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Thursday, September 11, 2008
[Pollster warns of possible sample problems] Poll: Kadima members: Livni 39.6% Mofaz 35.3% Dichter 8.1% Shetreet 6.8%

Poll: Kadima members: Livni 39.6% Mofaz 35.3% Dichter 8.1% Shetreet 6.8%
Dr. Aaron Lerner Date 11 September 2008

Telephone poll of a representative sample of members of the Kadima Party
carried out by Shvakim Panorama for Israel Radio's Hakol Diburim
(It's All Talk) 10 September 2008

Yossi Vadana of Shvakim Panorama warned during the presentation of the
results on Israel Radio that the poll is based on the 60% of Kadima members
who included a land line in their party registration form. The other 40%,
who listed only cellular phones, were not included in this poll, nor -
according to Vadana - in any of the polls carried out by the other
pollsters. Vadana explained that it is not clear how this may distort the
results.

Next week the primaries for the chairmanship of Kadima will be held. Do you
plan to vote?
Yes 61.1% Maybe 24.0% No 14.9%

Who of the following 4 candidates do you plan to vote for in the Kadima
primaries?
Livni 39.6% Mofaz 35.3% Dichter 8.1% Shetreet 6.8%
Undecided/Refuse reply 10.2%

And if there is a second round between Mofaz and Livni?
Livni 44.6% Mofaz 41.4% Undecided/Refuse reply 13.7%

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il

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