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Saturday, April 29, 2006
Poll puzzle: Why are 85% satisfied how they voted when 51% Not pleased Olmert 76% wrong for Peretz to be DM?

Poll puzzle: Why are 85% satisfied how they voted when 51% Not pleased
Olmert 76% wrong for Peretz to be DM?
Dr. Aaron Lerner Date:29 April 2006

The Dahaf poll represented below found that while 85% of respondents were
satisfied with how they voted yet were considerably less happy about how
things are being handled.

A few observations are in order:

1. 85% are "satisfied" how they voted - but only 63% of qualified voters
actually voted. Even if one takes into account the high estimate that 10%
of the people listed as qualified voters actually live overseas, that comes
to 70% of qualified voters residing in Israel voted. So we have a results
that 15% of the people who are satisfied how they voted are actually
satisfied that they didn't vote.

2. Of the 3,186,738 who did vote, 690,901 voted for Kadima (15.2%)

Are the 85% "satisfied" that they voted, did not vote, voted for Kadima or
voted against Kadima or what?

Or, alternatively, how many of those same 85% of the people who said that
they were satisfied how they voted and voted for Kadima and Labor (combined
total 25.6%) or for other parties aren't actually jumping with joy about
what they did but, as a matter of pride, won't admit to a pollster that they
are starting to regret how they voted?

Telephone poll of a representative sample of 500 adult Israelis (including
Arab Israelis) carried out by Dahaf for Yediot Ahronot the week of 28 April
2006 (as Olmert coalition government still in formation).

Are you satisfied with the makeup that is developing for the government?
Yes 39% No 55%

Are you satisfied with the performance of Ehud Olmert during the process of
the formation of the government?
Yes 37% No 51%

Are you satisfied with the performance of Amir Peretz during the process of
the formation of the government?
Yes 30% No 63%

Is the good of the State one of the considerations of the people handling
the [coalition] negotiations?
Considerably yes 28% A little or not at all 69%

Is the appointment of Amir Peretz as minister of defense a correct move?
Yes 21% No 76%

Are you worried about the appointment of Amir Peretz as defense minister?
Yes 56% No 44%

How do you feel today about how you voted in the elections?
Satisfied 85% No satisfied 14%

Is it proper for the government to include 27 ministers?
Yes 20% No 76%

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il

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