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Thursday, June 5, 2008
NEC Poll of Palestinians (Fatah over Hamas)

NEC's monthly monitor of Palestinian perceptions
towards politics and economics
Special Focus:
The Investment Conference and Lebanon
Bulletin # III-5
May 2008
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
Please contact:
Jamil Rabah
Near East Consulting
HSBC Building, 3rd floor
RAMALLAH
Tel: 02-2961436
Fax: 02-2963114
info@neareastconsulting.com
www.neareastconsulting.com

The study was carried between the 24th and 27th of May on a sample of 820
respondents from the West Bank(including East Jerusalem) and the Gaza
Strip that were randomly selected and interviewed by phone. The sample was
based on random selection of all areas including cities, villages, and
refugee camps. The margin of error for the entire sample is +/-3.42% with a
confidence level of 95%.

Figure 1: Level of concern about the current situation
Extremely concerned 49%Concerned to some extent 41%
Not very concerned 7% Not concerned at all 3%

Figure 2: Main issue of concern
Economic hardship of HH 38% Absence of security 18%
The internal power struggle 22% Israeli occupation 11%
Family problems 4% I have no concerns 7%

Figure 3: Feeling of security with respect to family and property
64% Feeling of insecurity

Figure 4: Poverty levels: 49% below

Fully employed 66% Partially employed 13% Unemployed 22%

Figure 7: Perceptions of Fateh and Hamas in comparison with the pre-election
period
Fateh: Improved 38% Worsened 37% Remained the same 25%
Hamas: Improved 15% Worsened 67% Remained the same 18%

Figure 8: Factional support -Factional Trust
Fateh 37% Hamas 13% Others 6% None 44%

Figure 9: Trust in Abu Mazen vs. trust in Ismael Hanieh
Abu Mazen 73% Ismael Hanieh 27%

Figure 10: Attitude regarding the resignation of President Abbas
support in all cases 24% Support just if negotiations failed 11%
Oppose 65%

Figure 11: The next president!
Marwan Bargouthi 36% Ismael Hanieh 12%
Salam Fayyad 17% Mahmoud al-Zahhar 3%
Mohammed Dahlan 7% Mustapha Bargouthi 14%
Others 12%

Figure 12: Perceptions about the legitimate government in the oPt
Caretaker government of Salam Fayyad 54% Hamas-led Hanieh government 24%
Neither 21%

Figure 13: The best strategy that works for the Palestinian national
interest
The Fateh strategy 76% The Hamas strategy 24%

VI. Palestinian-Israeli issues
Figure 14: Level of support for launching rockets on Israel
Support missile attacks 38% Oppose missile attacks 62%

Figure 15: Level of support for a ceasefire
Support 85% Oppose 15%

Figure 16: Expectations about a peace settlement with Israel by the end of
the year
Yes 37% No 63%

Figure 17: Level of support for a peace settlement with Israel
74% Supports peace

Figure 18: Perceptions about Hamas's position towards the elimination of
Israel
Hamas should change its position regarding Israel
Yes 64% No 36%

Figure 19: The final status issue that should be resolved first
Refugees 34% Settlement 14% Jerusalem 30% Borders 15% Water 7%

Figure 20: Knowledge about the Bethlehem Investment Conference
Yes 65% No 35%

Figure 21: Expectations from the conference with respect to improving the
economy
It will succeed 71% It will fail 29%

Figure 22: Views about who will benefit most from the conference
Palestinian Authority 16% Israel 8% Investors 30%
Palestinian Economy 12% Palestinian Public 34%

B. Attitudes towards the Lebanese politics
Figure 23: Likelihood of war in Lebanon
Yes 36% No 64%

Figure 24: Views regarding the control of Hezbollah of Beirut
Support 38% Oppose 62%

Figure 25: Who do Palestinians support most in Lebanon
Hizbollah 58% The government (14th of March) 16%
Niether 26%

Figure 26: level of support for Israeli-Syrian negotiations
Support 65% Oppose 35%

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