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Tuesday, September 9, 2008
[32.4% seeking to emigrate, 64.0%:30.9% oppose Olmert-Abas talks ] Detailed Results: PSR poll of Palestinians

20)Do current political, security, and economic conditions lead you to seek
emigration abroad?
16.7% 1) Certainly seek to emigration
15.7% 2) Seek emigration
29.4% 3) Do not seek emigration
37.8% 4) Certainly do not seek emigration
0.4% 5) DK/NA

38) If a peace agreement is reached and a Palestinian state is established
and recognized by Israel, how soon do you think full reconciliation between
the two people will be achieved?
43.1% 1) Reconciliation is not possible ever
21.2% 2) Only in many generations to come
7.4% 3) Only in the next generation
9.0% 4) Only in the next decade
11.4% 5) In the next few years
7.9% 6) DK/NA

44)With regard to meetings between Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert and PA
President Mahmud Abbas, do you see them beneficial and should be continued
or do you see them unbeneficial and should be stopped?
30.9% 1) Beneficial, and should continue
64.0% 2) Unbeneficial and should stop
5.0% 3) NO/DK
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9 September 2008
Palestinian Public Opinion Poll No (29)

These are the results of the latest poll conducted by the Palestinian Center
for Policy and Survey Research (PSR) in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip
between 28 and 30 August 2008. Total size of the sample is 1270 adults
interviewed face to face in 127 randomly selected locations. Margin of error
is 3%. For further details, contact PSR director, Dr. Khalil Shikaki, or
Walid Ladadweh at tel 02-296 4933 or email pcpsr@pcpsr.org.

www.pcpsr.org/survey/polls/2008/p29e.html

PSR Poll No. 29
28-30 August 2008

00 )From among the following satellite news stations, which one you watched
most during the last two months?
7.1% 1) Al Arabia
52.3% 2) Al Jazeera
0.2% 3) Al Hurra
4.7% 4) Al Manar
10.5% 5) Palestine TV
11.6% 6) Al-Aqsa TV
8.3% 7) Do not watch TV
3.3% 8) Others
1.7% 9) Do not have a dish
0.4% 10) No Opinion/Don't know

01)Are you satisfied or not satisfied with the performance of Mahmud Abbas
since his election as president of the PA?
7.2% 1) Very satisfied
40.7% 2) Satisfied
33.2% 3) Not satisfied
14.0% 4) not satisfied at all
4.8% 5) DK/NA

02)If new presidential elections are to take place today, and Mahmud Abbas
was nominated by Fateh and Ismail Haniyeh was nominated by Hamas, whom would
you vote for?
53.4% 1) Mahmud Abbas
38.9% 2) Ismail Haniyeh
7.7% 3 DK/NA

03)And if the competition was between Marwan Barghouti representing Fateh
and Ismail Haniyeh representing Hamas, whom would you vote for?
60.7% 1) Marwan Barghouti
34.3% 2) Ismail Haniyeh
5.0% 3) No Opinion/ Don't know

05)If new elections agreed to by all factions are held today and the same
lists that took part in the last PLC elections were nominated, for whom
would you vote?
1.5% 1) alternative
2.8% 2) independent Palestine
5.0% 3) Abu Ali Mustafa
0.3% 4) Abu al Abbas
0.5% 5) freedom and social justice
29.3% 6) change and reform
0.1% 7) national coalition for justice and democracy
0.7% 8) third way
0.1% 9) freedom and independence
0.4% 10) Palestinian justice
43.2% 11) Fateh
16.2% 12) none of the above/ DK/NA

06)After the separation between Gaza and the West Bank, Hamas and the
government of Ismail Haniyeh remained in power in Gaza and considered itself
the legitimate government while president Abu Mazin formed a new government
headed by Salam Fayyad and it too considered itself legitimate. What about
you, which of the two government you consider legitimate, the government of
Haniyeh or the government of Abu Mazin and Fayyad?
27.4% 1) Haniyehs' government is the legitimate one
32.8% 2) Abu Mazin's and Fayyad government is the legitimate one
7.6% 3) Both governments are legitimate
26.0% 4) Both governments are not legitimate
6.1% 5) DK/NA

07)In general, how would you describe conditions of the Palestinians in the
Palestinian areas in Gaza Strip these days?
2.0% 1) Very good
6.3% 2) Good
10.0% 3) So so
36.5% 4) Bad
43.4% 5) Very bad
1.8% 6) DK/NA

