Detailed Poll Results show strong opposition to positions Secretary Rice and
Pres. Peres claim are held by Israeli public
Dr. Aaron Lerner Date: 16 November, 2007
Telephone poll of a representative sample of 1,012 adult Israeli Jews
carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by
Professor Yitzchak Katz) on 18-26 October 2007.
Survey error +/- 4.5 percentage points.
The poll was commissioned by the Israel Policy Center for Promoting
Parliamentary Democracy and Jewish Values in Israeli Public Life. The
Jerusalem-based center is headed by Prof. Yitzhak Klein, who also advises
the Knesset Law Committee.
Text of questions and results as translated by IMRA:
Prime Minister Ehud Olmert is carrying out negotiations with the head of the
PA, Abu Mazen, on an agreement that he claims will advance an arrangement
with the Palestinians, within the framework of which the IDF will withdraw
from Judea and Samaria, Jewish communities will be evacuated from there,
part of Jerusalem will be transferred to the Palestinians and a Palestinian
state will be established in those areas.
1. In your opinion, is Abu Mazen and his government able or unable today to
prevent terror attacks and the firing of rockets against Israel from the
areas of Judea and Samaria?
Unable 77% Maybe 10% Able 12% Other replies 1%
2. Should Israel withdraw form the territories of Judea and Samaria and
Jerusalem, what do you think the chances are that Hamas takes over these
No chance 5% Very low chance 7%
Middle chance 21%
High chance 27% Very high 38%
Other replies 2%
3. In your opinion, what are the chances that rockets will be fired at
Israeli cities should the IDF withdraw from areas in Judea and Samaria or
No chance 5% Very low 13%
High 23% Very high 32%
Other replies 2%
4. There are those who maintain that within 3 to 5 years Israel will have a
system to defend about rockets that will prevent the Israeli heartland from
being hit. Do you think that in the future it may be possible to rely on
such a system to provide sufficient protection?
No 32% Maybe 36% Yes 28% Other replies 4%
5. In light of the current situation of the PA, do you support or oppose
Israel committing to transfer sovereignty over the Temple Mount to the
Oppose 78% Maybe 9% Support 11% Other replies 2%
6. In light of the current situation of the PA, do you support or oppose
that Israel should commit to transfer parts of Jerusalem to Palestinian
Oppose 69% Maybe 11% Support 17% Other replies 3%
7. In light of the current situation of the PA, do you support or oppose
that Israel should commit to remove the IDF from most of Judea and Samaria,
and transfer it to Palestinian control?
Oppose 61% Maybe 15% Support 22% Other replies 2%
8. In light of the experience with the disengagement, do you support or
oppose that Israel should commit to a mass evacuation of Jewish communities
in Judea and Samaria?
Oppose 65% Maybe 13% Support 19% Other replies 3%
9.In light of past experience, do you believe that the evacuation of
communities and withdrawal of the IDF from territories strengthens or
weakens Israel security and international standing?
Weakens 59% Strengthens 33% Other replies 8%
10. Do you support or oppose the proposal according to which the State of
Israel will offer reasonable compensation to Palestinians in Judea and
Samaria in order that they agree to emigrate to other countries?
Support 54% Oppose 38% Other replies 8%
11. Do you agree or disagree with the claim that today, in retrospect, the
drive to achieve peace with the Palestinians has done damage to the State of
Agree 52% Disagree 40% Other replies 8%
12. Do you agree or disagree with the claim that in light of the experience
of the past Israel should deal with the Palestinians with a tougher approach
and not seek simple ways to solve the Israel-Arab conflict?
Agree 65% Disagree 28% Other replies 7%
13. What do you think is closer to the truth?
36% The main purpose of Ehud Olmert's drive for an agreement with Abu Mazen
is his concern for Israel's national interests.
53% The main purpose of Ehud Olmert's drive for an agreement with Abu Mazen
is his concern for his personal and political future
11% Other replies
14. What do you think is closer to the truth
34% The main purpose of the Kadima Party's drive for an agreement with Abu
Mazen is concern for Israel's national interests.
55% The main purpose of the Kadima Party's drive for an agreement with Abu
Mazen is the desire to insure the continuation of the coalition and
remaining in power.
11% Other replies
15. Today there are four criminal investigations underway against prime
minister Ehud Olmert. The prime minister announced that he does not intend
to temporarily remove himself because of thee investigations. Should the
Knesset act now to (temporarily) remove or to expel Olmert from his
Yes 55% No 40% Other replies 5%
16. What do you think is closer to the truth?
39% The main reason that minister Avigdor Lieberman favors dividing
Jerusalem is his concern for the national interests of Israel
45% The main reason that minister Avigdor Lieberman favors dividing
Jerusalem is his desire to keep his seat in the Olmert Government
16% Other replies 16%
17. in light of the remarks of Minister Avigdor Lieberman favoring the
division of Jerusalem do you see him today as more trustworthy or less than
in the past?
Less trustworthy 46% No change 32% More 13% Other replies 9%
18. Minister Eli Yishai, chairman of the Shas Party, said a number of weeks
ago that Shas will not give its hand to the division of Jerusalem. In light
of this declaration, do you think that Shas should leave the Olmert
Government if an agreement is signed with Abu Mazen that includes the
division of Jerusalem?
Should not 29% Should 60% Other replies 11%
19. What do you think is closer to the truth?
29% The main motive of Shas in its decisions on policy is the national
interest of Israel
65% The main motive of Shas in its decisions on policy is the desire to
retain the positions and budgets that they have within the framework of the
06% Other replies
20. Minister of Education Yuli Tamir decided recently to include in the
history books used in Israeli schools information according to which some
Israeli Arabs see the War of Independence of Israel as "Nakba", namely a
national disaster for the Palestinian People. Do you support or oppose
Minister Tamir's decision?
Support 32% Oppose 63% Other replies 5%
21. The JNF was founded by the Zionist movement in order to purchase land in
Israel and to settle Jews in it. Recently the Supreme Court ruled that the
JNF cannot designate its land exclusively for Jewish settlement, and in
light of this the Knesset approved, in a preliminary reading, a law that
permits designating the land of the JNF exclusively to Jews. Do you support
or oppose this proposed law?
Support 63% Oppose 31% Other replies 6%
22. Last year a number of organizations and prominent leaders of the
Israeli-Arab population published position papers, within which they
rejected the nature of Israel as the state of the Jewish People. In light
of this position, do you agree or disagree with the assertion that Israeli
Arabs should not be citizens of the State and it would be better if they
took another citizenship?
Agree 42% Disagree 46% Other replies 12%
Secular 51% Traditional 24% National-religious 10% Ultra Orthodox 12% Other
Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
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