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Monday, October 27, 2008
Teleseker poll adjusted for 18% - 24% who didn't say how would vote

Teleseker poll adjusted for 18% - 24% who didn't say how would vote
Dr. Aaron Lerner Date: 27 October 2008

Dr Yehoshua of TNS (Teleseker) explained in a live interview broadcast on
Israel Radio's Hakol Diburim (It's All Talk) program that "in polls carried
outthree months before elections the undecided is around 15%-20% and 11%
refuse to reply altogether while 11% say that they will not vote."

Program host Yaron Dekel failed to get Yehoshua to reveal what the exact
figures for undecided, etc. were for the poll published today.

It is noteworthy that most political polls published in Israel do not
disclose this information.
----------

[1] Dahaf poll for Yediot Ahronot - 900 Israelis (including Israeli Arabs)
26 October 2008,
published in Yediot Ahronot on 27 October 2008.

[2] TNS (Teleseker) poll for Maariv - 500 Israelis (including Israeli
Arabs)
26 October 2008

published in Maariv on 27 October 2008.
Actual Knesset today in [brackets]

[1] [2]
29 31 [29] Kadima headed by Livni
26 29 [12] Likud
11 11 [19] Labor
11 08 [12] Shas
10 11 [10] Arab parties
09 11 [11] Yisrael Beteinu
07 07 [09] Nat'l Union/NRP
07 04 [06] Yahadut Hatorah
06 05 [05] Meretz
02 03 [00] Green Party
02 ** [07] Retirees Party
** ** [00] Social Justice (Gaydamak Party)
** does not get minimum votes for Knesset representation

TNS (Teleseker) poll: If elections were held today for the Knesset which of
the following issues would most influence the election outcome (AL: this is
not asking what will influence their vote - but what they think will
influence other's votes):
Security 47.5% Economy 27% Education 18% Society 5% Don't know 2%

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730
INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il
Website: http://www.imra.org.il

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