08)In general, how would you describe conditions of the Palestinians in the
Palestinian areas in the West Bank these days?
3.3% 1) Very good
23.7% 2) Good
29.5% 3) So so
28.7% 4) Bad
10.3% 5) Very bad
4.4% 6) DK/NA

09)Generally, do you see yourself as:
49.0% 1) Religious
47.0% 2) Somewhat religious
3.9% 3) Not religious
0.1% 4) DK/NA

10)Generally, do you see yourself as:
72.2% 1) Supportive of the peace process
13.0% 2) Opposed to the peace process
13.9% 3) Between support and opposition
0.9% 4) DK/NA

11)Do you think that there is corruption in PA institutions under the
control of President Abu Mazin?
72.3% 1) Yes
14.3% 2) No
13.4% 3) DK/NA

12)If yes, will this corruption in PA institutions under the control of
President Abu Mazin increase, decrease or remain as it is in the future?
51.3% 1) Will increase
13.4% 2) Will remain as it is
25.9% 3) will decrease
9.4% 4) DK/NA

13)How would you evaluate the current status of democracy and human rights
in the Palestinian Authority under Abu Mazin? Would you say it is:
5.6% 1) Very good
27.9% 2) Good
24.8% 3) neither bad nor good
26.3% 4) Bad
10.5% 5) Very bad
5.0% 6) DK/NA

14)How would you evaluate the current status of democracy and human rights
in the Gaza Strip under Ismail Hanyieh government? Would you say it is:
5.0% 1) Very good
18.5% 2) Good
17.7% 3) Fair
29.9% 4) Bad
19.4% 5) Very bad
9.4% 6) DK/NA

15)Tell us how do you evaluate the performance of the dismissed government
of Ismail Haniyeh in the Gaza Strip? Is it good or bad?
8.5% 1) Very Good
25.1% 2) Good
20.0% 3) Neither good nor bad
26.4% 4) Bad
12.3% 5) Very Bad
7.7% 6) No Opinion/Don't know

16)Tell us how do you evaluate the performance of the government headed by
Salam Fayyad? Is it good or bad?
5.4% 1) Very Good
28.1% 2) Good
23.5% 3) Neither good nor bad
23.9% 4) Bad
9.7% 5) Very Bad
9.4% 6) No Opinion/Don't know

17)Hamas says that the term of PA president ends four years after the date
of his election as stated by the Basic Law and that it will not recognize
his legitimacy after the end of the term. The PA on the other hand says that
the term of the current president extends to five, not four, years being an
exceptional case as stated by the Election Law. When in your view does the
term of President Mahmud Abbas end?
63.4% 1) four years after his election, i.e., January 2009
22.6% 2) five years after his election, i.e., in January 2010
14.0% 5) DK/NA

18)Early this month, Hamas entered al Shija'ia neighborhood in the Gaza
Strip using force which caused many causalities and led to the escape of
many members of Hillis family. Do you support or oppose Hamas's action?
5.4% 1) certainly support it
14.7% 2) support it
45.9% 3) oppose it
23.0% 4) certainly oppose it
10.9% 5) DK/NA

19)Last month, five members of Hamas were killed in an explosion in the Gaza
Strip. Hamas charged that Fateh was responsible for the explosion. Do you
think or do not think that Fateh was responsible for the explosion?
9.5% 1) certainly Fateh was responsible
13.9% 2) think that Fateh was responsible
25.7% 3) Do not think that Fateh was responsible
17.6% 4) Certainly Fateh was not responsible
33.4% 5) DK/NA

20)Do current political, security, and economic conditions lead you to seek
emigration abroad?
16.7% 1) Certainly seek to emigration
15.7% 2) Seek emigration
29.4% 3) Do not seek emigration
37.8% 4) Certainly do not seek emigration
0.4% 5) DK/NA

21) With regard to the prisoners' exchange deal between Hezbollah and
Israel, who in your views achieved greater gain?
7.3% 1) Israel
75.3% 2) Hizballah
8.8% 3) both equally
4.1% 4) None of them
4.5% 5) DK/NA

22)And what about the prisoners' exchange deal which is now being negotiated
between Hamas and Israel through Egypt, Whom do you expect to achieve
greater gain, Hamas or Israel?
25.7% 1) Israel
45.7% 2) Hamas
11.3% 3) both equally
8.7% 4) None of them
8.5% 5) DK/NA

