elias Kukali, a staff member of the Research
& Studies Section at the PCPO, said. The choices were taken from a total of
(156) site. These sites are randomly chosen in accordance with PCPO's long
experienced methodology. The margin of error was
(+/-2.99) at a significance and confidence levels of (5%) and (95%)
respectively.

Elias Kukali added "the percentage of female respondents was (47.0%) whereas
that of the male respondents reached (53.0%). He said the composition of the
sample according to the residential area was as follows: (62.0%) West Bank,
including East Jerusalem, and (38.0%) Gaza Strip.

Mr. E. Kukali further pointed out that the allocation of the sample in
respect of the type of residence was as follows: (49.9%) city, (32.2%)
village and (17.9%) refugee camp.

Contact Persons: Dr. Nabil Kukali & Elias Kukali
Tel: 00970 2 277 4846, Fax: 00970 2 277 4892
Mobile: 00972 547 216 643 / 00970 599 726 878
P.O. Box 15, Beit Sahour - Palestine
Email: kukali@p-ol.com
Website: www.pcpo.ps

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