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Monday, November 20, 2006
Bush: I'd understand if Israel chose to attack Iran

Bush: I'd understand if Israel chose to attack Iran
By Yossi Verter, Haaretz Correspondent Last update - 06:05 20/11/2006
www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/789940.html

The United States lacks sufficient intelligence on Iran's nuclear facilities
at this time, which prevents it from initiating a military strike against
them, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice has told European politicians and
diplomats with whom she has recently met.

Rice mentioned three reasons why the United States is currently unable to
carry out a military operation against Iran: the wish to solve the crisis
through peaceful means; concern that a military strike will be ineffective -
that it would fail to completely destroy Iran's nuclear capabilities; and
the lack of precise intelligence on the targets' locations.

U.S. President George W. Bush and President Jacques Chirac of France met
several weeks ago. Bush told his French counterpart that the possibility
that Israel would carry out a strike against Iran's nuclear installations
should not be ruled out.

Bush also said that if such an attack were to take place, he would
understand it. According to European diplomats who later met with Rice, the
secretary of state did not express the same willingness to show
understanding for a possible Israeli strike against Iran.

Nonetheless, Rice did not discount the possibility that such an operation
may take place.

In recent talks with their Israeli counterparts, French government officials
estimated that Iran would reach the "point of no return" in its nuclear
program by spring 2007, in approximately five months.

At that point, according to Israeli sources, Iran will be in a position to
simultaneously operate approximately 3,000 centrifuges for enriching
uranium.

Various estimates by international experts hold that Monday Iran is
operating 340-600 such centrifuges.

In talks with Israeli sources several days ago, a French government official
asserted that an Israeli military attack against Iran would be "a total
disaster" in terms of its implications for the entire world.

According to the French official, such a strike would at best delay the
completion of Iran's nuclear program by two years.

The attack would also result in Iran cancelling its membership in the
Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, cause a great deal of agitation in the
Arab world, lead to a rise in oil prices, and could result in a major
Iranian military response that would not target Israel alone.

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