23) Given the experience of the kidnapping of the Israel soldier Gilad
Shalit in the Gaza Strip, do you support or oppose kidnapping soldiers to
exchange them with Palestinian or Arab prisoners?
30.3% 1) certainly support
44.1% 2) support
18.4% 3) oppose
2.9% 4) certainly oppose
4.3% 5) DK/NA

24)In your view, what is the best way to free prisoners from Israeli jails?
39.1% 1) kidnap soldiers and exchange them
58.8% 2) reach a peace agreement that includes freeing all prisoners
2.2% 3) DK/NA

25)Now, after two months have passed since the ceasefire went into effect in
the Gaza Strip, do you support or oppose its continuation?
20.2% 1) certainly support
60.8% 2) support
13.3% 3) oppose
1.9% 4) certainly oppose
3.8% 5) DK/NA

26)And how do you evaluate Hamas's performance in the ceasefire
negotiations? Do you think it was good or bad?
9.2% 1) certainly good
50.7% 2) think it was good
22.4% 3) think it was bad
5.5% 4) certainly bad
12.2% 5) DK/NA

27)Do you think that if the ceasefire continued, it would lead to the
opening of the Rafah crossing with Egypt?
8.9% 1) certainly it will
39.9% 2) think it will
28.4% 3) think it will not
14.0% 4) certainly it will not
8.8% 5)DK/NA

28)American presidential elections will take place in about two months and
the Democratic candidate Barak Obama might win the elections. If elected, do
you think his election would leave a positive or a negative effect on the
Palestinian question?
9.9% 1) will leave a positive effect
44.9% 2) will leave a negative effect
35.0% 3) will have no effect
10.2% 4) DK/NA

29)There is a proposal that after the establishment of an independent
Palestinian state and the settlement of all issues in dispute, including the
refugees and Jerusalem issues, there will be a mutual recognition of Israel
as the state of the Jewish people and Palestine as the state of the
Palestinians people. Do you agree or disagree to this proposal?
8.6% 1) Definitely agree
48.3% 2) agree
31.4% 3) disagree
9.4% 4) definitely disagree
2.3% 5) DK/NA

30)And what is the Palestinian majority opinion on this issue? Do most
Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza support or oppose the recognition of
Israel as the state of the Jewish people and Palestine as the state of the
Palestinian people at the end of the peace process?
48.8% 1) Majority supports
39.0% 2) Majority opposes
12.2% 3) DK/NA

31)And what is the Israeli majority opinion on this issue? Do most Israelis
support or oppose the recognition of Israel as the state of the Jewish
people and Palestine as the state of the Palestinian people at the end of
the peace process?
39.2% 1) Majority supports
48.8% 2) Majority opposes
12.0% 5) DK/NA

32)Now 40 years after the Israeli occupation of the West Bank and the Gaza
Strip, what in your view are the chances for the establishment of an
independent Palestinian state next to the state of Israel in the next five
years? Are they high, medium, low, or none existent?
31.2% 1) None existent
38.0% 2) Low
24.0% 3) Medium
3.5% 4) High
3.3% 5) DK/NA

36) According to the Saudi plan, Israel will retreat from all territories
occupied in 1967 including Gaza the West Bank, Jerusalem and the Golan
Heights, and a Palestinian state will be established. The refugees problem
will be resoved through negotiation in a just and agreed upon manner and in
accordance with UN resolution 194 which allows return of refugees to Israel
and compensation. In return, all Arab states will recognize Israel and its
right to secure borders, will sign peace treaties with her and establish
normal diplomatic relations. Do you agree or disagree to this plan?
12.5% 1) Certainly agree
55.3% 2) agree
23.2% 3) disagree
6.3% 4) Certainly disagree
2.6% 5) DK/NA

37) If a peace agreement is reached, and a Palestinian state is established
and recognized by Israel, would you support or oppose the efforts to reach
full reconciliation between Israel and the Palestinian state?
10.0% 1) Would strongly support
60.1% 2) Would support
21.9% 3) Would oppose
6.0% 4) Would strongly oppose
2.0% 5) DK/NA

