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Sunday, June 3, 2007
NEC Poll of Palestinians: 44% prefer return to pre-Oslo, 51% support firing rockets into Israel while 66% say no benefit from doing it 2% depressed mainly by Israeli occupation

NEC's monthly bulletin on Palestinian perceptions towards politics and
economics
Special Focus: Palestinian Internal Crisis
Bulletin # II-5 May 2007
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
Please contact:
Jamil Rabah
Near East Consulting
HSBC Building, 3rd floor
RAMALLAH
Tel: 02-2961436 Fax: 02-2963114
info@neareastconsulting.com
www.neareastconsulting.com

[Excerpts by IMRA]

Near East Consulting (NEC) surveyed 801 randomly selected Palestinians in
the West Bank, the Gaza Strip, and East Jerusalem by telephone between May
22nd and 24th , 2007. The survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.4%, with a
95% confidence level. The results of this survey and the other earlier
surveys, along with accompanying bulletins, are available online from the
NEC's web site. Visit us as www.neareastconsulting.com.

Figure 1: Level of concern about the current situation, May 2007.
73% Extremely concerned 20% Concerned to some extent
4% Not very concerned 3% Not concerned at all

Figure 2: Will crisis between Fateh and Hamas end, or explode out of
control?
25% It will end completely 75% It will explode out of control

Figure 3: The likelihood of a civil war
Very likely 38% Likely 27% Unlikely 29% Very unlikely 6%

Figure 5: Depression level among the Palestinian public
Very Depressed 77% Depressed 15%
In between 2% Contentend 3% Very contended 3%

Figure 6: Main issue that makes respondents feel depressed
12% The economic hardship of my household
25%The absence of security for me and my family
53%The internal power strugggle
3%Hamas in power
2%Fateh in opposition
2%The Israeli occupation in general
4%Family problem

Figure 8: Factions blamed for the recent clashes in the Gaza Strip
Mainly Hamas 21% Mainly Fateh 15% I blame both equally 64%

Figure 9: Leader Palestinians trust most
Abu Mazen 29% Ismael Hanieh 21% Neither 50%

Figure 10: Support for the rocket attacks on Israel and the value of such
attacks
Support or oppose firing rockets into Israel by Palestinian factions
Support 51% Oppose 49%

Does firing rockets into Israel provide any real benefit to the
Palestinians?
Yes 34% No 66%

Figure 11: Attitudes towards releasing Alan Johnston without conditions
Support 84% Oppose 16%

Figure 13: Should Hamas maintain a position on the elimination of Israel:
Jan 2006
- May 2007
41% Hamas should maintain its position
59% Hamas should change its position regarding Israel

Figure 14: Palestinian support for a return to the pre-Oslo situation
56% Support the continuation of the PNA
44% Prefer to return to the pre-Oslo period

Figure 15: Will the crisis spread to the West Bank?
Yes 43% No 57%

Figure 16: Is the conflict in Gaza between factions or individuals?
Between Fateh and Hamas 44%
Between individual people 56%

Figure 17: Can Fateh and Hamas contain and end the internal crisis?
Yes, they can 49% No, they cannot 51%

Figure 18: Are external powers involved in the internal conflict?
Yes 79% No 21%

Figure 19: Country believed to have a role in agitating the crisis
Iran 17% Syria 5% Jordan 8% Egypt 9% Gulf States 1%
Other Arab countries 5% The US and Israel 49% Other countries 6%

Figure 20: What party benefits from the internal conflict in the Gaza Strip?
Fateh 7% Hamas 7% Israel 79% Others 7%

Figure 21: Support for an international presence in Gaza to stop the
violence from
spreading
Yes, I support 32% No, I oppose 68%

Figure 22: Has the time come for the national unity government to resign?
Yes 60% No 40%

Figure 23: Has the time come for PA President Mahmoud Abbas to resign?
Yes 48% No 52%

Figure 24: What should Abu Mazen should do to end the crisis in the Gaza
Strip?
12%Leave the situation the way it is
38%Dissolve the PA and declare a state of emergency
50%Call for early elections

Figure 25: Support for declaring a state of emergency in the Gaza Strip
Support 56% Oppose 44%

Figure 26: Support for early presidential and legislative elections
Yes, I support 69% No, I oppose 31%

Figure 27: Which leader is capable of ending the internal conflict?
Abu Mazen 12%
Khaled Mash'aal 6%
Marwan Barghouti 18%
Ismael Hanieh 5%
Mohammad Dahlan 9%
Mahmoud Zahhar 2%
Others 5%
No one can end conflict 45%

Figure 28: Feelings about the likelihood of internal fighting under Yaser
Arafat
Yes 10%
No 90%

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