Results compared to last pre-election Polls & Likud members prefer
Netanyahu over Shalom 49%:26%

Aaron Lerner Date:31 March 2006

#0 = Actual results

#1 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 503 adult Israelis
(including Arab Israelis) carried out by Maagar Mochot on 25 March after the
end of the Sabbath for the Mishal Cham television program..

#2 Telephone poll of a representative sample of adult Israelis (including
Arab Israelis) carried out by Dialogue for Channel 10 and Haaretz on 26
March 2006 (poll completed early afternoon)..

#3 Telephone poll of a representative sample of adult Israelis (including
Arab Israelis) carried out by Dahaf for Yediot Ahronot on 26 March 2006

#4 Telephone poll of a representative sample of adult Israelis (including
Arab Israelis) carried out by Teleseker for Maariv on 26 March 2006

Knesset election vote expressed in mandates[current in brackets]
#0 is actual outcome

#0 #1 #2 #3 #4
29 34 36 34 34 [00] Kadima
12 12 14 13 14 [40] Likud
20 19 18 21 17 [22] Labor
00 00 00 00 00 [15] Shinui (both the party and the break-away "Secular
Zionist Party")
12 08 11 11 12 [11] Shas
09 07 08 07 07 [08] Arab parties
05 06 06 05 05 [06] Yachad [Meretz]
09 08 12 09 11 [07* & 6] National Union & NRP
11 15 07 12 12 [07*] Yisrael Beiteinu [Lieberman]
06 07 06 06 06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah
07 02 02 02 02 [00] Gil [retired people's party headed by Rafi Eitan]
* National Union & Yisrael Beiteinu together have 7 seats

====

Telephone poll of a representative sample of Likud Party members carried out
by Maagar Mochot on 30 March (two days after the elections) for the Hatzofe
newspaper and published on 31 March in Hatzofe:

Who would you like to lead the Likud Party - Netanyahu or Shalom?

Netanyahu 49% Shalom 26% Neither 13% Don't know/refuse reply 12%

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il