38) If a peace agreement is reached and a Palestinian state is established
and recognized by Israel, how soon do you think full reconciliation between
the two people will be achieved?
43.1% 1) Reconciliation is not possible ever
21.2% 2) Only in many generations to come
7.4% 3) Only in the next generation
9.0% 4) Only in the next decade
11.4% 5) In the next few years
7.9% 6) DK/NA

39)After reaching a peace agreement between the Palestinian side and Israel
and the establishment of a Palestinian state that is recognized by Israel,
the following are steps may be taken in order to enhance relations between
the State of Israel and a Palestinian State. For each of the suggested steps
please tell me whether you support or oppose it:

39-1)Open borders to free movement of people and goods
18.0% 1) Strongly support
65.5% 2) Support
12.0% 3) Oppose
3.8% 4) Strongly oppose
0.7% 5) DK/NA

39-2)Create joint economic institutions and ventures
13.3% 1) Strongly support
57.3% 2) Support
23.0% 3) Oppose
5.1% 4) Strongly oppose
1.4% 5) DK/NA

39-3)Create joint political institutions (such as a parliament. designed
eventually to lead to a confederate system
5.8% 1) Strongly support
35.0% 2) Support
44.3% 3) Oppose
11.5% 4) Strongly oppose
3.5% 5) DK/NA

39-4)Take legal measures against incitement against Israel
3.0% 1) Strongly support
33.2% 2) Support
46.2% 3) Oppose
14.3% 4) Strongly oppose
3.3% 5) DK/NA

39-5)Adopt school curriculum in the Palestinian state that recognizes
Israel and teaches school children not to demand return of all Palestine to
the Palestinians
1.5% 1) Strongly support
11.7% 2) Support
56.5% 3) Oppose
28.0% 4) Strongly oppose
2.3% 5) DK/NA

40)After reaching a peace agreement between the Palestinian side and Israel
and the establishment of a Palestinian state that is recognized by Israel,
would you, under these conditions of peace, invite an Israeli colleague to
visit you in your home?
4.2% 1. Definitely yes
28.1% 2. Yes
46.0% 3. No
20.4% 4. Definitely no
1.3% 5. Don't Know

41)After reaching a peace agreement between the Palestinian side and Israel
and the establishment of a Palestinian state that is recognized by Israel,
would you, under these conditions of peace, visit an Israeli colleague in
his home?
4.4% 1. Definitely yes
27.5% 2. Yes
47.5% 3. No
19.8% 4. Definitely no
0.8% 5. Don't Know

42) And what are your expectations regarding the chances for the success or
failure of the negotiations launched by Annapolis conference? Will it
succeed or fail in ending Israeli occupation?
0.5% 1) certainly will succeed
11.4% 2) will succeed
47.1% 3) will fail
29.3% 4) certainly will fail
11.7% 5) DK/NA

43)In your view, is it possible or impossible these days to reach a
compromise permanent status agreement with the Olmert government?
0.8% 1) Certainly possible
21.7% 2) Possible
47.4% 3) Impossible
26.6% 4) Certainly impossible
3.5% 5) DK/NA

44)With regard to meetings between Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert and PA
President Mahmud Abbas, do you see them beneficial and should be continued
or do you see them unbeneficial and should be stopped?
30.9% 1) Beneficial, and should continue
64.0% 2) Unbeneficial and should stop
5.0% 3) NO/DK

45)What do you expect to happen between Palestinians and Israelis, now that
the ceasefire between Hamas and Israel has entered into effect?
17.5% 1) Negotiations will resume soon enough and armed confrontations will
stop
42.7% 2) Negotiations will resume but some armed attacks will continue
32.7% 3) Armed confrontations will not stop and the two sides will not
return to negotiations
7.1% 4) DK/NA

46)Which of the following political parties do you support?
0.5% 1) PPP
4.6% 2) PFLP
30.8% 3) Fateh
20.4% 4) Hamas
0.7% 5) DFLP
1.6% 6) Islamic Jihad
0.0% 7) Fida
0.8% 8) National Initiative (Mubadara)
2.9% 9) Independent Islamists
2.9% 10) Independent Nationalists
33.9% 11) None of the above
1.0% 12) Other, specify

47)Would you say that these days your security and safety, and that of your
family, is assured or not assured?
6.6% 1) Completely assured
40.2% 2) Assured
41.1% 3) Not assured
11.9% 4) Not assured at all
0.2% 5) DK/NA

This PSR survey was conducted with the support of the Konrad Adenauer
Stiftung in Ramallah

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